Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

-$380

Hit rate

87.0%

Resolved

Trades

160

lifetime

Volume

$175.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.10K

Open exposure

$15.5K

8 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 06-30 10:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

99% 75% +$5

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	+13,808	$11,323	80¢	$11.1K	$-207	07-01 08:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	-3,246	$-2,402	99¢	$-3223	$-821	06-15 15:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	+600	$-350	70¢	$417	+$767	06-25 18:46
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	-279	$-207	91¢	$-254	$-47	06-15 16:46
AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	-1,112	$-226	19¢	$-210	+$16	06-18 22:56
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	+2,000	$200	8¢	$150	$-50	06-16 01:46
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	No	-207	$-124	60¢	$-124	+$0	06-15 16:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	-200	$-2	20¢	$-39	$-37	06-18 22:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	37	$103.7K	84,625	66,255	+18,370	open	—	06-30 03:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	8	$54.8K	52,498	51,898	+600	open	—	06-25 18:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	5	$11.4K	13,988	380	+13,608	open	—	07-01 08:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$3.0K	1,648	1,648	+0	open	—	05-01 05:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$2.6K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	05-01 04:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$2.4K	0	3,246	-3,246	open	—	06-15 15:53
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	3	$1.5K	860	860	+0	open	—	05-30 10:55
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	3	$1.4K	843	843	+0	open	—	05-30 11:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	8	$1.2K	1,519	1,519	+0	open	—	05-15 08:35
will nvda dip to 152 in march	28	$648	3,824	3,824	+0	open	—	03-24 15:01
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	2	$607	446	446	+0	open	—	04-07 14:55
spx up or down on march 23 2026	2	$507	660	660	+0	open	—	03-23 12:07
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	2	$402	235	235	+0	open	—	05-11 13:25
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$374	629	629	+0	open	—	03-23 12:46
AI bubble burst in 2026?	1	$226	0	1,112	-1,112	open	—	06-18 22:56
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	1	$207	0	279	-279	open	—	06-15 16:46
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$200	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	06-16 01:46
will nvda dip to 164 in march	4	$164	378	378	+0	open	—	03-24 15:01
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$155	555	555	+0	open	—	03-23 12:47
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	2	$153	100	100	+0	open	—	05-01 07:18
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	2	$143	909	909	+0	open	—	03-23 12:46
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171	2	$132	200	0	+200	open	—	06-30 10:53
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	1	$124	0	207	-207	open	—	06-15 16:11
amzn up or down on march 23 2026	2	$110	125	125	+0	open	—	03-23 12:47
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	1	$84	100	0	+100	open	—	04-09 05:26
will one piece season 2 be the top global netflix show this week 118	7	$80	100	0	+100	open	—	03-23 09:12
trump approval up or down this week 678	1	$77	100	0	+100	open	—	03-27 23:00
will taylor swift get married in manhattan 20260605211638230	2	$58	83	83	+0	open	—	06-18 22:56
cl up or down on march 23 2026	2	$45	53	53	+0	open	—	03-23 12:47
meta up or down on march 23 2026	2	$45	55	55	+0	open	—	03-23 12:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 08:42:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	13,012	82¢	$10,670	0x3d4fa7…
07-01 08:36:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	784	82¢	$643	0x6509fb…
06-30 10:53:44	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171	Yes	BUY	131	66¢	$86	0xa51f18…
06-30 06:34:05	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171	Yes	BUY	69	66¢	$46	0x1c8829…
06-30 06:18:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xb6a3ba…
06-30 03:19:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	8,130	87¢	$7,073	0xe61f1f…
06-30 03:16:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1,000	86¢	$860	0x3bdb38…
06-30 03:16:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1,000	86¢	$860	0xa092ce…
06-30 03:12:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	210	86¢	$181	0xd0372a…
06-30 03:12:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	355	86¢	$305	0x4ff4e5…
06-27 19:14:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	500	75¢	$375	0x4c5208…
06-27 05:37:23	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	35	27¢	$9	0xc0ac1e…
06-25 18:46:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	900	47¢	$423	0x4e5b6c…
06-25 18:32:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	8,152	69¢	$5,625	0x73ec10…
06-25 18:32:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x1d2d19…
06-25 18:32:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0x83b018…
06-25 18:32:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	11,111	69¢	$7,667	0x372f37…
06-25 18:32:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0x52d247…
06-25 18:30:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x8236c6…
06-25 18:30:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	40	69¢	$28	0x454ceb…
06-25 18:30:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	40	69¢	$28	0xe3a0ad…
06-25 18:30:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	32	69¢	$22	0x7493ab…
06-25 18:30:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0xc66f22…
06-25 18:30:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	11,111	69¢	$7,667	0x5699d8…
06-25 18:30:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1,000	69¢	$690	0xf106f5…
06-25 18:30:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0xa5d39a…
06-25 18:30:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	400	69¢	$276	0x66a508…
06-25 18:23:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0x745eaf…
06-25 05:41:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	4,014	64¢	$2,570	0x9465d0…
06-25 05:41:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	29,858	67¢	$19,968	0x6270de…
06-24 18:46:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	33,872	72¢	$24,554	0x468e7f…
06-24 18:45:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	46,622	53¢	$24,482	0x8a795e…
06-23 14:10:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	46,622	53¢	$24,900	0xc35979…
06-22 20:54:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	18,752	68¢	$12,768	0xd3d2be…
06-21 19:08:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5,276	59¢	$3,113	0xbc6e9f…
06-18 22:57:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,344	45¢	$600	0x6713e6…
06-18 22:56:37	will taylor swift get married in manhattan 20260605211638230	No	SELL	83	19¢	$16	0x8f3f69…
06-18 22:56:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	380	10¢	$38	0x7998aa…
06-18 22:56:25	AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,112	20¢	$226	0xb5e75a…
06-16 01:46:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,000	10¢	$200	0x6bc622…
06-16 01:44:40	will taylor swift get married in manhattan 20260605211638230	No	BUY	83	50¢	$42	0xefc311…
06-15 19:50:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2,771	36¢	$1,000	0x795b11…
06-15 19:31:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	4,464	56¢	$2,500	0xad99a7…
06-15 18:10:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	3,753	53¢	$2,000	0x08d742…
06-15 17:38:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xdfffbf…
06-15 17:37:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x6407ce…
06-15 17:31:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x18be95…
06-15 17:31:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4bd21d…
06-15 17:28:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	811	37¢	$300	0xb326cb…
06-15 17:20:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	44	51¢	$23	0x26cbce…
06-15 16:46:25	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	SELL	279	74¢	$207	0x7e833a…
06-15 16:31:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	4,151	53¢	$2,200	0xc7cb16…
06-15 16:11:57	US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	No	SELL	207	60¢	$124	0x6692e7…
06-15 16:11:25	Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?	Yes	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0xe499c4…
06-15 15:59:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5,747	52¢	$3,000	0xac4116…
06-15 15:53:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	3,246	74¢	$2,402	0x5e0a41…
06-15 15:51:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	566	50¢	$283	0x2e249c…
06-15 15:51:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x1f21d9…
05-30 11:29:22	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	60	98¢	$58	0xa32fea…
05-30 11:11:34	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	784	98¢	$768	0x64eadc…
05-30 10:55:42	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	860	98¢	$842	0x299e96…
05-28 14:06:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	180	20¢	$36	0x63eb26…
05-28 14:03:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x048508…
05-15 08:35:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	352	95¢	$335	0xff8c96…
05-11 13:25:19	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	235	86¢	$202	0x3cbf3f…
05-01 07:18:58	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x589c4c…
05-01 06:39:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	500	15¢	$75	0x458a4d…
05-01 06:17:10	Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x6f5aa8…
05-01 05:06:40	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	735	82¢	$600	0x9745c2…
05-01 05:05:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	1,648	94¢	$1,549	0xe4fe03…
05-01 04:56:56	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	843	71¢	$600	0xd246f2…
05-01 04:24:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	300	21¢	$63	0x41e6cb…
05-01 04:23:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	200	21¢	$42	0x3cfc64…
05-01 04:16:48	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x36cae5…
05-01 04:14:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1,500	100¢	$1,497	0x25ee2c…
05-01 04:06:14	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0x770ce5…
05-01 04:05:10	Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x24dca5…
05-01 04:04:14	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0x5a4b64…
05-01 03:39:42	Will Uber (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xa08014…
05-01 03:35:38	Will KKR (KKR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x15c84f…
05-01 03:20:32	Will Ares Management (ARES) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	38	68¢	$26	0xafb388…
05-01 02:46:20	Will Chevron (CVX) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xca904d…
04-29 16:56:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	211	71¢	$150	0x930a59…
04-29 16:56:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	667	29¢	$193	0xdc4e10…
04-29 16:56:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	667	30¢	$200	0xa53907…
04-29 16:49:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1,648	91¢	$1,500	0x232876…
04-29 16:49:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x616da1…
04-11 15:41:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	500	70¢	$350	0x02b511…
04-09 05:26:01	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x15903c…
04-09 05:10:39	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x5e2479…
04-09 05:10:03	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x876d0e…
04-09 04:58:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1,000	75¢	$750	0x0194ff…
04-07 14:55:55	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	446	80¢	$357	0xce2812…
03-27 23:00:13	trump approval up or down this week 678	Down	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0xecaf27…
03-26 23:45:53	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0x139ae0…
03-26 23:45:49	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	Yes	SELL	620	1¢	$8	0x613edf…
03-24 15:01:33	will nvda dip to 164 in march	Yes	SELL	378	4¢	$15	0x335a08…
03-24 15:01:17	will nvda dip to 152 in march	Yes	SELL	3,675	3¢	$94	0x16a11d…
03-24 10:29:13	will nvda dip to 152 in march	Yes	BUY	32	13¢	$4	0x74b5de…
03-24 10:29:07	will nvda dip to 152 in march	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x1b16dc…