Realized P&L
-$6
Unrealized P&L
-$13
Hit rate
32.6%
Resolved
3
Trades
1,236
lifetime
Volume
$14.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$199
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 06-04 13:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
77% 33% $-6
Politics
16%
Crypto
6%
Sports
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -400 $-80 30¢ $-118 $-38 05-28 13:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No -77 $-42 60¢ $-47 $-4 06-01 15:05
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -600 $-40 $-22 +$18 06-01 23:49
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? Yes -140 $-8 $-6 +$2 06-04 13:02
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -60 $-10 $-4 +$6 06-03 20:47
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -105 $-6 $-2 +$4 06-04 13:02