Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
148
lifetime
Volume
$416
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$54
15 positions
First seen
2026-05-16
last 06-11 01:03
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
62%
Other
25%
Tech
8%
Crypto
3%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No +8 $6 88¢ $7 +$1 06-02 13:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +9 $6 72¢ $6 +$0 06-04 20:44
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +9 $6 74¢ $6 +$0 06-03 09:06
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +8 $6 78¢ $6 +$0 06-02 23:44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +9 $6 68¢ $6 $-0 06-11 01:03
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? No +7 $5 70¢ $5 +$0 06-03 22:55
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +5 $4 96¢ $5 +$1 05-29 19:49
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,400 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +4 $3 99¢ $3 +$0 06-02 10:11
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 06-02 06:52
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +3 $2 86¢ $2 +$0 05-28 14:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -2 $-1 96¢ $-2 $-0 05-31 09:49
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 05-29 13:41
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 $-0 06-02 10:20
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +0 $-0 73¢ $0 +$0 06-03 22:03
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +0 $-0 62¢ $0 +$1 06-08 13:32