Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$404

Unrealized P&L

+$162

Hit rate

69.7%

Resolved

931

Trades

1,521

lifetime

Volume

$106.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$70

Open exposure

$29

1 position

First seen

2026-03-26

last 07-12 14:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Crypto

41% 100% -$59

Politics

26% 29% -$147

Other

26% 41% -$105

Sports

4% 25% -$69

Tech

3% 14% -$25

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-12).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes		-248	-$191	12¢	$-29	+$162	07-07 09:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	66	$7.1K	6,121	6,121	+0	No	+$23	06-18 13:00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	32	$4.8K	4,754	4,754	+0	No	+$14	06-19 17:08
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	36	$4.6K	4,080	4,080	+0	Yes	+$24	06-15 00:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	24	$4.5K	3,982	4,230	-248	open	—	07-08 02:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	24	$3.9K	4,407	4,406	+0	No	-$42	07-07 08:59
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	15	$3.2K	2,943	3,148	-205	Yes	-$74	05-28 19:21
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	10	$3.1K	1,805	1,805	+0	open	—	07-01 07:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	7	$2.2K	1,295	1,295	+0	open	—	07-08 22:03
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe	2	$1.8K	1,477	1,477	+0	Frances Tiafoe	+$2	05-30 05:46
Fed rate hike in 2026?	13	$1.7K	1,355	1,355	+0	Yes	-$66	07-08 07:14
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	9	$1.7K	1,918	1,918	+0	Yes	-$11	06-13 15:15
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	12	$1.6K	1,330	1,330	+0	Yes	-$6	06-12 16:20
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	8	$1.2K	1,155	1,155	+0	Yes	-$29	06-14 13:50
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	8	$1.1K	881	881	+0	No	+$3	06-26 11:12
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	26	$1.0K	1,008	1,008	+0	No	-$2	05-28 17:45
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics	9	$1000	1,000	1,000	+0	Seattle Mariners	$0	05-26 18:09
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	17	$978	732	732	+0	No	-$14	05-30 22:40
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	12	$908	626	626	+0	Yes	+$0	06-19 13:40
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	28	$813	1,092	1,092	+0	No	-$65	07-12 14:43
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	10	$797	731	731	+0	open	—	06-11 06:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	14	$785	913	913	+0	Yes	$0	05-27 04:00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	13	$723	1,130	1,130	+0	No	-$28	06-02 13:52
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	5	$715	584	584	+0	Yes	+$4	06-12 15:15
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$656	505	505	+0	Yes	+$0	07-04 06:46
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	31	$650	774	774	+0	No	+$0	07-07 12:07
Roland Garros ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Jakub Mensik	2	$640	1,000	1,000	+0	Jakub Mensik	+$0	05-24 07:53
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	9	$617	724	724	+0	open	—	06-16 17:27
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	8	$587	345	345	+0	Yes	+$9	07-11 07:43
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	13	$578	431	431	+0	No	+$0	06-02 19:13
will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	2	$538	472	472	+0	No	-$28	06-04 02:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 14:50:53	Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	100	59¢	$59	0xad6d5c…
07-12 14:45:52	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	200	60¢	$120	0x6dfbe6…
07-12 14:43:05	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	295	45¢	$133	0x0768af…
07-12 14:40:53	Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	No	SELL	379	35¢	$132	0x7628fa…
07-12 07:57:02	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x9bbf4e…
07-12 07:56:49	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	154	74¢	$114	0x2f6cfc…
07-12 07:56:41	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	19	74¢	$14	0x46e81a…
07-12 07:56:34	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x5d8bae…
07-12 07:56:32	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	3	74¢	$3	0x700ae0…
07-12 07:56:29	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	178	74¢	$132	0x3f47d1…
07-11 10:49:55	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	354	48¢	$170	0x19adce…
07-11 07:43:04	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	103	92¢	$95	0xc95a1d…
07-11 01:34:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	147	75¢	$110	0xb3a861…
07-11 01:31:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	21	75¢	$15	0x0fa9f1…
07-11 01:30:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	39	75¢	$29	0x8d44f2…
07-11 01:04:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	206	75¢	$154	0xde7c7d…
07-10 21:05:11	Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	No	BUY	201	48¢	$97	0x769b57…
07-10 21:05:08	Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	No	BUY	178	48¢	$85	0xb39033…
07-10 20:49:59	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0xf2ed41…
07-10 20:49:55	Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0xdfc7c8…
07-10 08:04:20	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xfe28ea…
07-10 08:04:19	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x57674f…
07-10 07:54:17	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	99	83¢	$82	0x20072a…
07-10 07:47:17	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0x00844e…
07-10 07:42:47	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	213	83¢	$177	0xb9b0cd…
07-09 09:57:41	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	354	48¢	$170	0xacacc7…
07-08 22:03:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	414	82¢	$339	0xa36d51…
07-08 22:02:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	414	82¢	$339	0xeb29cb…
07-08 21:57:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	414	82¢	$339	0xf023cf…
07-08 21:57:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	414	83¢	$344	0xcd9cf5…
07-08 18:30:47	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	313	26¢	$81	0xf8018e…
07-08 17:30:11	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	132	85¢	$112	0x5d7fe9…
07-08 12:02:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	140	49¢	$69	0x020890…
07-08 11:54:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	40	49¢	$19	0xaedb7a…
07-08 11:52:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	84	49¢	$41	0xbabe46…
07-08 11:52:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	263	49¢	$129	0xce0943…
07-08 07:14:50	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	330	50¢	$165	0xc93e23…
07-08 02:24:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	467	37¢	$173	0x19bb6f…
07-08 02:23:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	467	36¢	$168	0x30f077…
07-08 02:23:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	467	36¢	$168	0x8e2aea…
07-08 02:23:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	467	37¢	$173	0x83f958…
07-07 23:59:56	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	256	41¢	$105	0x4270f8…
07-07 23:59:55	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	256	41¢	$105	0xc677dc…
07-07 19:58:53	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	295	65¢	$192	0xd34ded…
07-07 13:55:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0xafacb7…
07-07 13:55:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	145	38¢	$55	0xfff719…
07-07 13:53:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	15	38¢	$6	0xbcf014…
07-07 13:53:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	500	38¢	$190	0x6c86ec…
07-07 13:42:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xc452c8…
07-07 13:40:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	663	38¢	$252	0x4a5733…
07-07 12:07:50	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	205	42¢	$86	0x84efb6…
07-07 12:07:46	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	100	42¢	$42	0x384f0e…
07-07 12:07:38	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	220	42¢	$92	0xc55ea8…
07-07 12:07:35	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x7b2205…
07-07 12:07:34	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0xaa7d38…
07-07 12:07:34	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x50cc69…
07-07 12:07:34	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x2d8c75…
07-07 12:07:34	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x0a126d…
07-07 12:07:34	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x074e65…
07-07 12:07:28	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0xe72663…
07-07 12:07:28	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x7e3470…
07-07 12:07:28	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x7b80eb…
07-07 12:07:28	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x39810c…
07-07 12:07:26	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0xb23b1c…
07-07 12:07:26	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0xb0955d…
07-07 12:07:26	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0xa71176…
07-07 12:07:26	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	70	42¢	$29	0xa55521…
07-07 12:07:26	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x76e076…
07-07 12:07:26	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x74106f…
07-07 12:07:26	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x09f050…
07-07 12:07:25	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	73	42¢	$31	0xb68532…
07-07 12:07:25	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0xab7146…
07-07 12:07:25	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x9ba75a…
07-07 12:07:25	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x9b11cb…
07-07 12:07:25	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x665fbe…
07-07 12:07:25	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x4f5460…
07-07 12:07:25	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x457b55…
07-07 12:07:25	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x356a22…
07-07 12:07:25	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x3466d9…
07-07 12:07:25	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x1df340…
07-07 12:07:22	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	774	42¢	$325	0x42d2ff…
07-07 09:47:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	364	60¢	$218	0x249cb0…
07-07 08:59:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	806	7¢	$56	0x5666eb…
07-07 03:59:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	806	8¢	$64	0x680d5e…
07-07 01:40:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	631	61¢	$385	0xf9d0fb…
07-06 23:22:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	267	60¢	$160	0x4635ab…
07-06 23:21:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	364	60¢	$218	0x0ae558…
07-06 23:21:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	631	61¢	$385	0xa9f42a…
07-06 23:21:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	267	60¢	$160	0xa8b7a6…
07-06 22:31:47	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	68	62¢	$42	0xb07ec0…
07-06 22:31:46	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	160	62¢	$99	0xbf897e…
07-06 21:28:49	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	228	62¢	$141	0xaed008…
07-06 15:18:38	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	64	52¢	$33	0x7e989d…
07-06 15:18:37	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	52¢	$4	0xfb37d6…
07-06 15:18:23	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	52¢	$4	0xadf6fe…
07-06 15:18:22	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	32	52¢	$17	0xce6885…
07-06 15:18:22	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x7ea556…
07-06 15:18:20	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	52¢	$13	0x7951f6…
07-06 15:18:19	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	95	52¢	$50	0x2e8cc4…
07-06 15:18:07	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	242	52¢	$126	0xb48ff5…