Realized P&L
-$645
Unrealized P&L
+$11
Hit rate
60.6%
Resolved
900
Trades
2,342
lifetime
Volume
$14.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$429
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-22
last 11-09 09:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 141 days
Categories
Other
53% 65% -$194
Sports
23% 51% -$117
Politics
17% 58% -$174
Crypto
6% 42% -$161
Tech
1% 67% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Buffalo Bills win the 2026 AFC East? Yes +41 $25 86¢ $35 +$10 09-16 15:49
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +64 $41 54¢ $35 -$6 09-15 10:16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +33 $21 78¢ $25 +$4 10-30 19:41
Will Bournemouth win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? Yes +147 $15 15¢ $22 +$7 09-22 20:46
will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date No +24 $21 92¢ $22 +$1 09-15 17:08
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +24 $21 90¢ $21 +$0 10-01 03:52
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +24 $21 88¢ $21 $0 11-09 07:34
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +16 $15 98¢ $16 +$1 11-04 17:28
Will Dana White be the next White House Press Secretary? No +16 $15 98¢ $16 +$1 11-07 20:34
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? No +16 $15 93¢ $15 $0 11-09 02:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +16 $14 90¢ $14 +$0 11-07 20:28
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? Yes +16 $14 90¢ $14 +$1 11-08 03:13
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +16 $14 89¢ $14 +$1 11-08 23:30
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +16 $14 89¢ $14 +$0 11-09 07:26
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +16 $14 88¢ $14 +$0 11-09 01:49
Will Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? No +42 $25 32¢ $13 -$12 09-14 22:29
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +16 $13 80¢ $13 $0 10-21 21:27
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +16 $12 72¢ $11 $0 11-09 04:38
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +17 $10 56¢ $10 -$1 11-08 19:54
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +8 $8 99¢ $8 +$0 11-04 23:29
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +8 $7 98¢ $8 +$1 11-01 19:09
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by November 30, 2026? Yes +8 $8 96¢ $8 +$0 11-04 07:23
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? No +8 $8 94¢ $8 $0 11-09 03:20
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +8 $7 93¢ $7 +$0 11-04 20:39
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +8 $7 92¢ $7 +$0 11-04 17:16
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +8 $7 92¢ $7 +$0 10-26 14:18
Jensen Huang divorce in 2026? No +8 $7 92¢ $7 +$1 11-09 03:59
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +8 $6 90¢ $7 +$1 09-22 09:34
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +8 $7 90¢ $7 +$0 11-04 07:23
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +8 $7 89¢ $7 +$0 11-06 16:21