Animated-Precedent — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$34

Unrealized P&L

+$199

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

454 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$13.5K

$57.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

$127

Open exposure

$2.82K

11 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 10-29 16:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 81 days

Categories

Sports

46% 78% +$132

Politics

35% 33% +$32

Other

19% 72% -$626

Crypto

0% 59% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+7,165	$841	16¢	$1.1K	+$273	10-18 10:48
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+2,148	$494	22¢	$483	-$11	09-24 17:27
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+2,206	$309	16¢	$342	+$33	09-24 17:28
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+2,196	$329	14¢	$296	-$33	09-24 17:28
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+2,230	$268	12¢	$279	+$11	09-24 17:29
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+209	$199	96¢	$202	+$3	10-28 05:09
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?	Yes	+102	$90	86¢	$88	-$2	09-10 05:03
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+17	$15	90¢	$15	+$0	09-24 17:33
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+2	$77	57¢	$1	-$76	10-04 05:18
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+1	$1	76¢	$1	+$0	10-24 08:21
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	+1	$1	77¢	$1	$0	09-20 07:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	3	$5.7K	3,259	3,259	+0	open	—	10-26 19:19
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$5.5K	2,797	2,797	+0	No	+$7	08-07 09:14
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$4.1K	5,747	11,512	-5,765	No	+$2,221	07-12 11:36
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	4	$4.0K	2,962	2,960	+2	open	—	10-04 05:18
Will Rodri join Barcelona?	2	$3.7K	2,179	2,178	+0	Yes	-$299	08-13 08:12
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	3	$3.3K	1,708	1,708	+0	No	+$35	08-06 06:07
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	6	$3.1K	4,120	4,120	+0	open	—	10-29 15:55
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	3	$3.1K	3,871	3,871	+0	open	—	10-29 15:55
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$2.9K	5,746	11,511	-5,765	Yes	-$4,618	07-12 11:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?	2	$2.8K	5,158	5,158	+0	Yes	+$121	09-14 15:25
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$2.7K	3,583	0	+3,583	open	—	10-29 16:01
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$2.5K	5,739	11,504	-5,765	No	+$1,237	07-12 11:37
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	3	$2.2K	1,137	1,137	+0	open	—	08-11 16:59
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$2.1K	5,725	11,490	-5,765	No	+$1,080	07-12 11:37
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	1	$1.4K	1,447	0	+1,447	No	+$47	09-18 13:47
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$983	5,731	5,765	-33	No	-$3	04-29 05:01
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	3	$841	7,165	0	+7,165	open	—	10-18 10:48
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$651	3,009	5,865	-2,856	No	+$205	04-29 05:04
will wti reach 100 in september 2026 from september 12	1	$518	4,108	0	+4,108	Yes	-$518	09-13 16:04
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	1	$494	2,148	0	+2,148	open	—	09-24 17:27
Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$364	1,583	1,583	+0	open	—	10-15 04:48
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	3	$341	3,314	3,314	+0	open	—	10-16 04:26
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	1	$329	2,196	0	+2,196	open	—	09-24 17:28
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	1	$309	2,206	0	+2,206	open	—	09-24 17:28
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	1	$268	2,230	0	+2,230	open	—	09-24 17:29
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$199	209	0	+209	open	—	10-28 05:09
Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$197	1,162	1,162	+0	open	—	08-31 17:16
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$138	178	0	+178	Yes	+$40	10-26 19:30
Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	3	$131	71	71	+0	No	+$3	09-01 11:10
bknbl ade syd 2026 03 27	3	$107	95	58	+37	Adelaide 36ers	-$38	03-27 09:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 16:01:55	Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3,581	76¢	$2,720	0xfb3e8f…
10-29 15:55:55	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	3,871	24¢	$912	0x4c65ad…
10-29 15:55:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	3,983	46¢	$1,816	0x81d053…
10-28 05:09:17	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	209	95¢	$199	0x631c46…
10-26 19:31:41	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	189	6¢	$12	0xa125cb…
10-26 19:30:57	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	178	77¢	$138	0x66d513…
10-26 19:22:15	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	3,798	27¢	$1,025	0x573a7d…
10-26 19:21:54	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	3,692	56¢	$2,055	0x3c0526…
10-26 19:19:33	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	3,259	100¢	$3,246	0x3f458b…
10-24 08:21:56	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb23131…
10-24 08:21:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x73f979…
10-20 16:47:54	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	179	48¢	$86	0x0a2497…
10-20 16:47:36	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	185	29¢	$54	0x078537…
10-20 16:36:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	137	70¢	$96	0xed2c88…
10-18 10:48:03	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	6,838	12¢	$800	0x3f4ab2…
10-16 04:26:52	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	3,314	0¢	$3	0xf2af08…
10-15 04:50:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0xf13229…
10-15 04:48:10	Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,583	7¢	$114	0xf587ff…
10-15 04:47:26	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	317	13¢	$40	0x3e17e4…
10-13 19:11:55	Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	74	58¢	$43	0xb9c600…
10-10 19:16:21	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xe79ac3…
10-04 05:21:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xed9de4…
10-04 05:19:46	Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x6700eb…
10-04 05:18:34	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9fe0e8…
10-04 05:16:07	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x502dec…
09-24 17:33:14	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x1fe33d…
09-24 17:29:09	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	2,230	12¢	$268	0xa7d330…
09-24 17:28:33	Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	2,206	14¢	$309	0x489376…
09-24 17:28:06	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	2,196	15¢	$329	0xb88cdf…
09-24 17:27:41	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	2,148	23¢	$494	0x5b0e99…
09-20 07:21:14	Will Leeds United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x302839…
09-20 07:20:13	Will FC Schalke 04 vs. SV 07 Elversberg end in a draw?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xd0fbb5…
09-20 07:12:24	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xffe15a…
09-18 13:47:32	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	BUY	1,447	97¢	$1,400	0x2c9d02…
09-15 04:00:54	Will Asyut Petroleum SC vs. Modern SC end in a draw?	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xd80d19…
09-15 04:00:15	Will Johor Darul Ta'zim vs. Buriram United end in a draw?	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xa6cbbd…
09-15 03:59:09	Will Beijing Guoan vs. FC Pohang Steelers end in a draw?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x336dee…
09-15 03:58:33	Will Daejeon Citizen FC vs. Kyoto Sanga FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xed0b5a…
09-15 03:57:12	Will Ratchaburi FC vs. Shanghai Port FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xbe0824…
09-14 15:51:22	Will Ceramica Cleopatra Club vs. National Bank of Egypt Club end in a draw?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xc13322…
09-14 15:25:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?	No	SELL	5,158	28¢	$1,459	0x3ed0e9…
09-13 16:04:57	will wti reach 100 in september 2026 from september 12	No	BUY	4,108	13¢	$518	0xf64e57…
09-13 16:04:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?	No	BUY	5,158	26¢	$1,339	0x9486ca…
09-13 15:59:31	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	2,960	66¢	$1,939	0x9fbc95…
09-10 05:03:51	Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?	Yes	BUY	102	88¢	$90	0x55288f…
09-03 04:49:55	Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	74	74¢	$55	0xe006a3…
09-02 22:53:06	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	87	70¢	$61	0x95ce58…
09-01 11:10:00	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	No	SELL	71	95¢	$67	0x9285d0…
08-31 17:17:40	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	No	BUY	59	91¢	$54	0x9a373e…
08-31 17:16:37	Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	14	27¢	$4	0x5e934c…
08-31 17:16:09	Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,162	8¢	$97	0xc35cc9…
08-30 19:03:00	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x1e67db…
08-24 18:38:30	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-08-24?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3cc09a…
08-24 18:26:30	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-08-24?	No	SELL	33	8¢	$3	0x4561f6…
08-24 18:17:37	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-08-24?	No	BUY	33	21¢	$7	0x097791…
08-24 18:04:25	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-08-24?	Yes	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x8bc107…
08-24 17:56:16	Will FC Würzburger Kickers win on 2026-08-24?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xbc2940…
08-24 17:33:03	Will VSG Altglienicke vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x1d866a…
08-24 17:25:00	Will FC Botoşani vs. FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc end in a draw?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xe2a01c…
08-24 17:21:42	Will FC Würzburger Kickers win on 2026-08-24?	No	BUY	12	89¢	$10	0xd7d311…
08-24 17:15:40	Will FC Würzburger Kickers win on 2026-08-24?	Yes	BUY	28	40¢	$11	0x84acf4…
08-24 16:55:39	Will FC Botoşani vs. FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc end in a draw?	No	BUY	17	66¢	$11	0xafa442…
08-24 16:39:10	Will FC Botoşani vs. FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	41	28¢	$11	0x243f54…
08-23 17:32:00	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-23?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$45	0x686436…
08-23 17:13:25	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-23?	No	BUY	46	24¢	$11	0x425956…
08-23 17:06:30	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	17	69¢	$12	0xd79d3f…
08-23 17:05:10	Will VVV Venlo win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xa8778b…
08-23 16:22:54	Will VVV Venlo win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x177fee…
08-23 16:02:46	Will AC Horsens vs. Lyngby BK end in a draw?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x8df350…
08-23 15:48:09	Will AC Horsens vs. Lyngby BK end in a draw?	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xa22028…
08-23 15:44:25	Will AC Horsens vs. Lyngby BK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x09d8b5…
08-23 15:36:33	Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc81d03…
08-23 07:13:01	Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x59c225…
08-21 21:35:37	Will Club Alianza Atlético vs. CS Cristal end in a draw?	No	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0x8b873c…
08-21 21:31:40	Will Club Alianza Atlético vs. CS Cristal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xc606c2…
08-21 21:26:03	will the grand theft auto vi ps5 launch price be at least 70 20260618224014045	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x011062…
08-21 21:00:16	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-21?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3998bb…
08-21 20:51:27	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-21?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x6b0791…
08-13 09:16:09	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	833	10¢	$85	0xe523bf…
08-13 09:15:07	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	858	74¢	$639	0xfd7153…
08-13 08:49:15	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1,366	68¢	$935	0x34bbba…
08-13 08:12:42	Will Rodri join Barcelona?	Yes	SELL	2,178	78¢	$1,701	0xac98df…
08-11 20:12:28	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1,594	68¢	$1,079	0x75e780…
08-11 16:59:54	Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1,137	96¢	$1,091	0x7473a9…
08-07 10:17:01	Will Rodri join Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	2,179	92¢	$2,000	0x4122a1…
08-07 09:30:54	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	2,480	10¢	$253	0x69f4c5…
08-07 09:30:43	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	2,401	74¢	$1,766	0x5154eb…
08-07 09:14:49	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	2,797	98¢	$2,747	0x500b0b…
08-06 12:16:12	Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,162	9¢	$100	0x3e5467…
08-06 12:05:02	Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,583	16¢	$250	0xa316d6…
08-06 09:50:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x347aec…
08-06 09:16:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xac1ac4…
08-06 09:10:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x5b3806…
08-06 09:00:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd8e4d4…
08-06 08:55:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 08:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x00839d…
08-06 08:51:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf71190…
08-06 08:30:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x67fd84…
08-06 08:20:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 08:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xdad43f…
08-06 08:11:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xdf737b…
08-06 08:05:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 08:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x245300…