Will Israel win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
open
Total volume
$448
$5,945 in 24h
Trades
36
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$16,550
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-13 00:37
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-13.0¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $9
vs crowd: 13% YES on $409)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | — | $129 | $129 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $114 | $114 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $53 | $114 | $60 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $9 | $9 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $60 | $60 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $27 | $27 |
| Median | 4 | $5 | $23 | $18 |
| Below median | 2 | $2 | $4 | $2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $43 | $43 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | — | $177 | $177 |
| unranked | 7 | $46 | $14 | +$32 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Better-Virtue 0xda8e…3edf | Yes | +131 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-12 20:55 |
| Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | +118 | $105 | $105 | 5 | 05-12 23:20 |
| Offbeat-Blight 0x151c…1027 | Yes | +108 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-12 12:42 |
| Jagged-Carol 0x36e0…19b9 | Yes | +67 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 20:40 |
| Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | +38 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 05-12 19:20 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +30 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-12 19:20 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-12 23:20 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +30 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-12 21:17 |
| Muddy-Deployment 0x40a7…ecb7 | No | +25 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-12 18:17 |
| Wicked-Cellar 0x873f…009a | No | +22 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-11 22:07 |
| Cumbersome-Circulation 0x2a31…f2f0 | No | +20 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-10 00:00 |
| Wasteful-Monsoon-Farmer 0x3d7d…10fc | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-11 14:53 |
| Superficial-Endothelium 0xb8f6…4f7f | No | +18 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-09 18:30 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +18 | $15 | $15 | 3 | 05-11 22:58 |
| Useless-Cafe 0x5403…edd5 | No | +16 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-11 15:23 |
| Swift-Excursion 0x76dc…17b4 | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 19:36 |
| Giant-Hello 0xf8a4…77f0 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 21:32 |
| Flippant-Bass 0x5566…7c29 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-12 23:20 |
| Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-12 20:12 |
| Hairy-Geranium-Disconnection 0x27d7…12c7 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 13:32 |
| Unwieldy-Deficit 0x872f…9b4a | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 23:25 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 00:37:31 | Slim-Modernity 0x81fa…e75a | Yes | SELL | 109 | 10¢ | $11 | 0x7191b5… |
| 05-12 23:20:53 | Flippant-Bass 0x5566…7c29 | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x6619c4… |
| 05-12 23:20:52 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0xd4e2c9… |
| 05-12 23:20:52 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | Yes | SELL | 51 | 12¢ | $6 | 0xc09bed… |
| 05-12 23:20:52 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 41 | 89¢ | $36 | 0x87db2f… |
| 05-12 21:17:27 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0x2a1a48… |
| 05-12 21:17:27 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | Yes | SELL | 28 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x28db7b… |
| 05-12 20:55:10 | Better-Virtue 0xda8e…3edf | Yes | BUY | 131 | 15¢ | $20 | 0x8848f2… |
| 05-12 20:47:53 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 7 | 88¢ | $7 | 0x47b27f… |
| 05-12 20:46:31 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0xf4e882… |
| 05-12 20:40:53 | Jagged-Carol 0x36e0…19b9 | Yes | BUY | 67 | 15¢ | $10 | 0x6d33e0… |
| 05-12 20:12:44 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0xfca332… |
| 05-12 20:05:30 | Spry-Diving 0x31d3…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 86 | 14¢ | $12 | 0xa76d47… |
| 05-12 19:36:20 | Swift-Excursion 0x76dc…17b4 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x468ba1… |
| 05-12 19:21:14 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 35 | 89¢ | $31 | 0x0ed876… |
| 05-12 19:20:23 | Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | BUY | 38 | 89¢ | $34 | 0x023987… |
| 05-12 19:20:21 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0x5cd2d3… |
| 05-12 19:20:21 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0xe49a96… |
| 05-12 18:17:18 | Muddy-Deployment 0x40a7…ecb7 | No | BUY | 25 | 87¢ | $22 | 0x6d3dd6… |
| 05-12 17:26:36 | Forsaken-Latitude 0x7a72…9fdb | Yes | SELL | 12 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x5eb4c0… |
| 05-12 16:06:53 | Slim-Modernity 0x81fa…e75a | Yes | BUY | 36 | 14¢ | $5 | 0x37bf43… |
| 05-12 12:42:54 | Offbeat-Blight 0x151c…1027 | Yes | BUY | 108 | 14¢ | $15 | 0x503e1c… |
| 05-11 23:25:39 | Unwieldy-Deficit 0x872f…9b4a | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x7bd927… |
| 05-11 22:58:30 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0xdfec8e… |
| 05-11 22:58:21 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x2f0544… |
| 05-11 22:07:57 | Wicked-Cellar 0x873f…009a | No | BUY | 22 | 88¢ | $19 | 0xcf8f90… |
| 05-11 21:32:05 | Giant-Hello 0xf8a4…77f0 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x534bc3… |
| 05-11 21:08:17 | Unique-Opportunity 0xe90a…14cf | Yes | SELL | 28 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x92d16f… |
| 05-11 15:23:30 | Useless-Cafe 0x5403…edd5 | No | BUY | 16 | 87¢ | $14 | 0x41d478… |
| 05-11 14:53:33 | Wasteful-Monsoon-Farmer 0x3d7d…10fc | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0x58ec83… |
| 05-11 14:53:24 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x65de7d… |
| 05-11 14:47:01 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x6c8395… |
| 05-11 13:32:00 | Hairy-Geranium-Disconnection 0x27d7…12c7 | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x5a7947… |
| 05-11 09:04:59 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 11 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x81be1c… |
| 05-10 00:00:27 | Cumbersome-Circulation 0x2a31…f2f0 | No | BUY | 20 | 54¢ | $11 | 0xe6a140… |
| 05-09 18:30:33 | Superficial-Endothelium 0xb8f6…4f7f | No | BUY | 18 | 71¢ | $13 | 0xd0d060… |