Dapper-Outrigger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.25K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.1%

Resolved

1,008

Trades

1,662

lifetime

Volume

$60.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 08-19 19:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 115 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 94% -$39

Other

31% 51% -$1,097

Sports

12% 56% -$75

Politics

0% 25% -$12

Tech

0% 0% -$25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	25	$1.9K	4,046	4,046	+0	No	+$67	07-08 20:55
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	17	$895	1,638	1,638	+0	No	+$38	05-14 21:15
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	7	$875	892	892	+0	No	+$55	07-07 18:38
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$843	2,862	2,862	+0	No	-$219	07-07 17:27
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	6	$829	1,181	1,181	+0	Yes	-$98	07-07 17:27
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	14	$780	1,018	1,018	+0	No	+$24	05-14 18:22
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	7	$621	1,352	1,352	+0	No	-$397	07-09 16:51
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	11	$613	1,414	404	+1,010	No	-$354	07-08 21:01
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	10	$509	596	596	+0	No	+$23	06-16 11:13
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	13	$508	1,891	1,891	+0	Yes	$0	07-01 08:54
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	10	$456	754	436	+318	Yes	+$152	06-11 17:35
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	9	$449	387	387	+0	No	+$105	07-07 15:18
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	9	$429	1,065	1,065	+0	Yes	-$184	07-07 15:12
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	13	$405	789	789	+0	Yes	+$1	05-15 11:29
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	6	$377	1,021	1,021	+0	No	-$53	05-14 21:11
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	17	$369	1,404	1,404	+0	No	+$90	05-11 14:54
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	7	$354	551	551	+0	No	-$4	06-11 17:29
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	14	$344	698	593	+104	Yes	+$92	05-06 21:45
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	15	$340	1,433	332	+1,100	No	-$86	06-09 15:40
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	6	$316	722	722	+0	No	+$10	05-14 15:41
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$279	1,442	1,442	+0	No	+$10	06-17 10:20
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	10	$264	247	247	+0	Yes	-$14	06-09 15:38
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	5	$255	671	671	+0	No	-$27	05-13 20:41
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 15:45 UTC	1	$250	258	0	+258	Up	+$9	08-10 15:49
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	10	$239	632	632	+0	No	+$9	05-07 17:10
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	12	$239	875	875	+0	No	-$11	05-06 21:45
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 14:55 UTC	1	$233	251	0	+251	Down	+$18	08-10 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 14:45 UTC	1	$231	233	0	+233	Down	+$2	08-10 14:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 07:05 UTC	1	$231	242	0	+242	Down	-$231	08-11 07:09
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 07:00 UTC	1	$228	231	0	+231	Up	+$3	08-11 07:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-19 19:02:31	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 19?	No	SELL	21	91¢	$19	0x133c91…
08-19 19:02:25	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 19?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x31d4ec…
08-19 19:02:18	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 19?	Yes	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xcc1f4a…
08-19 15:05:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xa9c787…
08-19 15:02:22	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0xc5f11e…
08-19 13:47:54	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 19?	No	BUY	21	89¢	$19	0x051245…
08-19 13:44:58	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 19?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x628c5e…
08-19 12:27:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 19?	No	BUY	19	92¢	$18	0x268bfd…
08-19 12:22:54	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x720cb5…
08-19 12:17:09	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x499ae4…
08-19 11:01:43	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	38	96¢	$37	0xe38e5d…
08-19 10:57:07	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0xf1371b…
08-19 07:20:16	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	35	93¢	$33	0x638552…
08-18 21:10:07	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 18?	No	BUY	29	93¢	$27	0xd289be…
08-18 21:08:46	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xc51248…
08-18 21:08:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	43	96¢	$41	0x426194…
08-18 21:07:21	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0xc656a6…
08-18 18:21:34	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	59	97¢	$57	0x975fe7…
08-18 18:16:37	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x22aa12…
08-18 16:31:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x037c45…
08-18 13:41:43	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0xf8f0c5…
08-18 13:41:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xb0d82c…
08-18 12:06:46	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	44¢	$29	0x8c9bd1…
08-18 11:56:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xdbc58f…
08-18 06:23:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x54a64b…
08-18 06:22:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	28	95¢	$27	0xa08f11…
08-17 21:11:07	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 17?	Yes	BUY	31	91¢	$28	0x89226f…
08-17 21:08:45	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 17?	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xd2fd2e…
08-17 19:53:27	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 17?	Yes	BUY	24	97¢	$24	0x12a581…
08-17 19:52:27	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 17?	No	SELL	30	79¢	$24	0x4eca6e…
08-17 17:49:51	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 17?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0xb57cdd…
08-17 17:40:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 17?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xade12d…
08-17 14:37:40	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 17?	No	BUY	29	94¢	$27	0x3f2076…
08-17 14:36:49	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 17?	Yes	SELL	28	98¢	$27	0x9ced47…
08-17 14:35:30	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	28	97¢	$28	0xf6272e…
08-17 14:33:51	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on August 17?	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xac5066…
08-17 11:42:09	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	28	95¢	$26	0xae608b…
08-17 11:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on August 17?	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xf9298e…
08-17 08:46:40	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xa1f97b…
08-17 08:44:13	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	26	94¢	$25	0x2eaca1…
08-17 08:43:03	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x0ebc45…
08-16 21:51:51	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 16?	Yes	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0xdc347b…
08-16 21:49:52	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on August 16?	Yes	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x481bc8…
08-16 19:36:27	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 16?	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xe55b51…
08-16 19:33:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x9d7f23…
08-16 17:56:33	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	23	94¢	$22	0x867f08…
08-16 17:56:01	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 16?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x144709…
08-16 15:58:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x386960…
08-16 15:51:57	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 16?	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x475e2f…
08-16 15:36:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x306523…
08-16 15:35:39	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on August 16?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xb5fbc2…
08-16 13:22:48	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x3647a0…
08-16 13:21:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x247f43…
08-16 12:38:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x02b26f…
08-16 12:34:36	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xc4b4ff…
08-16 12:33:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 16?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xa22437…
08-16 12:33:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 16?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x5cdef9…
08-16 06:51:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x8b2adc…
08-16 06:50:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x32cbc4…
08-16 06:50:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x8fa6db…
08-16 06:49:28	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 15?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xf6d7a4…
08-16 06:49:22	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on August 15?	Yes	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xc6dfbb…
08-15 21:00:54	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 15?	Yes	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x6277f3…
08-15 20:59:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C or below on August 15?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x2c4c8e…
08-15 17:18:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C or below on August 15?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$21	0xb8af16…
08-15 17:18:25	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 15?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x8b045b…
08-15 11:37:49	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on August 15?	Yes	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0xb565d8…
08-15 11:36:34	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on August 15?	Yes	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x8dcd17…
08-15 11:34:55	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x3bb292…
08-15 11:33:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 15?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x29c42f…
08-15 11:33:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 15?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x442b16…
08-15 11:33:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 15?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xa66ec6…
08-15 07:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	23	85¢	$20	0xf073ac…
08-15 07:11:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x52375c…
08-15 07:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x4d3357…
08-14 14:15:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0xda7a6d…
08-14 14:13:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x0f684c…
08-14 14:13:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x3e8a35…
08-12 09:35:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 09:35 UTC	Down	SELL	4	38¢	$1	0xad9713…
08-12 09:35:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x03610a…
08-12 09:34:13	Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x6e3b66…
08-12 09:33:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 09:30 UTC	Down	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0xc26440…
08-12 09:32:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x75d521…
08-12 09:29:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	109	98¢	$107	0x818c14…
08-12 09:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	107	99¢	$106	0xb8d338…
08-12 09:04:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0x33c1c8…
08-12 08:59:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0xd3b5e3…
08-12 08:54:51	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x47a287…
08-12 08:49:39	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x9d90fd…
08-12 08:38:01	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 12?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x5350bc…
08-12 08:35:18	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xaa56cf…
08-12 08:35:01	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xe14de1…
08-11 13:14:42	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 11?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xc14a83…
08-11 13:11:49	Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xb7d3ee…
08-11 13:07:49	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xb5fe5d…
08-11 13:06:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xf27940…
08-11 13:05:42	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x898b03…
08-11 13:03:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x5bc948…
08-11 12:19:46	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x29574d…
08-11 11:59:42	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	111	99¢	$109	0xc8891c…