Uneven-Happening — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

56.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$162

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 07-12 03:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

48% 81% +$23

Politics

25% 0% -$20

Sports

19% 22% -$20

Tech

8% 50% -$5

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-12).

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+49	$10	15¢	$8	-$2	07-04 14:15
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+125	$1	1¢	$1	$0	07-04 14:15
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+50	$1	1¢	$1	$0	07-04 14:16
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	+7	$5	8¢	$1	-$4	06-03 02:28
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+125	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	07-04 14:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$23	13	13	+0	Yes	+$3	03-16 05:49
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	2	$16	11	11	+0	Yes	+$6	06-12 22:43
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$11	19	0	+19	Yes	+$8	01-30 02:58
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$10	49	0	+49	open	—	07-04 14:15
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$9	14	14	+0	No	-$1	03-12 05:53
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$7	15	0	+15	No	-$7	03-01 07:34
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	1	$5	8	0	+8	Yes	+$3	06-17 00:52
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	1	$5	25	0	+25	No	-$5	03-01 07:35
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	1	$5	13	0	+13	No	-$5	03-01 07:35
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 mcgregor win by ko tko	1	$5	19	0	+19	No	-$5	07-11 04:36
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$5	27	0	+27	No	-$5	06-17 00:47
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	1	$5	11	0	+11	No	-$5	06-03 02:25
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$5	7	0	+7	Yes	+$2	06-17 00:53
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	06-03 02:28
Will England win on 2026-06-23?	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	-$3	06-17 00:52
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$3	29	0	+29	No	-$3	06-17 00:48
Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	06-03 02:27
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 win by submission	1	$3	23	0	+23	No	-$3	07-12 03:22
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$3	45	0	+45	No	-$3	06-17 00:48
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	06-17 00:53
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	06-17 00:55
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	1	$2	11	0	+11	No	-$2	06-03 02:26
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	1	$2	5	0	+5	Yes	+$3	06-17 00:51
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	06-17 00:51
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$2	34	0	+34	No	-$2	06-17 00:48
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	06-17 00:50
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	06-17 00:52
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	06-17 00:51
will trump say nobel or peace prize this week february 1	1	$2	12	0	+12	No	-$2	01-31 02:22
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 go the distance	1	$2	9	0	+9	No	-$2	07-11 04:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 03:22:31	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 win by submission	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x689929…
07-11 04:37:40	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 go the distance	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xae42b1…
07-11 04:36:58	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 mcgregor win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xac7875…
07-04 14:16:19	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x546a28…
07-04 14:15:59	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xd38246…
07-04 14:15:49	Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x3d566e…
07-04 14:15:17	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	49	20¢	$10	0xde8696…
06-17 00:55:01	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x7ad7ea…
06-17 00:53:47	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x456919…
06-17 00:53:16	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xe55f91…
06-17 00:52:35	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x591484…
06-17 00:52:11	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xbb97b5…
06-17 00:52:02	Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x936921…
06-17 00:51:47	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x5cb503…
06-17 00:51:40	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x47f795…
06-17 00:51:28	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x538242…
06-17 00:51:22	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x6a476b…
06-17 00:51:14	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x99d619…
06-17 00:51:05	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xd20b6c…
06-17 00:50:56	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x6a2908…
06-17 00:48:35	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	34	6¢	$2	0xf144ae…
06-17 00:48:20	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	45	7¢	$3	0x7797f7…
06-17 00:48:07	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	29	10¢	$3	0x90bd5a…
06-17 00:47:01	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0x87a562…
06-12 22:43:49	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x84407f…
06-03 02:28:04	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xfa21db…
06-03 02:27:29	Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xa64c8c…
06-03 02:27:06	Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1180e2…
06-03 02:26:49	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x2e45fd…
06-03 02:26:31	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xcd61f7…
06-03 02:25:49	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xe0fab1…
03-16 05:49:39	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xa2c369…
03-12 05:53:57	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	14	26¢	$4	0x4b52b8…
03-10 01:39:33	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xd0c590…
03-10 01:39:07	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xaef5d4…
03-01 07:35:21	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x3dbada…
03-01 07:35:05	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x00318d…
03-01 07:34:29	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0xa3aa5e…
02-03 06:21:52	will elon and doge cut more than 250b in federal spending in 2025	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0x24a2de…
01-31 02:22:10	will trump say nobel or peace prize this week february 1	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x6a968b…
01-30 02:58:52	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	19	58¢	$11	0x1792cb…