Scented-Battleship — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$132

Unrealized P&L

-$27

Hit rate

84.0%

Resolved

Trades

232

lifetime

Volume

$1.84K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$131

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 06-20 00:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

41% 0% $-0

Other

40% 100% +$1

Crypto

17% — —

Sports

3% 100% +$132

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	+924	$103	10¢	$88	$-16	06-20 00:07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+240	$43	14¢	$32	$-11	06-13 04:28
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?	Yes	-660	$-5	1¢	$-5	+$0	06-09 13:39
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	Yes	-127	$-4	4¢	$-5	$-1	06-09 13:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	4	$362	5,852	3,291	+2,561	open	—	02-10 20:38
Fed rate hike in 2026?	4	$118	100	100	+0	open	—	06-15 15:36
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	2	$107	5,370	0	+5,370	open	—	02-10 00:19
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	3	$103	924	0	+924	open	—	06-20 00:07
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	2	$98	0	244	-244	open	—	06-05 15:39
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	3	$90	56	56	+0	open	—	04-08 12:00
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	4	$44	188	188	+0	open	—	03-27 03:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$43	240	0	+240	open	—	06-13 04:28
btc updown 15m 1770754500	2	$42	28	27	+0	open	—	02-10 20:22
will bitcoin dip to 66k march 23 29	10	$39	88	88	+0	open	—	03-26 12:51
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	2	$39	1,173	1,173	+0	open	—	02-10 18:50
bitcoin above 72k on march 27	2	$33	200	200	+0	open	—	03-26 20:34
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	2	$30	33	33	+0	open	—	05-11 07:58
highest temperature in nyc on march 9 2026 66forhigher	7	$29	38	38	+0	open	—	03-08 17:18
will jordan strike iran by march 31	3	$29	238	238	+0	open	—	03-11 00:40
highest temperature in seoul on march 3 2026 9c	3	$23	39	39	+0	open	—	03-03 02:03
btc updown 15m 1770753600	2	$23	2,050	0	+2,050	open	—	02-10 20:14
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?	2	$22	64	64	+0	open	—	05-15 09:30
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	1	$20	0	39	-39	open	—	05-28 12:41
bitcoin above 70k on march 27	3	$19	30	30	+0	open	—	03-26 20:31
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	2	$19	100	0	+100	Sean Strickland	+$81	05-09 10:00
highest temperature in seoul on march 5 2026 10c	3	$19	34	34	+0	open	—	03-04 11:27
will bitcoin dip to 64k april 6 12	4	$19	405	377	+28	open	—	04-12 22:03
bitcoin above 66k on march 27	4	$17	107	107	+0	open	—	03-26 18:05
GTA VI released before June 2026?	4	$17	420	420	+0	open	—	03-10 11:11
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	3	$15	16	16	+0	open	—	03-04 11:27
will bnb dip to 500 in march	3	$14	310	310	+0	open	—	03-26 13:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	04-29 01:08
will canada strike iran by march 31	5	$13	333	333	+0	open	—	03-15 16:56
xrp updown 4h 1772614800	2	$13	13	13	+0	open	—	03-04 03:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 00:07:22	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0xa4de1a…
06-15 15:36:06	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x589118…
06-15 15:22:43	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	40	68¢	$27	0x0acc4e…
06-15 05:29:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	66	5¢	$3	0x779906…
06-15 03:54:07	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	50	65¢	$32	0x6093d0…
06-15 03:47:54	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x0c1d29…
06-15 03:45:52	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x24c886…
06-14 05:33:51	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x23ab9b…
06-13 04:54:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x160633…
06-13 04:28:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	240	18¢	$43	0x5e6703…
06-13 04:26:45	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	333	13¢	$43	0xfe6fe8…
06-09 13:39:39	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	660	1¢	$5	0x4cef30…
06-09 13:39:33	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	127	3¢	$4	0x348545…
06-07 06:55:54	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x7e3737…
06-05 15:39:39	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0x1dba7a…
06-05 12:01:45	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	238	40¢	$95	0x00d3e8…
05-31 05:32:24	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	23	31¢	$7	0xe3b97c…
05-29 03:11:46	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0x4a3ee4…
05-28 12:41:29	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	39	50¢	$20	0xa346d8…
05-25 02:53:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x740d37…
05-24 03:10:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xcd747a…
05-15 09:30:37	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?	No	SELL	64	5¢	$3	0x252d81…
05-15 02:50:38	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?	No	BUY	64	30¢	$19	0xfc537f…
05-11 21:10:47	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x6be451…
05-11 08:19:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x9dc565…
05-11 07:58:30	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	33	45¢	$15	0x271ed4…
05-11 07:15:13	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0x6f3dfa…
05-11 07:07:17	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x02483c…
05-11 03:05:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7d4833…
05-09 10:00:06	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x2cf8ca…
05-09 03:57:47	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0xf2cf8f…
05-09 02:19:12	UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x3db0f0…
05-09 02:18:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	SELL	22	25¢	$5	0xc70776…
05-08 06:06:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0xa7a8be…
05-08 05:54:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x129686…
04-29 01:08:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0x8b50d8…
04-24 02:56:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x014141…
04-12 22:04:01	will bitcoin dip to 66k april 6 12	Yes	SELL	60	1¢	$1	0x4bfbcc…
04-12 22:03:57	will bitcoin dip to 64k april 6 12	Yes	SELL	377	0¢	$0	0x64dc77…
04-10 12:08:47	will bitcoin dip to 64k april 6 12	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xeef262…
04-08 12:24:59	will bitcoin dip to 64k april 6 12	Yes	BUY	13	4¢	$1	0xb0a893…
04-08 12:10:35	will bitcoin dip to 66k april 6 12	Yes	BUY	55	12¢	$7	0xc23d52…
04-08 12:10:29	will bitcoin dip to 66k april 6 12	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xe4d0d4…
04-08 12:09:29	will bitcoin dip to 64k april 6 12	Yes	BUY	333	5¢	$17	0x3a27ad…
04-08 12:00:33	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	56	81¢	$45	0x7baa15…
03-27 05:16:33	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x15f96d…
03-27 03:09:33	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	Yes	SELL	181	10¢	$18	0x58524b…
03-26 20:57:25	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	Yes	BUY	181	11¢	$20	0x19b1a0…
03-26 20:38:49	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	41	82¢	$33	0x1cbd11…
03-26 20:34:03	bitcoin above 72k on march 27	Yes	SELL	200	6¢	$13	0xecc3a1…
03-26 20:31:35	bitcoin above 70k on march 27	Yes	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0x7ca0a4…
03-26 20:31:27	bitcoin above 70k on march 27	Yes	SELL	29	33¢	$10	0x7152a7…
03-26 18:05:21	bitcoin above 66k on march 27	No	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x2f0c59…
03-26 18:05:19	bitcoin above 66k on march 27	No	SELL	101	10¢	$10	0x579c76…
03-26 17:57:11	bitcoin above 66k on march 27	No	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xf86263…
03-26 16:12:07	bitcoin above 66k on march 27	No	BUY	107	6¢	$6	0xddb729…
03-26 15:21:49	bitcoin above 70k on march 27	Yes	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x6c8b67…
03-26 15:04:03	bitcoin above 72k on march 27	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x102bf0…
03-26 13:30:53	will bnb dip to 600 in march	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0xf0a9c0…
03-26 13:23:23	will bnb dip to 600 in march	Yes	SELL	26	19¢	$5	0x70dca0…
03-26 13:04:59	will bnb dip to 500 in march	Yes	SELL	310	2¢	$7	0xcb2dc4…
03-26 12:51:59	will bitcoin dip to 66k march 23 29	Yes	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x96946b…
03-26 09:31:33	will bitcoin dip to 66k march 23 29	Yes	SELL	86	27¢	$23	0x94b577…
03-26 04:55:05	will bnb dip to 500 in march	Yes	BUY	88	2¢	$2	0x8e8204…
03-26 04:47:27	will bnb dip to 500 in march	Yes	BUY	222	2¢	$5	0xefdf6b…
03-26 04:46:01	will bitcoin dip to 66k march 23 29	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xc01267…
03-25 17:45:25	will bnb dip to 600 in march	Yes	BUY	0	18¢	$0	0xa68a3a…
03-25 17:44:57	will bnb dip to 600 in march	Yes	BUY	16	18¢	$3	0xa97116…
03-25 16:27:15	will bitcoin dip to 66k march 23 29	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x443628…
03-25 16:27:11	will bitcoin dip to 66k march 23 29	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xfb3df5…
03-25 16:27:11	will bitcoin dip to 66k march 23 29	Yes	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0x105009…
03-25 16:27:09	will bitcoin dip to 66k march 23 29	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xe0c0be…
03-25 16:27:09	will bitcoin dip to 66k march 23 29	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x6c0670…
03-25 15:22:29	bitcoin up or down on march 25 2026	Down	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x8ed60c…
03-25 15:01:35	will bnb dip to 600 in march	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x3f58b0…
03-25 14:41:47	will bitcoin dip to 66k march 23 29	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x6151eb…
03-25 14:13:33	will bitcoin dip to 66k march 23 29	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x4b907f…
03-25 14:11:43	will bitcoin dip to 70k on march 25	Yes	BUY	11	29¢	$3	0x5e157b…
03-25 14:09:29	bitcoin up or down on march 25 2026	Down	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0x5f5c03…
03-25 14:07:23	bitcoin up or down on march 25 2026	Down	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0xf9b592…
03-25 14:04:23	will bitcoin dip to 70k on march 25	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x1bc461…
03-25 13:54:31	bitcoin up or down on march 25 2026	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0e7398…
03-25 13:54:13	bitcoin up or down on march 25 2026	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc02683…
03-25 13:00:45	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x921642…
03-25 06:38:55	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	12	28¢	$3	0x344e89…
03-25 02:18:27	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0x0955ad…
03-25 01:41:45	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	Yes	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0x8cfebc…
03-24 06:30:49	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0xfcdd76…
03-22 05:31:03	fact check maduro capture staged	Yes	SELL	160	1¢	$1	0x7cbbe5…
03-22 04:55:43	fact check maduro capture staged	Yes	BUY	160	1¢	$1	0x09ff6d…
03-22 04:45:29	Israeli forces enter Beirut by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	2¢	$1	0xb8f882…
03-21 11:56:37	Israeli forces enter Beirut by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x184cd6…
03-21 11:56:31	Israeli forces enter Beirut by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x544d63…
03-21 10:46:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x5a97a5…
03-21 10:42:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x32c492…
03-21 02:23:17	will trump cut off trade with spain	Yes	SELL	260	1¢	$2	0xa51743…
03-19 12:23:53	will trump cut off trade with spain	Yes	BUY	260	1¢	$2	0xd61515…
03-19 11:50:45	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xb841c0…
03-19 11:49:23	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x6c996b…
03-19 11:49:11	will duke win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	SELL	14	18¢	$2	0xbb68ab…