Fortunate-Dinghy-Observation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$34

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 05-21 06:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

67% 100% +$0

Politics

18% 100% +$0

Crypto

15% 33% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$16	37	+37	open	—	05-13 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	2	$2	5	+5	Up	$-1	05-10 06:51
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	2	$2	3	+3	open	—	05-10 06:36
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	1	$1	5	+5	open	—	05-21 05:56
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	1	$1	12	+12	open	—	05-21 06:06
Will Starmer say "Shadow Secretary" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	1	$1	10	+10	open	—	05-04 07:53
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	1	$1	21	+21	open	—	05-03 18:03
Will "Bathroom" be said during Eurovision?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-16 12:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$1	77	+77	open	—	05-10 06:52
Will "Expensive" be said during Eurovision?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-16 12:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Up	$-1	05-10 06:41
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	open	—	05-03 18:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	1	$1	8	+8	open	—	05-03 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	05-10 06:51
Will "Celebrate" or "Celebrated" be said during Eurovision?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	05-16 12:42
Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	05-03 18:31
Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	05-03 18:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 06:06:51	Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xc054f7…
05-21 05:56:44	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xe93f49…
05-16 12:42:26	Will "Expensive" be said during Eurovision?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb66471…
05-16 12:42:05	Will "Celebrate" or "Celebrated" be said during Eurovision?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xb3d6b8…
05-16 12:42:00	Will "Bathroom" be said during Eurovision?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf00393…
05-13 08:12:36	Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x7a0e47…
05-13 08:08:43	Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x659162…
05-10 06:52:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x9151e3…
05-10 06:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3c8743…
05-10 06:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x09c270…
05-10 06:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x670c7c…
05-10 06:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x692b43…
05-10 06:36:28	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x5983e1…
05-04 07:56:32	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x3311ed…
05-04 07:53:58	Will Starmer say "Shadow Secretary" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9591e4…
05-03 18:32:28	Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x8aae84…
05-03 18:32:14	Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x9aec03…
05-03 18:31:40	Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xec2d0c…
05-03 18:31:34	Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x11dcb8…
05-03 18:04:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xcc1ce7…
05-03 18:03:06	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x917ba3…