Pointed-Nit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$27

Unrealized P&L

+$86

Hit rate

68.5%

Resolved

339

Trades

1,502

lifetime

Volume

$24.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$4.90K

11 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-13 22:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Other

73% 50% +$2

Politics

15% 86% +$3

Crypto

13% 61% -$39

Sports

0% 100% +$60

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	+1,759	$1,696	96¢	$1.7K	+$1	11-13 17:19
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+980	$934	98¢	$964	+$30	11-13 22:39
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	+735	$704	98¢	$718	+$15	11-13 21:01
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+500	$490	98¢	$492	+$2	11-13 06:49
Modi out by June 30, 2027?	No	+546	$465	90¢	$489	+$23	11-02 11:17
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+210	$200	98¢	$207	+$6	11-13 19:20
China coup attempt before 2027?	No	+130	$123	98¢	$128	+$5	11-05 06:48
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+70	$62	86¢	$61	-$1	11-06 01:19
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+71	$52	79¢	$56	+$4	11-13 08:01
Putin out as President of Russia by March 31, 2027?	No	+60	$56	94¢	$56	+$0	11-06 14:45
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	+30	$29	98¢	$29	+$0	11-09 10:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	75	$5.2K	3,191	2,210	+980	open	—	11-13 22:39
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	74	$3.9K	2,071	2,071	+0	open	—	11-05 14:24
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	76	$2.5K	1,666	931	+735	open	—	11-13 21:01
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	74	$2.5K	2,169	410	+1,759	open	—	11-13 17:19
Modi out by June 30, 2027?	33	$2.1K	1,428	882	+546	open	—	11-02 11:17
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	33	$1.8K	1,040	830	+210	open	—	11-13 19:20
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	13	$850	759	260	+500	open	—	11-13 06:49
China coup attempt before 2027?	17	$391	266	136	+130	open	—	11-05 06:48
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	25	$290	220	149	+71	open	—	11-13 08:01
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	3	$272	150	150	+0	open	—	10-25 22:29
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	13	$255	130	130	+0	Yes	+$1	11-02 15:57
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	12	$228	130	130	+0	open	—	11-09 04:43
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?	3	$125	70	70	+0	open	—	10-26 13:10
Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	2	$99	50	50	+0	Yes	+$1	10-16 03:58
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	3	$92	50	50	+0	No	+$1	10-17 13:08
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	3	$92	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	10-26 12:07
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	4	$77	40	40	+0	open	—	10-20 07:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 06:45 UTC	10	$74	55	45	+10	Down	-$3	01-04 06:59
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	3	$65	35	35	+0	open	—	11-10 00:32
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	4	$62	70	0	+70	open	—	11-06 01:19
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	4	$60	50	50	+0	open	—	10-27 03:51
Trump out as President before 2027?	2	$58	30	30	+0	open	—	11-05 14:58
Putin out as President of Russia by March 31, 2027?	2	$56	60	0	+60	open	—	11-06 14:45
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	3	$52	30	30	+0	open	—	10-26 14:27
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 04:00 UTC	12	$47	55	20	+35	Up	+$0	01-04 04:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 13:30 UTC	8	$44	57	32	+25	Down	-$11	01-11 13:42
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 05:45 UTC	11	$43	35	35	+0	Down	-$1	01-13 05:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 03:00 UTC	5	$41	21	21	+0	Up	+$1	01-19 03:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 01:30 UTC	9	$39	50	10	+40	Down	-$4	01-19 01:45
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	2	$39	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	10-05 03:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 22:39:54	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xbb4f82…
11-13 21:01:58	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x807b29…
11-13 19:20:13	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x34c205…
11-13 17:19:19	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0xe2f441…
11-13 16:20:16	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x25bfee…
11-13 16:10:10	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	244	97¢	$237	0x73c833…
11-13 14:17:21	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xd8253d…
11-13 12:35:39	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$16	0xf9cbe8…
11-13 12:33:07	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x5d88b9…
11-13 12:27:03	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xa71a8e…
11-13 08:02:03	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x007ca4…
11-13 08:01:48	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	30	81¢	$24	0x7478cc…
11-13 06:53:00	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	83	98¢	$82	0x4b01e0…
11-13 06:49:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x35d787…
11-13 03:59:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x5a0b38…
11-13 02:48:09	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x7be2e1…
11-12 13:39:07	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0xde739f…
11-12 12:39:55	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x7674b7…
11-12 10:45:12	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xcc464a…
11-12 09:14:45	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x631571…
11-12 09:13:37	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd34b16…
11-12 07:00:19	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x0794e7…
11-12 03:25:12	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xd6d93b…
11-12 01:07:46	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x544166…
11-11 22:26:45	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x6d64a3…
11-11 01:15:33	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xc3f853…
11-10 22:13:57	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x1b10eb…
11-10 10:31:39	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x79d34e…
11-10 09:25:16	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x5cf809…
11-10 06:14:31	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xdca044…
11-10 06:14:18	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xe77187…
11-10 06:13:30	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x7f12b5…
11-10 06:12:51	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xbcdf71…
11-10 06:12:43	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xbe40b2…
11-10 00:32:57	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	35	94¢	$33	0x28fbb8…
11-10 00:31:42	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x67a361…
11-09 16:40:16	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x366fa7…
11-09 10:53:03	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8ca420…
11-09 10:04:55	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd2c4a6…
11-09 06:53:43	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0xe89747…
11-09 04:43:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x485ece…
11-09 03:29:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x8a5f54…
11-09 02:17:55	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa7ad9e…
11-09 02:03:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0xea6a09…
11-09 01:47:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xe909eb…
11-09 01:24:04	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x3a4b21…
11-09 01:04:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0xad0de0…
11-09 00:55:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x57649e…
11-09 00:53:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x925703…
11-09 00:50:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x906d96…
11-08 22:17:01	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	49	98¢	$48	0x5cfd5c…
11-08 22:16:37	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2990f9…
11-08 20:25:43	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x74d8de…
11-08 08:15:42	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x1039c4…
11-08 08:10:36	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	19	81¢	$15	0xff1f1c…
11-07 23:09:09	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xeb4acf…
11-07 21:50:54	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	50	77¢	$39	0xfe400a…
11-07 20:55:33	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x690751…
11-06 16:38:22	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	30	80¢	$24	0xb12884…
11-06 16:37:39	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x176bd2…
11-06 14:45:21	Putin out as President of Russia by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0xd53ebc…
11-06 08:29:07	Putin out as President of Russia by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x9b103e…
11-06 05:50:33	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x6c2621…
11-06 05:28:31	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xfea93d…
11-06 01:32:10	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x037bdb…
11-06 01:31:28	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x2c0ab8…
11-06 01:31:21	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xcf2584…
11-06 01:19:06	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x5d38ba…
11-06 01:19:00	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xec981f…
11-06 01:18:48	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x9558be…
11-06 01:18:12	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xacc1a4…
11-05 19:07:31	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x249c02…
11-05 16:51:28	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x045e05…
11-05 16:42:57	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0xf5f42b…
11-05 16:42:54	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x401702…
11-05 16:41:33	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x6600cf…
11-05 16:25:46	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x7793a9…
11-05 16:25:15	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xb239b7…
11-05 14:58:39	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0xbba22b…
11-05 14:24:18	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	98	99¢	$96	0x8b8fd2…
11-05 08:43:03	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0x1c44bc…
11-05 06:48:46	China coup attempt before 2027?	No	SELL	56	99¢	$56	0xe9c717…
11-05 06:02:09	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x26dbcf…
11-05 03:55:54	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x76eb3b…
11-05 02:17:28	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x8a95a7…
11-05 00:48:33	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xb9ae54…
11-05 00:22:22	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0xb4bed4…
11-04 22:32:45	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x5c7b21…
11-04 12:13:49	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x744df1…
11-04 12:12:54	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xd912e3…
11-04 04:05:01	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xbec201…
11-04 03:58:03	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x6fd5fc…
11-04 02:32:09	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x29007b…
11-04 02:30:27	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9d4b35…
11-04 02:30:01	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xb58e4f…
11-04 01:33:45	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0xe1fcec…
11-04 01:16:30	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$22	0x04b4f0…
11-04 00:50:24	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0a44f5…
11-04 00:50:03	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe62513…
11-04 00:46:07	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5f8b02…