Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$50

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

88.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,271

lifetime

Volume

$192.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$151

Open exposure

$244

1 position

First seen

2026-03-07

last 07-21 09:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

58% 50% $-146

Politics

25% — —

Crypto

9% 100% +$89

Tech

8% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$6

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-524	$-236	46¢	$-244	$-8	07-21 09:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$7.0K	3,723	3,723	+0	open	—	03-17 09:20
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	74	$5.8K	6,416	6,416	+0	open	—	04-12 12:59
crude oil all time high by march 31	4	$5.0K	2,665	2,665	+0	open	—	03-23 20:44
highest temperature in dallas on march 13 2026 72 73f	1	$5.0K	5,021	0	+5,021	open	—	03-13 08:47
will google have the best ai model for coding on march 31	50	$4.0K	2,037	2,037	+0	open	—	03-22 08:07
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	8	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-22 09:26
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	3	$3.1K	2,063	1,974	+90	open	—	03-15 20:58
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	3	$3.1K	1,555	1,555	+0	open	—	03-24 21:22
will partido popular pp win the 2026 castilla y len regional election 258	2	$3.1K	1,579	1,579	+0	open	—	03-15 20:52
donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 120 139	2	$3.1K	1,552	1,552	+0	open	—	03-17 16:42
will openai have the best ai model for coding on march 31	29	$3.0K	1,667	1,667	+0	open	—	03-22 09:10
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 340 359	2	$3.0K	1,531	1,531	+0	open	—	03-17 08:46
will polymarket mindshare hit 90	2	$3.0K	1,545	1,545	+0	open	—	03-26 20:58
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	3	$3.0K	1,539	1,539	+0	open	—	03-19 05:25
will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 20	29	$3.0K	1,532	1,532	+0	open	—	03-20 13:12
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$3.0K	1,518	1,518	+0	open	—	03-24 09:10
jos lus rodrguez zapatero arrested by march 31	4	$3.0K	1,518	1,518	+0	open	—	03-25 19:53
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$2.9K	1,596	1,596	+0	open	—	03-22 19:57
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	6	$2.4K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	04-07 08:08
will mrbeasts next video get between 53 and 56 million views on day 2	29	$2.2K	1,160	1,360	-200	open	—	03-23 15:49
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	3	$2.1K	1,050	1,050	+0	open	—	04-08 12:51
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 300 319	4	$2.1K	1,095	1,095	+0	open	—	03-20 10:48
will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 17	2	$2.0K	1,047	1,047	+0	open	—	03-17 16:05
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$2.0K	1,075	1,075	+0	open	—	04-05 13:01
Trump out as President by April 30?	6	$2.0K	1,026	1,026	+0	open	—	04-11 09:50
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	2	$2.0K	1,023	1,023	+0	open	—	04-01 06:21
miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	2	$2.0K	1,079	1,079	+0	open	—	03-22 08:03
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$2.0K	1,020	1,020	+0	open	—	04-02 01:42
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	2	$2.0K	1,075	1,075	+0	open	—	03-19 10:17
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	4	$2.0K	1,026	1,026	+0	open	—	03-30 11:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 09:14:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	524	45¢	$236	0x2420d7…
05-04 10:09:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	62	23¢	$14	0xd4ab4f…
05-04 10:09:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	250	23¢	$58	0x85b882…
05-04 10:09:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0x321617…
05-04 07:30:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	315	70¢	$220	0x2efd2c…
05-03 20:16:02	Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	79	100¢	$78	0xba0696…
05-03 20:15:54	Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	137	100¢	$137	0xbdd153…
05-03 15:31:32	Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	23	56¢	$13	0xa15ee5…
05-03 15:30:58	Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	55	56¢	$31	0x37c3de…
05-03 15:30:26	Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	137	60¢	$82	0xdc7c89…
05-02 18:29:46	CD Castellón vs. Córdoba CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0xabc507…
05-02 18:29:40	CD Castellón vs. Córdoba CF: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x83fc92…
05-02 08:22:40	CD Castellón vs. Córdoba CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	82	62¢	$51	0xfc3adc…
05-02 08:21:52	CD Castellón vs. Córdoba CF: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0xe3d0c7…
04-29 17:12:32	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	120	51¢	$61	0x3f4256…
04-28 19:37:06	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0x47aac5…
04-28 15:50:46	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	120	70¢	$84	0x981283…
04-28 14:00:02	Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	150	92¢	$138	0x9e74e6…
04-28 08:33:42	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 in April?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xaf3cf4…
04-28 08:11:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	SELL	286	100¢	$285	0x2e495d…
04-28 08:03:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x4abdd9…
04-28 07:43:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	SELL	218	100¢	$217	0x0387ab…
04-28 07:21:58	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in April?	No	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0xb9a622…
04-27 23:03:44	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	350	99¢	$346	0xd13427…
04-27 19:30:32	Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x233bb1…
04-27 06:39:32	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 in April?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe62e44…
04-26 08:56:32	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	55	95¢	$52	0x655e3f…
04-25 10:55:42	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	350	87¢	$304	0xbf601f…
04-25 10:50:18	Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	150	97¢	$146	0x3ea145…
04-25 09:40:50	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	600	99¢	$592	0x7a82d1…
04-25 09:25:42	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x9fdaab…
04-25 09:22:46	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x58a245…
04-24 20:53:00	lal bet rea 2026 04 24 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	139	33¢	$46	0xfa8800…
04-24 16:50:24	lal bet rea 2026 04 24 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	140	86¢	$120	0x8a2dc5…
04-24 16:44:40	sea nap cre 2026 04 24 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	250	76¢	$190	0x023b87…
04-24 14:04:20	highest temperature in madrid on april 24 2026 19c	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd370b8…
04-24 13:34:28	highest temperature in madrid on april 24 2026 19c	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x023812…
04-24 12:38:52	highest temperature in madrid on april 24 2026 19c	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x35361b…
04-24 12:38:52	highest temperature in madrid on april 24 2026 19c	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x24765a…
04-24 09:15:04	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in April?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3dad4c…
04-24 08:51:12	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in April?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xa67033…
04-24 08:43:40	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x7b56f6…
04-24 08:37:40	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x447fc7…
04-23 11:19:16	highest temperature in madrid on april 24 2026 19c	No	BUY	17	98¢	$16	0x0c9c40…
04-23 09:45:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	360	99¢	$356	0x0a66cc…
04-23 09:35:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x02e613…
04-23 09:26:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x1b7e8b…
04-23 09:26:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x3ef2c2…
04-23 08:11:46	Will North West release an album by December 31?	Yes	SELL	15	68¢	$10	0xfcff31…
04-23 07:00:34	Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0x877f42…
04-23 06:45:32	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be at least 1.3%?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x2b93f9…
04-23 06:35:44	Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xb6010e…
04-23 06:12:22	Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0xe4e3a5…
04-23 06:09:56	Will Trump say "N Word" in April?	No	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0x7a5265…
04-23 06:09:40	Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be at least 1.8%?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x936e4b…
04-22 17:07:24	Will Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026 be at least 1.2%?	No	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0xebdb70…
04-22 17:07:20	Will Noah rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xb33325…
04-22 17:07:08	Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0x348740…
04-22 16:25:14	Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be at least 1.8%?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x1b57f6…
04-22 16:25:08	Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be at least 1.8%?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x29278f…
04-22 16:21:40	Will Noah rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	No	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0xf72840…
04-22 16:20:46	No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x317541…
04-22 16:20:30	Will Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026 be at least 1.2%?	No	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0xbb43fe…
04-22 16:15:52	Will a hurricane form by May 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xdf4e6f…
04-22 16:11:44	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026 be over 2.5%?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x81ef42…
04-22 16:08:44	highest temperature in madrid on april 22 2026 23c	No	SELL	514	100¢	$514	0x3063b1…
04-22 16:02:08	Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x06d582…
04-22 09:26:34	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,794	99¢	$1,775	0x050cc5…
04-22 09:26:26	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa9833b…
04-22 09:26:18	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0xfa3d23…
04-22 09:26:06	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	56	99¢	$56	0x9f6e84…
04-22 09:25:00	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xa0df72…
04-22 09:24:54	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	58	99¢	$57	0x03513d…
04-22 09:24:12	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x296df5…
04-22 08:27:24	Will the median home value in the Austin, Texas metro area be greater than $439,000 on April 30?	Yes	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0xaa7088…
04-22 06:48:02	Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0xdd86de…
04-21 21:08:34	Will a hurricane form by May 31?	No	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0x9cc7d0…
04-21 20:03:10	Will London have less than 20mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0xf85876…
04-21 20:02:46	Will London have less than 20mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	14	89¢	$12	0x5b28a5…
04-21 16:07:40	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the May decision?	No	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0xca0990…
04-21 15:30:14	Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x3b70c4…
04-21 15:30:00	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the May decision?	No	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x611127…
04-21 11:44:42	will no scope be said during the cs iem rio 2026 grand final	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xffb086…
04-21 11:44:30	will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 713	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc2995c…
04-21 11:44:06	ted cruz of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 140 159	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x3084a2…
04-21 11:44:00	ted cruz of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 140 159	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x25d340…
04-21 11:31:04	highest temperature in madrid on april 22 2026 23c	No	BUY	510	98¢	$500	0xb95ab0…
04-21 11:30:36	highest temperature in madrid on april 22 2026 23c	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2a4839…
04-21 10:36:46	Will Seattle have more than 5 inches of precipitation in April?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x14f866…
04-21 10:32:22	Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be greater than $1,262,000 on April 30?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x054fad…
04-21 10:32:12	CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0x143700…
04-21 10:31:40	Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xd7e462…
04-21 10:29:12	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	No	SELL	15	82¢	$12	0x985d6d…
04-21 10:25:56	Will the 10-year Treasury hit 4.60% (HIGH) in April?	No	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0xfe1a2c…
04-21 10:25:44	Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 20 - April 26 be less than 16,500,000?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x33d757…
04-21 09:20:30	Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be greater than $1,262,000 on April 30?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x197c6b…
04-21 09:14:24	Will the median home value in the US be greater than $441,000 on April 30?	No	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0xbc3eb5…
04-21 09:12:50	Will the median home value in the DC Metro area be between $564,000 and $567,000 on April 30?	No	SELL	15	90¢	$14	0xe5a006…
04-21 09:12:06	Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be greater than $1,262,000 on April 30?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x3ca9c0…
04-21 09:11:06	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0xdfe64f…