Realized P&L
-$6
Unrealized P&L
-$22
Hit rate
32.6%
Resolved
3
Trades
1,236
lifetime
Volume
$14.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$347
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 06-04 13:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
77% 33% $-6
Politics
16%
Crypto
6%
Sports
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No -364 $-109 32¢ $-118 $-9 06-01 14:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -400 $-80 24¢ $-96 $-16 05-28 13:12
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -600 $-40 $-43 $-4 06-01 23:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No -77 $-42 56¢ $-43 $-1 06-01 15:05
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June? Yes -710 $-11 $-13 $-3 06-04 13:02
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? Yes -140 $-8 $-9 $-1 06-04 13:02
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -60 $-10 14¢ $-8 +$1 06-03 20:47
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -105 $-6 $-6 +$0 06-04 13:02
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Yes -82 $-9 $-5 +$4 06-02 11:46
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? Yes -33 $-8 12¢ $-4 +$4 06-02 16:38
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30? Yes -48 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-03 07:21