Definitive-Grammar 0x4677c0…49dfaf
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$8
Unrealized P&L
+$21
Hit rate
76.8%
Resolved
81
Trades
173
lifetime
Volume
$1.22K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$592
16 positions
First seen
2026-05-20
last 10-25 16:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 36 days
Categories
Politics
54% 67% -$7
Other
37% 48% -$15
Sports
5% 30% +$9
Tech
2% — —
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$5
Crypto
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +105 $100 98¢ $103 +$3 08-23 17:59
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +109 $100 94¢ $103 +$3 10-25 14:32
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +91 $80 94¢ $86 +$6 08-23 18:00
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +69 $60 98¢ $68 +$8 06-29 14:10
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? No +61 $50 92¢ $56 +$6 10-25 14:59
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +52 $35 72¢ $38 +$3 10-25 15:30
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? No +34 $30 92¢ $31 +$1 10-25 14:57
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +36 $30 82¢ $30 $0 10-25 16:07
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +22 $20 94¢ $21 +$1 10-25 15:55
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +17 $15 94¢ $16 +$1 10-25 15:55
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +14 $10 74¢ $11 +$1 10-25 15:55
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +11 $10 97¢ $10 +$1 09-20 08:41
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +11 $10 94¢ $10 +$0 09-13 16:39
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +48 $15 9¢ $4 -$11 05-21 10:39
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +25 $4 12¢ $3 -$1 06-14 18:12
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +33 $2 4¢ $1 -$1 06-14 18:12