Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$50

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

49.2%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

72 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$2.53K lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

$98

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 08-08 07:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

61% 25% +$70

Crypto

33% 100% +$1

Politics

5% 25% -$1

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-08).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No		-50	-$48	98¢	$-49	-$1	08-07 07:59
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No		-50	-$46	97¢	$-49	-$2	08-07 08:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$342	180	180	+0	open	—	08-07 07:59
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	2	$220	110	110	+0	No	+$0	02-27 05:26
will bitcoin reach 120k in february 2026	2	$220	110	110	+0	No	+$0	02-27 05:25
will bitcoin reach 115k in february 2026	2	$219	110	110	+0	No	+$0	02-27 05:26
lol t1a dkc 2026 01 26	1	$177	300	0	+300	T1 Academy	+$123	01-25 17:43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	1	$156	160	0	+160	No	+$4	08-08 07:48
spx opens up or down on february 27 2026	4	$131	105	105	+0	Down	+$0	02-27 06:04
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	1	$119	120	0	+120	Yes	+$1	08-08 07:46
Fed rate hike in 2026?	2	$108	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	08-07 17:21
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	04-26 07:51
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$99	50	50	+0	No	$0	03-16 07:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	1	$90	90	0	+90	No	+$0	04-26 07:51
will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	2	$85	100	100	+0	No	-$41	08-08 07:41
will 25 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	5	$71	100	100	+0	No	-$1	03-16 08:34
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	1	$48	0	50	-50	open	—	08-07 07:59
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	1	$46	0	50	-50	open	—	08-07 08:00
will 20 24 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	2	$43	70	70	+0	No	-$1	03-16 08:33
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	2	$38	50	50	+0	open	—	08-08 07:41
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	2	$38	50	50	+0	open	—	08-08 07:41
Ebola case in the US by June 30?	2	$35	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-16 08:52
Will Costco Q3 US adjusted comparable sales growth be between 7.5% and 8.5%?	2	$35	20	20	+0	No	+$1	05-22 22:58
will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	8	$33	20	20	+0	No	$0	08-07 09:36
will sir alex ferguson attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630262	2	$28	50	50	+0	No	-$8	08-08 07:42
jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	3	$22	50	50	+0	No	-$3	08-08 07:41
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?	4	$6	20	20	+0	Yes	-$2	05-16 09:33
First round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election?	3	$5	40	40	+0	No	-$1	05-16 09:03
will karim benzema attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630270	2	$5	50	50	+0	No	-$3	08-08 07:41
will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by october 31 2026	2	$4	20	20	+0	No	$0	08-07 14:07
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	2	$4	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	05-16 09:02
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	2	$3	20	20	+0	open	—	08-08 07:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 07:48:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	160	98¢	$156	0x547e51…
08-08 07:46:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x2bc83e…
08-08 07:42:04	will sir alex ferguson attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630262	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x6791cc…
08-08 07:41:58	will karim benzema attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630270	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0xf4c406…
08-08 07:41:52	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	No	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0x35d302…
08-08 07:41:48	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0xf5b127…
08-08 07:41:42	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x92cee6…
08-08 07:41:36	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	Yes	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0xda7a60…
08-08 07:41:28	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	Yes	SELL	100	22¢	$22	0xff60c6…
08-08 04:43:31	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0xeccd3f…
08-08 04:43:31	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	No	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0xe21c95…
08-07 20:49:40	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	Yes	SELL	10	25¢	$3	0x4c7a2e…
08-07 18:56:19	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xf3573c…
08-07 18:47:16	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x6f230c…
08-07 17:42:00	will sir alex ferguson attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630262	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x91e31d…
08-07 17:21:01	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	54¢	$54	0xe8d18c…
08-07 17:15:13	will karim benzema attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630270	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x727017…
08-07 16:20:31	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x04daaa…
08-07 14:07:37	will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x7bad7b…
08-07 11:43:22	will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x4b4781…
08-07 11:43:07	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	Yes	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0xb6de7a…
08-07 09:36:25	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	Yes	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x990082…
08-07 09:25:30	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	Yes	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0x1fddd2…
08-07 09:25:18	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	Yes	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0xf14b55…
08-07 09:25:01	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	Yes	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0x996857…
08-07 09:24:42	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	Yes	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0x242f3f…
08-07 09:24:25	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	Yes	SELL	3	83¢	$3	0x72fb40…
08-07 09:11:00	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	Yes	SELL	5	83¢	$5	0xcdd484…
08-07 08:57:48	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x0156ae…
08-07 08:00:00	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0xa0ff56…
08-07 07:59:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	180	96¢	$173	0xe8cddf…
08-07 07:59:45	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x7cc756…
05-22 22:58:55	Will Costco Q3 US adjusted comparable sales growth be between 7.5% and 8.5%?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x28c2de…
05-16 09:48:45	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	180	94¢	$169	0x0f879b…
05-16 09:33:39	Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x56eb7a…
05-16 09:31:55	Will Costco Q3 US adjusted comparable sales growth be between 7.5% and 8.5%?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x9b2bc9…
05-16 09:30:16	Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?	Yes	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x411c10…
05-16 09:30:07	Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x46d621…
05-16 09:30:00	Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?	Yes	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x9d38fb…
05-16 09:23:40	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0x3fb583…
05-16 09:22:58	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x45e3e7…
05-16 09:04:01	Will Nithya Raman win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x582642…
05-16 09:03:47	First round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election?	Yes	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0x5ed4f3…
05-16 09:03:22	First round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x69a7fb…
05-16 09:02:28	First round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xee1cdb…
05-16 09:02:24	Will Nithya Raman win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x01757f…
05-16 09:02:07	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x29ee83…
05-16 09:00:25	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xa8e9ef…
05-16 08:52:59	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xf1cb1c…
05-16 08:51:19	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x8096b9…
04-26 07:51:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x74b1a4…
04-26 07:51:32	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa5e59f…
03-16 08:34:09	will 25 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	Yes	SELL	15	34¢	$5	0x085ea3…
03-16 08:33:59	will 25 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	Yes	SELL	30	35¢	$10	0xcb4cc9…
03-16 08:33:57	will 25 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	Yes	SELL	50	35¢	$18	0x375f80…
03-16 08:33:49	will 20 24 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	Yes	SELL	70	30¢	$21	0x7ea932…
03-16 08:25:41	will 25 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x31a1fe…
03-16 08:20:53	will 25 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	Yes	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0xf33f45…
03-16 07:36:03	will 20 24 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	Yes	BUY	70	31¢	$22	0xe70157…
03-16 07:35:09	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0xeea330…
02-27 06:16:34	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x25fdae…
02-27 06:04:24	spx opens up or down on february 27 2026	Down	SELL	86	62¢	$53	0xab8d55…
02-27 06:00:36	spx opens up or down on february 27 2026	Down	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0xb91b91…
02-27 05:57:10	spx opens up or down on february 27 2026	Down	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0xf7e84e…
02-27 05:56:42	spx opens up or down on february 27 2026	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x9819c3…
02-27 05:26:48	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x4a9390…
02-27 05:26:30	will bitcoin reach 115k in february 2026	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x96dd95…
02-27 05:25:32	will bitcoin reach 120k in february 2026	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x25f16b…
02-11 08:29:45	will bitcoin reach 115k in february 2026	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x563ef7…
02-11 08:29:39	will bitcoin reach 120k in february 2026	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x9d703a…
02-11 08:29:31	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x9391c4…
01-25 17:43:22	lol t1a dkc 2026 01 26	T1 Academy	BUY	300	59¢	$177	0xa64451…