Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$72

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

5.7%

Resolved

124

Trades

517

lifetime

Volume

$7.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-23

last 10-27 16:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

76% 0% -$63

Politics

17% 0% -$3

Sports

3% 0% $0

Tech

3% 0% -$2

Crypto

2% 93% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	12	$477	300	300	+0	open	—	09-17 01:32
Fed rate hike in 2026?	12	$377	300	300	+0	Yes	-$2	09-16 14:52
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	8	$373	200	200	+0	open	—	09-16 06:37
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	6	$277	150	150	+0	open	—	09-15 16:15
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	6	$191	150	150	+0	open	—	09-14 10:27
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	4	$181	100	100	+0	No	$0	09-14 16:25
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	4	$169	91	91	+0	open	—	09-16 16:49
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	6	$159	150	150	+0	Yes	$0	09-14 09:42
Will another artist be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	4	$114	100	100	+0	open	—	09-24 05:43
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	6	$108	60	60	+0	No	-$1	09-17 04:17
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	4	$107	99	99	+0	open	—	09-15 19:27
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?	4	$100	100	100	+0	open	—	09-16 19:08
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	4	$99	100	100	+0	open	—	09-15 14:33
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?	4	$98	100	100	+0	open	—	09-16 10:18
Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	2	$95	50	50	+0	open	—	09-23 03:42
Yoon out of custody before 2027?	2	$95	50	50	+0	open	—	10-13 16:53
Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 92?	2	$95	50	50	+0	open	—	10-21 18:31
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?	4	$94	50	50	+0	open	—	09-20 16:19
Will Jordan Bardella be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?	2	$93	50	50	+0	Yes	$0	09-29 15:08
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.5% before 2027?	2	$93	50	50	+0	open	—	10-17 19:58
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$93	50	50	+0	No	$0	08-23 07:27
Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	2	$93	50	50	+0	open	—	09-23 07:05
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	2	$92	50	50	+0	open	—	09-20 19:44
Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	2	$92	50	50	+0	No	$0	10-05 12:31
Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	2	$92	50	50	+0	open	—	09-27 08:36
Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?	2	$92	50	50	+0	open	—	09-12 10:48
Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 94?	2	$91	50	50	+0	open	—	10-21 23:54
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards?	4	$90	80	80	+0	open	—	09-13 07:51
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	2	$90	50	50	+0	open	—	08-24 11:17
Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	2	$90	50	50	+0	open	—	09-17 07:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 16:19:02	Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x99a8b1…
10-27 16:19:00	Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x17da3a…
10-24 05:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2baf97…
10-24 05:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x63c8c9…
10-24 05:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x31269d…
10-24 04:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1527bf…
10-24 04:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xfea799…
10-24 02:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x8c2910…
10-24 01:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xd16ff5…
10-24 01:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf1bf61…
10-24 01:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4ba33a…
10-24 00:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x54ce0d…
10-24 00:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x98edbe…
10-23 22:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xe9daf0…
10-23 21:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x94c277…
10-23 20:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x409db6…
10-23 20:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x282b39…
10-23 19:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xa29e05…
10-23 19:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x6b038b…
10-23 19:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x94c50f…
10-23 19:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x171dc2…
10-23 18:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x639a97…
10-23 18:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x32ac7d…
10-23 18:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x55f877…
10-23 17:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xcd4770…
10-23 16:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xcd85b3…
10-23 16:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x0faca7…
10-23 16:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x6e04b7…
10-23 16:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xd1f1a9…
10-23 16:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x8c3201…
10-23 15:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x2c5dac…
10-23 15:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x47861f…
10-23 15:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x8925b6…
10-23 15:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xea73bd…
10-23 15:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x191518…
10-23 15:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xfc0f4e…
10-23 14:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xa836d0…
10-23 14:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x67f370…
10-23 14:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x339280…
10-23 14:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x7668f1…
10-23 13:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xf5766a…
10-23 13:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xaa15d7…
10-23 13:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x179962…
10-23 13:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x46a1e2…
10-23 12:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4987fc…
10-23 12:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x70ab57…
10-23 12:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xcd2aed…
10-23 12:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xaac216…
10-23 12:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xf649a8…
10-23 12:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x87bb0a…
10-23 11:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x56688f…
10-23 11:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7f6306…
10-23 11:36:56	Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x65c4c7…
10-23 11:36:47	Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xaa3239…
10-23 11:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe90537…
10-23 10:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x027fea…
10-23 10:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x7f8ac9…
10-23 09:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa5e5cc…
10-23 09:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xfd410a…
10-23 09:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x233db0…
10-23 09:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x0c452c…
10-23 08:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xdec5e7…
10-23 08:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x748fd0…
10-23 08:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x673ea5…
10-23 08:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xdc7907…
10-23 00:18:15	Will the Republican Party win the MI-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xd986a1…
10-23 00:18:06	Will the Republican Party win the MI-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x1d2e47…
10-22 17:37:36	Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0xfc6b75…
10-22 17:37:35	Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xa70b20…
10-21 23:54:05	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 94?	Yes	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0x46ae7e…
10-21 23:54:03	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 94?	Yes	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x5691bc…
10-21 18:31:08	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 92?	Yes	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x6a538e…
10-21 18:31:06	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 92?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x6be967…
10-21 11:13:38	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?	No	SELL	50	63¢	$31	0xb37d93…
10-21 11:13:38	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0x8eb558…
10-21 11:13:38	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	SELL	37	12¢	$4	0x3709d7…
10-21 11:13:36	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x87eec9…
10-21 11:13:36	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	37	14¢	$5	0x64f2a1…
10-21 11:13:35	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x96716d…
10-20 18:03:32	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?	No	SELL	50	75¢	$38	0xabc104…
10-20 18:03:30	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xc6bf5e…
10-19 21:32:06	Manchester City punishment announced by November 20?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x2b868a…
10-19 21:32:04	Manchester City punishment announced by November 20?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x675ab0…
10-19 15:31:03	Will the Democratic Party win the IL-04 House seat?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x0cafe7…
10-19 15:31:02	Will the Democratic Party win the IL-04 House seat?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2fc8ff…
10-19 12:54:53	Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x7fda0d…
10-19 12:49:59	Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x582f26…
10-18 21:52:42	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,125,000 and 1,200,000?	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x643737…
10-18 21:52:41	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,125,000 and 1,200,000?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x8ab492…
10-17 19:58:15	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.5% before 2027?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$47	0x5312e0…
10-17 19:58:12	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.5% before 2027?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x3e7ab9…
10-16 18:13:45	Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?	No	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0xda9d47…
10-16 18:13:44	Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$45	0x1c3532…
10-16 10:19:31	Will Control Resonant win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards?	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x51112c…
10-16 10:18:45	Will Control Resonant win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x44faf3…
10-15 19:27:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x5951c6…
10-15 19:17:43	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xc4ac72…
10-15 18:25:01	Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	40	37¢	$15	0x343ce0…
10-15 18:24:59	Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	40	39¢	$16	0xb73e31…
10-15 05:49:23	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0xa727fe…