Usable-Danger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$45

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.5%

Resolved

Trades

345

lifetime

Volume

$4.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 05-20 15:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 80% +$41

Other

34% 100% +$6

Politics

14% 0% $-2

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17?	5	$495	362	362	+0	open	—	05-14 15:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	6	$220	267	267	+0	open	—	05-06 13:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	1	$207	283	0	+283	open	—	05-15 10:04
elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 65 89	8	$198	131	131	+0	open	—	02-23 17:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	2	$162	89	89	+0	open	—	05-14 07:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	3	$154	180	0	+180	Yes	+$26	05-12 10:13
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	14	$133	220	5	+215	open	—	02-12 21:58
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319	8	$127	165	165	+0	open	—	02-27 07:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	3	$120	135	0	+135	Yes	+$15	05-11 09:14
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	3	$115	75	75	+0	open	—	05-13 15:53
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 280 299	2	$114	960	0	+960	open	—	02-23 17:16
trump drops powell investigation by february 28	2	$86	50	50	+0	open	—	02-19 07:13
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	2	$85	57	57	+0	open	—	02-02 07:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	2	$84	46	46	+0	open	—	05-15 08:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?	3	$82	62	62	+0	open	—	05-15 07:54
elon musk of tweets february 19 february 21 90 114	7	$79	126	126	+0	open	—	02-20 21:20
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	3	$67	95	113	-17	open	—	05-12 10:12
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	2	$64	40	40	+0	open	—	05-15 08:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 13?	2	$62	37	37	+0	No	+$2	05-13 09:03
nancy guthrie kidnapper arrested by february 28	2	$59	40	40	+0	open	—	02-19 07:21
btc updown 5m 1773175200	5	$50	53	52	+1	open	—	03-10 20:43
will israel strike lebanon on february 2 2026	1	$50	170	0	+170	open	—	02-02 07:43
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 260 279	3	$49	190	0	+190	open	—	02-16 09:46
will trump and netanyahu only be photographed together by february 13 2026	11	$48	594	594	+0	open	—	02-12 21:57
btc updown 5m 1773174600	6	$46	51	51	+1	open	—	03-10 20:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1AM ET	7	$46	51	51	+0	open	—	05-15 05:51
will israel nuke iran by january 31	6	$45	3,614	3,614	+0	open	—	01-16 09:32
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	1	$45	0	52	-52	open	—	02-01 01:15
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 340 359	3	$44	458	0	+458	open	—	02-27 07:50
elon musk of tweets february 19 february 21 115 139	2	$43	80	80	+0	open	—	02-20 21:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 15:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7cf364…
05-20 15:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x392121…
05-20 15:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x0a52ec…
05-20 15:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x7a806f…
05-20 15:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	22	61¢	$13	0x6b2e81…
05-20 15:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd0a25b…
05-20 15:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x940131…
05-20 15:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xcd04eb…
05-20 15:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xae5cd7…
05-20 15:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	13	63¢	$8	0x743ec9…
05-20 15:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xfc0547…
05-20 15:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x7bfe24…
05-20 15:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd7a3cb…
05-20 15:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7725d9…
05-20 15:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x283038…
05-20 15:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x92ca1a…
05-15 10:04:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	283	73¢	$207	0xad36b9…
05-15 09:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x56c2bc…
05-15 09:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xd80cd7…
05-15 09:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x47f427…
05-15 09:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x1cb6aa…
05-15 08:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	Down	SELL	40	85¢	$34	0x4164e8…
05-15 08:32:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	No	SELL	46	95¢	$44	0xf97bd4…
05-15 07:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xb00d54…
05-15 07:54:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?	Yes	SELL	62	68¢	$42	0xd2b891…
05-15 06:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x23a96b…
05-15 06:21:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x753cde…
05-15 06:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x3b7d54…
05-15 06:19:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x64a2af…
05-15 05:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	26	3¢	$1	0x735ddd…
05-15 05:41:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x08353e…
05-15 05:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0x40ac33…
05-15 05:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1AM ET	Down	SELL	25	94¢	$24	0x530933…
05-15 05:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xc89d19…
05-15 05:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xb661e1…
05-15 05:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xa14772…
05-15 05:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x928fdd…
05-15 05:29:53	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x27f115…
05-15 05:28:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xe23f6d…
05-15 05:28:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0xafd8e6…
05-15 05:24:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	46	87¢	$40	0xd8f497…
05-14 15:53:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	362	78¢	$282	0x58310d…
05-14 07:15:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xc3b249…
05-14 07:15:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	22	69¢	$15	0xfcd991…
05-14 07:14:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	156	51¢	$80	0xa610d8…
05-14 07:13:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	89	94¢	$83	0xd82407…
05-14 07:11:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x93816d…
05-14 07:11:32	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x8b293c…
05-14 07:11:27	Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0xa21ace…
05-14 04:56:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	89	89¢	$79	0x8eb9fb…
05-13 19:04:49	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 May 11-17?	No	SELL	18	82¢	$15	0x86cb8b…
05-13 15:53:59	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	75	87¢	$65	0xb86a8f…
05-13 09:55:05	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	52	67¢	$35	0xdcc3e6…
05-13 09:40:44	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 May 11-17?	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xb8a479…
05-13 09:08:31	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0xf2d2cc…
05-13 09:04:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	17	78¢	$13	0xbcf074…
05-13 09:03:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 13?	No	SELL	37	86¢	$32	0xe95064…
05-13 05:07:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	157	69¢	$109	0x2b16d3…
05-13 05:05:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x027ba8…
05-13 04:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	20¢	$2	0x7ef804…
05-13 04:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x89c4ce…
05-13 04:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x0f6910…
05-13 04:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xb9d54a…
05-13 04:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x827de5…
05-13 04:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x6996f5…
05-13 04:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf2e434…
05-13 04:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xfe7367…
05-13 04:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0x6e705b…
05-13 04:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x75904e…
05-13 04:51:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xa95eb5…
05-13 04:50:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0x39e1e9…
05-12 10:13:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	46	86¢	$39	0xa3a3be…
05-12 10:13:34	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x1ac145…
05-12 10:13:32	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	13	71¢	$9	0x733e96…
05-12 10:12:50	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	113	24¢	$27	0x2f5745…
05-12 10:09:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	48	85¢	$41	0x053f00…
05-12 10:08:35	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	21	88¢	$19	0x73e653…
05-12 08:52:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	86	86¢	$74	0x472b77…
05-12 08:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd8324e…
05-12 08:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd337ad…
05-12 08:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	11	29¢	$3	0xf8b3e4…
05-12 08:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x627d52…
05-12 08:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xe11453…
05-12 08:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x5afee9…
05-12 08:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xaa255f…
05-12 08:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x82c53d…
05-12 08:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x3ab806…
05-12 07:42:38	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xdf1a0a…
05-12 07:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x91b1e3…
05-12 07:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe6b181…
05-12 07:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0xe76492…
05-12 07:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x378e78…
05-12 07:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xd1a029…
05-12 07:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x8fdd54…
05-12 06:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xfb240b…
05-12 06:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9a6ad5…
05-12 06:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xfbc79e…
05-12 06:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0xdd25d5…
05-12 06:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x5bf135…
05-12 06:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x2930cc…