Bewitched-Optimist 0x42e53b…4b5ade Create alert
2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$196
Unrealized P&L
+$73
Hit rate
61.0%
Resolved
126
Trades
224
lifetime
Volume
$5.20K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$667
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-02 16:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 66 days
Categories
Other
56% 48% +$286
Politics
39% 39% -$10
Crypto
3% 33% -$66
Sports
2% 25% -$15
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +636 $220 45¢ $283 +$63 10-12 04:40
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -64 -$62 98¢ $-63 $0 10-07 18:38
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? No +56 $40 90¢ $50 +$10 09-10 17:56
us announces end of iranian blockade by march 31 2027 Yes +64 $50 72¢ $46 -$4 09-30 16:59
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +44 $25 95¢ $42 +$17 09-30 16:59
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +40 $35 98¢ $40 +$5 09-20 06:35
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? No +41 $30 91¢ $37 +$7 09-10 17:57
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +39 $30 92¢ $36 +$6 10-14 21:12
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +31 $20 88¢ $27 +$7 09-10 17:58
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $30 42¢ $21 -$9 09-30 16:58
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +146 $40 9¢ $13 -$27 07-19 14:26
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? Yes +207 $10 4¢ $8 -$2 07-16 20:47