Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$82

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

78.3%

Resolved

101

Trades

1,680

lifetime

Volume

$4.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$194

9 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 10-27 06:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Politics

74% 73% +$76

Crypto

12% 60% +$6

Other

12% 82% $0

Sports

1% 100% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+218	$169	82¢	$178	+$9	08-31 19:04
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	+5	$4	97¢	$4	+$0	08-30 23:27
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?	No	+6	$4	80¢	$4	$0	10-27 01:57
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	+4	$4	90¢	$4	$0	10-01 18:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+7	$3	16¢	$1	-$2	06-29 08:30
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	+1	$1	97¢	$1	+$0	09-06 13:10
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	+9	$11	6¢	$1	-$11	10-27 06:29
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	+0	$0	96¢	$0	+$0	10-25 05:58
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	Yes	+4	$1	5¢	$0	-$1	08-14 23:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	192	$459	477	250	+227	Yes	+$13	06-17 23:58
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	89	$424	306	202	+104	No	+$11	06-04 00:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	112	$415	408	189	+218	open	—	08-31 19:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	126	$383	345	284	+61	Yes	+$39	06-16 03:25
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	36	$178	125	55	+70	Yes	+$1	06-17 22:18
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	36	$172	124	55	+68	Yes	+$2	07-22 13:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	82	$166	303	281	+22	No	-$3	05-18 19:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	20	$83	131	70	+60	No	+$10	06-14 23:10
iran closes its airspace by june 8	18	$74	70	4	+66	Yes	+$0	06-08 04:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	26	$73	95	53	+42	Yes	-$6	05-09 18:36
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	24	$72	92	30	+62	Yes	+$25	06-15 02:46
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	11	$70	37	37	+0	No	+$0	05-23 20:55
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	12	$67	62	24	+37	No	-$1	06-16 05:26
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	75	$65	47	47	+0	Yes	-$4	08-03 21:03
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	34	$65	103	77	+25	No	-$12	06-20 09:46
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	31	$55	57	27	+30	Yes	-$2	06-14 16:13
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	23	$52	62	62	+0	Yes	+$2	05-11 01:04
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	6	$50	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-19 04:32
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	50	$46	48	29	+19	No	-$4	07-02 02:28
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	9	$45	45	0	+45	Yes	+$0	06-30 00:22
will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	6	$43	45	21	+24	Yes	-$6	06-14 13:00
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	7	$41	23	23	+0	Yes	+$1	05-15 18:38
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	20	$38	43	33	+9	open	—	10-27 06:29
president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	16	$34	26	10	+16	Yes	+$1	07-19 18:47
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	18	$32	20	20	+0	Yes	+$3	07-25 05:55
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	4	$32	17	17	+0	Yes	+$2	06-07 22:55
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	42	$31	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	08-01 01:18
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	4	$30	17	17	+0	Yes	+$0	05-15 12:13
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	5	$30	16	16	+0	Yes	+$0	05-14 13:21
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	10	$28	27	27	+0	No	-$12	07-31 19:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 06:29:29	Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0x51c314…
10-27 05:27:35	Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0xb17029…
10-27 01:57:14	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?	No	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0x893757…
10-27 01:07:27	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xa6a40d…
10-25 23:13:41	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$5	0xdfb026…
10-25 16:12:09	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x60af62…
10-25 05:58:17	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x1b3b70…
10-01 18:20:30	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x9b8785…
09-14 23:19:52	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x9da945…
09-14 22:06:55	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	20¢	$3	0x77d5de…
09-14 21:59:16	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	20¢	$4	0xed625f…
09-14 18:35:15	Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xb33eed…
09-06 13:10:45	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xfd8610…
09-06 07:49:45	Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x0b2fd3…
08-31 19:04:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x837c27…
08-31 15:20:33	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	No	SELL	6	58¢	$4	0x3d3a6f…
08-30 23:27:09	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$4	0xc39f91…
08-30 19:17:24	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	No	BUY	7	67¢	$4	0x8b7422…
08-29 15:26:33	Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x0e6afa…
08-29 12:36:57	Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x46dadb…
08-28 01:07:54	Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$4	0xdbf91e…
08-27 18:17:46	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0x3d141c…
08-26 03:31:55	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x40c7ab…
08-26 02:54:10	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	SELL	3	89¢	$2	0x9921fd…
08-25 10:04:21	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$0	0x7c78ef…
08-25 10:04:21	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$0	0x1d8d95…
08-25 10:03:21	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x77a980…
08-25 09:40:18	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x4856d6…
08-25 08:27:10	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0xe055fb…
08-25 04:13:00	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$0	0x8f7cb3…
08-24 02:15:45	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0x5fbdbc…
08-20 17:42:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x723c59…
08-20 17:23:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x7eebd7…
08-20 16:04:10	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 553	No	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0x34f62a…
08-20 00:34:16	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	Yes	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0x25a9a7…
08-19 23:29:30	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 553	No	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0x2e09ba…
08-19 22:22:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x374f50…
08-19 18:50:45	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	Yes	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0x9e4ed2…
08-19 16:21:43	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	Yes	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x09af39…
08-19 15:46:52	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	Yes	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0xb757b9…
08-19 15:18:16	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	Yes	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0x692324…
08-19 14:58:06	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	Yes	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0x83997b…
08-19 06:53:36	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	Yes	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xcabde0…
08-19 00:13:22	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x9d5b98…
08-19 00:02:49	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0x0826ad…
08-18 22:43:36	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x34473b…
08-18 22:25:34	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x5c0f1c…
08-18 16:25:45	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 553	No	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0xda9be2…
08-18 16:10:34	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 553	No	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0xf14f66…
08-18 16:10:31	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 553	No	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0x9efc84…
08-18 16:09:31	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 553	No	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0x71e263…
08-18 16:09:30	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 553	No	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x267599…
08-18 15:28:27	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 553	No	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x6ac5a4…
08-18 14:34:37	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 553	No	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0x39ca5a…
08-18 14:23:55	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x4cd7c0…
08-18 14:23:54	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x9a8090…
08-18 12:50:58	kharg island no longer under iranian control by september 30 20260730004207224	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x752eb0…
08-18 03:47:01	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	16	30¢	$5	0x803e5a…
08-17 17:34:52	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	0	33¢	$0	0xa84733…
08-17 15:29:58	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0xb94a96…
08-17 13:06:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x96a80c…
08-17 07:41:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x081c02…
08-17 05:47:36	kharg island no longer under iranian control by september 30 20260730004207224	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x7aa83e…
08-15 16:58:16	kharg island no longer under iranian control by september 30 20260730004207224	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xccaada…
08-14 23:49:39	Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x6bf0f9…
08-14 20:03:15	Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x9d5cf8…
08-14 19:46:19	Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xee1d4f…
08-14 06:57:39	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xfd7e28…
08-14 06:57:37	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xd1618d…
08-14 06:52:07	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x58dd5a…
08-14 06:24:52	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x1b2801…
08-14 01:45:07	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x1e8df7…
08-13 20:15:25	Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xa413c7…
08-12 03:01:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x9aeee0…
08-12 00:14:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x53fd99…
08-11 21:10:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x525691…
08-09 15:14:13	Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x256949…
08-07 00:16:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xd67c2b…
08-07 00:16:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x901291…
08-06 20:02:33	Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa33cbb…
08-06 18:44:11	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0x815e89…
08-06 18:44:05	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x0037a8…
08-06 18:44:00	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0xfac590…
08-06 18:43:32	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$0	0xae9223…
08-06 18:43:32	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x5e6619…
08-06 18:43:30	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$0	0x29ed1f…
08-06 13:56:54	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x96705e…
08-06 13:56:48	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x1f938a…
08-05 22:52:20	will iran target a arab country on august 2 2026 20260801004719119	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x553722…
08-05 22:44:30	will iran target a arab country on august 2 2026 20260801004719119	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x115b1a…
08-05 22:43:23	will iran target a arab country on august 2 2026 20260801004719119	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x13af8d…
08-05 22:42:36	will iran target a arab country on august 2 2026 20260801004719119	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x91286e…
08-05 19:50:23	Will FC Carl Zeiss Jena win on 2026-08-01?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7b8bf3…
08-05 02:05:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0x6db06c…
08-05 01:36:06	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xcc7437…
08-04 23:20:27	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x417d50…
08-04 23:20:05	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf1e277…
08-04 17:41:00	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x473db7…
08-04 13:18:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	1	27¢	$0	0xa6a7ef…
08-04 13:18:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	1	27¢	$0	0x77b302…