Realized P&L
-$47
Unrealized P&L
-$51
Hit rate
49.5%
Resolved
82
Trades
180
lifetime
Volume
$1.41K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$59
12 positions
First seen
2026-05-16
last 08-24 02:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 35 days
Categories
Sports
47% 30% +$12
Other
32% 17% -$156
Politics
17% 57% +$136
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$19
Tech
1% 0% -$16
Crypto
0% 0% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +54 $15 19¢ $10 -$5 07-29 13:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +57 $10 18¢ $10 +$0 06-14 15:16
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +151 $10 6¢ $9 -$1 08-14 09:22
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +300 $17 2¢ $7 -$10 05-26 20:16
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +200 $20 3¢ $6 -$14 06-24 01:21
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +6 $5 84¢ $5 +$0 08-14 09:15
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +34 $5 10¢ $3 -$2 06-14 10:39
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,000 $10 0¢ $3 -$7 06-14 10:42
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? Yes +152 $5 1¢ $2 -$3 06-30 23:27
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +27 $3 6¢ $2 -$1 07-30 19:18
New pandemic in 2026? Yes +45 $5 3¢ $1 -$4 05-31 06:39
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +56 $5 2¢ $1 -$4 06-02 08:30