Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

79.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

$154

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 11-04 21:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

55% 88% +$4

Politics

29% 100% +$1

Tech

8% 0% —

Crypto

4% — —

Sports

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	+68	$64	96¢	$65	+$1	10-21 16:18
Will FC Dallas win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	+51	$49	93¢	$47	-$2	08-29 02:53
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?	Yes	+43	$42	96¢	$41	-$1	10-16 05:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	4	$101	52	52	+0	No	+$1	06-19 13:38
Will Minnesota Twins win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	2	$100	51	51	+0	No	+$0	08-19 06:47
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	5	$100	51	51	+0	No	+$0	05-15 17:23
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	2	$100	51	51	+0	No	+$0	05-13 11:39
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-06 12:32
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	3	$100	53	53	+0	No	+$0	05-30 17:59
Will the Republican Party win the CA-38 House seat?	2	$100	53	53	+0	No	+$0	05-16 20:26
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?	3	$99	51	51	+0	open	—	09-21 08:28
Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027?	3	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	09-29 07:17
Will the Republican Party win the LA-02 House seat?	2	$97	50	50	+0	No	+$0	07-23 10:43
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	3	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	09-02 16:41
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?	2	$96	51	51	+0	open	—	09-15 16:35
Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?	2	$96	50	50	+0	open	—	09-23 14:18
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	2	$94	50	50	+0	open	—	08-28 09:22
Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?	2	$84	43	43	+0	Yes	+$0	10-24 21:18
StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch?	2	$80	41	41	+0	open	—	10-05 03:33
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	2	$80	41	41	+0	open	—	06-23 03:57
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	2	$79	41	41	+0	open	—	07-31 07:47
Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?	1	$65	68	0	+68	Yes	+$3	10-23 03:29
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	1	$64	68	0	+68	open	—	10-21 16:18
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?	2	$62	67	0	+67	open	—	11-04 21:00
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	2	$50	26	26	+0	open	—	07-25 04:58
Will FC Dallas win the 2026 MLS Cup?	1	$49	51	0	+51	open	—	08-29 02:53
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?	1	$42	43	0	+43	open	—	10-16 05:38
will our homeland movement mi haznk finish with the third most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$21	21	0	+21	Yes	+$1	04-08 08:04
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?	5	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	06-15 21:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 21:00:45	US congress stock trading ban before 2027?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x57ce3c…
11-01 23:17:15	US congress stock trading ban before 2027?	No	BUY	60	93¢	$56	0xe32920…
10-24 21:18:03	Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?	Yes	SELL	43	99¢	$42	0xf59b50…
10-23 03:29:06	Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?	Yes	BUY	68	96¢	$65	0xa0414e…
10-21 16:18:15	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	68	94¢	$64	0x810ceb…
10-16 05:38:03	Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?	Yes	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0x958926…
10-05 03:33:44	StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch?	No	SELL	41	97¢	$40	0x316525…
09-29 16:32:35	Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?	Yes	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0x4a2e98…
09-29 07:17:42	Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0xdcbbef…
09-23 14:18:28	Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x03f43e…
09-21 08:28:35	José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xf88fd7…
09-20 12:26:09	José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?	No	SELL	51	97¢	$49	0x04d346…
09-15 16:35:58	Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?	No	SELL	51	95¢	$48	0x557aa1…
09-09 19:00:58	José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x761d6d…
09-02 16:41:54	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x36b970…
08-30 22:37:45	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0x6531a4…
08-30 05:11:33	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x76d4e3…
08-29 02:53:43	Will FC Dallas win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0xbe8e1d…
08-28 09:22:24	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$47	0x8ba298…
08-26 23:19:06	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x78d262…
08-19 06:47:40	Will Minnesota Twins win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	No	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0x454893…
08-14 13:21:24	Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	44	97¢	$43	0x5a73f1…
08-05 17:51:36	Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x317f16…
08-01 19:18:51	Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x7ebb77…
07-31 07:47:57	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	41	97¢	$40	0xbef09a…
07-27 10:49:33	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x834e55…
07-25 04:58:37	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0x0029f7…
07-23 10:43:30	Will the Republican Party win the LA-02 House seat?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0xe917ab…
07-22 11:25:36	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x9a3f69…
07-20 16:47:57	Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?	No	BUY	51	94¢	$48	0x84146f…
07-17 10:29:51	Will the Republican Party win the LA-02 House seat?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xce3d10…
06-24 08:04:56	StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xcc8279…
06-23 03:57:23	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0xb9d72f…
06-19 13:38:10	Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	SELL	26	98¢	$25	0x17c401…
06-19 07:15:11	Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0xbccf3c…
06-18 00:14:31	Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xcc6bcf…
06-15 21:46:12	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x79543d…
06-15 21:37:27	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6e4da9…
06-15 21:30:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x6be727…
06-15 21:30:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x0e4ff8…
06-15 15:13:39	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x73e99a…
06-15 11:22:34	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x1896ff…
06-01 16:04:19	Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xb9e22b…
06-01 14:53:18	Will Minnesota Twins win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x159a47…
05-30 17:59:26	Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	53	94¢	$50	0xa49841…
05-16 20:26:59	Will the Republican Party win the CA-38 House seat?	No	SELL	53	95¢	$50	0x5d4492…
05-15 17:23:06	Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7c20af…
05-15 17:19:41	Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xc307e8…
05-15 17:02:13	Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x8e4f39…
05-15 16:07:59	Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xd37bc3…
05-13 11:39:30	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x91cd26…
05-10 23:09:20	Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x90a56c…
05-09 17:11:02	Will the Republican Party win the CA-38 House seat?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x1f7480…
05-07 00:42:39	Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	46	94¢	$43	0x28732b…
05-06 12:32:16	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x2ff0c9…
05-06 10:36:30	Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x8d0be7…
05-06 09:22:58	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x2f41b6…
04-30 13:55:14	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x88589e…
04-08 08:04:19	will our homeland movement mi haznk finish with the third most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$21	0x9444f6…