Realized P&L
-$3.66K
Unrealized P&L
-$96
Hit rate
65.8%
Resolved
174
Trades
1,114
lifetime
Volume
$187.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$169
Open exposure
$11.8K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 11-04 04:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 79 days
Categories
Politics
54% 55% -$5,631
Other
23% 77% +$2,500
Sports
20% 52% -$510
Tech
3% 71% -$18
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes -3,052 -$2,918 100¢ $-3047 -$130 11-03 20:53
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,505 $2,220 90¢ $2.2K +$22 10-24 18:15
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +1,667 $1,543 94¢ $1.6K +$16 09-20 17:41
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,485 $1,255 91¢ $1.3K +$95 10-13 16:26
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +1,000 $866 97¢ $967 +$101 09-09 04:04
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -800 -$344 74¢ $-588 -$244 05-26 08:05
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +600 $510 96¢ $576 +$66 05-12 16:47
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +500 $435 92¢ $460 +$25 09-18 00:15
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +417 $370 91¢ $381 +$11 09-10 02:02
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +315 $176 82¢ $258 +$82 05-05 05:03
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +207 $205 92¢ $191 -$14 05-23 03:08
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +100 $141 92¢ $92 -$50 09-20 03:15
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +200 $134 44¢ $89 -$45 09-17 18:04
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +100 $60 29¢ $29 -$31 09-17 18:05