Silver-Yolk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$57

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

836

lifetime

Volume

$179.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$215

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 07-30 01:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

74% 0% $-52

Other

24% 0% $-5

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	148	$33.2K	39,416	39,413	+3	open	—	03-27 13:53
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	49	$16.1K	17,971	17,971	+0	open	—	04-06 11:03
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	26	$12.9K	13,623	13,623	+0	open	—	03-31 21:56
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	37	$10.4K	10,502	10,502	+0	open	—	04-02 00:32
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	43	$10.2K	13,139	13,139	+0	open	—	03-25 18:56
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	22	$9.6K	12,316	12,316	+0	open	—	04-06 11:03
iran leadership change by march 31	45	$5.8K	7,110	7,110	+0	open	—	03-20 08:03
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	45	$5.5K	18,936	18,936	+0	open	—	03-10 15:18
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	10	$4.4K	6,148	6,148	+0	open	—	04-08 17:16
cbb sfl lou 2026 03 19	5	$4.0K	3,229	3,229	+0	open	—	03-19 17:29
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	20	$3.6K	4,016	4,016	+0	open	—	03-19 15:22
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	11	$2.9K	7,798	7,798	+0	open	—	03-19 15:22
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	14	$2.8K	5,763	5,763	+0	open	—	03-26 13:11
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	16	$2.8K	2,068	2,068	+0	open	—	03-19 15:22
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	15	$2.3K	4,212	4,212	+0	open	—	04-21 06:50
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	13	$2.0K	1,528	1,527	+1	open	—	04-11 12:07
cbb hpnt wisc 2026 03 19 spread home 10pt5	17	$2.0K	2,104	2,104	+0	open	—	03-19 17:41
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	23	$1.8K	2,333	2,333	+0	open	—	03-19 15:21
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	6	$1.8K	1,933	1,933	+0	open	—	03-15 02:16
will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	4	$1.7K	3,518	3,518	+0	open	—	03-09 16:13
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	12	$1.7K	1,124	1,123	+0	open	—	04-20 18:16
cbb mst uconn 2026 03 27	2	$1.7K	1,847	1,847	+0	open	—	03-27 06:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	8	$1.6K	1,797	1,797	+0	open	—	04-20 12:28
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	41	$1.6K	7,652	7,651	+1	open	—	03-10 06:22
cbb sfl lou 2026 03 19 spread home 4pt5	2	$1.5K	1,630	1,630	+0	open	—	03-19 17:20
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	7	$1.5K	2,604	2,604	+0	open	—	03-19 15:22
cbb txam stmry 2026 03 19 spread home 2pt5	2	$1.5K	1,415	1,415	+0	open	—	03-19 18:36
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	7	$1.5K	949	949	+0	open	—	06-07 14:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	6	$1.4K	1,028	1,028	+0	open	—	05-03 15:20
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	9	$1.3K	1,513	1,513	+0	open	—	07-02 12:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-30 01:22:05	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	286	77¢	$220	0x243542…
07-30 01:21:45	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	33	78¢	$26	0x1184ff…
07-30 01:21:02	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	320	78¢	$250	0xfa2e4a…
07-23 22:01:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	299	45¢	$135	0xc921c0…
07-23 21:59:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	299	47¢	$141	0x17a062…
07-23 21:46:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	289	48¢	$139	0x853fe7…
07-23 21:44:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	289	49¢	$142	0x436ac3…
07-22 14:31:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	601	28¢	$168	0x77364a…
07-22 14:30:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	601	28¢	$168	0xe25710…
07-17 16:02:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	200	76¢	$152	0x9d656a…
07-17 16:02:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0x743748…
07-12 02:53:31	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	348	40¢	$138	0xbfa3dc…
07-12 02:52:20	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	348	44¢	$153	0xea92d8…
07-08 13:26:49	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	233	56¢	$130	0xe55566…
07-08 13:25:43	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	233	57¢	$133	0x64d7ad…
07-08 03:15:41	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	362	60¢	$217	0x8886fe…
07-08 03:13:11	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	362	69¢	$250	0x281572…
07-07 19:27:28	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	352	70¢	$246	0xebffd9…
07-07 19:26:11	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	352	71¢	$250	0xb2fc2c…
07-02 12:31:13	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	830	16¢	$131	0x8dd9e2…
07-02 12:30:28	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	334	18¢	$60	0x7a221c…
07-01 16:11:43	Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	109	19¢	$21	0x797522…
07-01 16:11:02	Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	109	21¢	$23	0x769976…
06-30 19:54:46	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	613	33¢	$202	0x759eab…
06-30 19:53:44	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	37¢	$8	0xa0c054…
06-30 19:53:01	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	635	41¢	$260	0xccf770…
06-25 12:38:17	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	231	76¢	$175	0xbed936…
06-25 12:37:28	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	110	76¢	$83	0x92e607…
06-25 12:37:17	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	231	76¢	$176	0xae09a5…
06-25 12:37:11	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	110	76¢	$84	0x8d78d1…
06-24 17:41:07	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	342	76¢	$259	0xf0397a…
06-24 17:40:17	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	342	76¢	$260	0x43ee5d…
06-12 11:05:13	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	41¢	$16	0x3c1f19…
06-12 11:04:22	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	539	43¢	$233	0x35466b…
06-12 11:03:42	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	577	45¢	$260	0xb70559…
06-12 05:20:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1,222	17¢	$208	0x3c7b1d…
06-12 05:20:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,222	18¢	$220	0xdbb653…
06-11 17:30:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	319	62¢	$198	0xddab75…
06-11 17:29:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	319	69¢	$220	0x5679d1…
06-09 18:07:24	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	SELL	635	11¢	$68	0xb777e6…
06-09 18:05:45	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	BUY	635	41¢	$260	0x516827…
06-08 22:35:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	709	30¢	$213	0x191f41…
06-08 22:35:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	709	31¢	$220	0x032f05…
06-08 11:14:45	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	SELL	27	14¢	$4	0x87da6a…
06-08 11:13:54	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0x274e62…
06-08 11:13:40	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	SELL	433	17¢	$72	0x906376…
06-08 11:13:24	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0x6753c9…
06-08 11:13:21	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	SELL	585	18¢	$106	0x183680…
06-08 11:12:52	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	1,047	21¢	$220	0xbc5789…
06-08 11:12:25	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	SELL	481	53¢	$255	0x93f93e…
06-08 11:12:00	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	481	54¢	$260	0xd2cf3c…
06-07 19:17:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	333	65¢	$216	0xda0df1…
06-07 19:17:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	66¢	$220	0x98925c…
06-07 14:42:51	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	276	79¢	$218	0x05ff49…
06-07 14:42:28	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	276	80¢	$219	0x452488…
06-06 15:39:16	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	448	48¢	$215	0x933c34…
06-06 15:38:34	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	448	49¢	$220	0x7c8318…
06-03 19:53:15	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	337	76¢	$257	0x60cc2a…
06-03 19:52:15	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	337	77¢	$259	0xc0f720…
06-03 18:13:00	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	336	77¢	$259	0x8364cc…
06-03 18:12:22	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	25	77¢	$19	0x39a81d…
06-03 18:12:19	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	311	77¢	$240	0x539faa…
06-03 10:14:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	236	78¢	$184	0x9d9370…
06-03 10:12:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	92	78¢	$72	0xd91328…
06-03 10:12:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	237	79¢	$187	0xbd9e88…
06-03 10:12:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	92	79¢	$73	0x97260a…
06-02 23:09:37	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	361	71¢	$256	0x6c0a18…
06-02 23:09:07	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	361	72¢	$260	0xadfbb8…
05-20 13:22:09	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	SELL	282	77¢	$217	0xacb195…
05-20 13:21:39	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	282	78¢	$220	0x42fec4…
05-15 08:34:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	354	61¢	$216	0x778685…
05-15 08:33:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	354	62¢	$219	0x771500…
05-08 18:04:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	37	45¢	$17	0xe60a1c…
05-08 18:03:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	51	51¢	$26	0x1fc975…
05-08 18:03:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	201	51¢	$104	0x802eaa…
05-08 18:02:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0xb1e64d…
05-08 18:01:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	91	62¢	$56	0xa8b4fc…
05-08 18:01:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	388	67¢	$260	0x7ab262…
05-05 02:58:32	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?	Yes	SELL	458	47¢	$215	0x438796…
05-05 02:57:58	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?	Yes	BUY	458	48¢	$220	0x97eef7…
05-03 15:20:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	278	79¢	$220	0x251e2c…
05-03 15:19:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	278	79¢	$220	0x50f124…
05-02 12:26:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	594	37¢	$222	0x71d467…
05-02 12:25:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	594	37¢	$220	0xc1def9…
04-29 07:22:08	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 29?	Up	SELL	79	63¢	$50	0x77cfbe…
04-29 07:20:58	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 29?	Up	BUY	79	64¢	$51	0x4fb36b…
04-25 11:47:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	246	33¢	$81	0x33f52b…
04-25 11:46:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	419	33¢	$138	0xbe1c3e…
04-25 11:46:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	247	33¢	$81	0xa51cb0…
04-25 11:45:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	419	33¢	$138	0x0dabba…
04-25 10:49:20	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	SELL	464	56¢	$260	0xc2b83d…
04-25 10:48:58	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	BUY	464	56¢	$260	0x25d8ed…
04-24 11:16:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	412	61¢	$251	0x49b291…
04-24 11:16:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	412	63¢	$260	0xfdb155…
04-24 11:11:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	338	64¢	$216	0x5e4ee5…
04-24 11:10:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	338	65¢	$220	0x8f53e6…
04-24 07:25:46	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	SELL	928	27¢	$251	0xe7dca4…
04-24 07:25:00	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	BUY	928	28¢	$260	0xa16bf7…
04-24 04:13:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	314	69¢	$217	0xb56c21…
04-24 04:13:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	314	70¢	$220	0xc44fde…