Creamy-Generosity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.5%

Resolved

Trades

133

lifetime

Volume

$2.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-13 07:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 50% +$1

Other

32% — —

Politics

9% — —

Sports

4% 0% $-6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	6	$145	76	75	+1	open	—	03-13 14:42
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	4	$122	64	62	+2	open	—	02-28 14:52
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	4	$119	60	60	+0	open	—	02-21 01:17
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	4	$98	59	58	+1	open	—	02-25 15:32
will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	4	$71	36	35	+1	open	—	02-25 15:35
will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	3	$69	35	34	+1	open	—	02-25 15:39
will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	2	$61	31	30	+0	open	—	02-25 15:38
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 0 39	3	$61	31	31	+0	open	—	02-15 07:58
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$61	30	30	+0	open	—	02-21 01:18
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	02-21 01:19
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	3	$58	30	30	+0	open	—	02-25 15:34
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$57	30	30	+0	open	—	02-21 01:20
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 65 89	2	$53	28	28	+0	open	—	02-14 15:13
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	6	$50	45	45	+0	open	—	04-28 01:45
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	2	$44	52	0	+52	open	—	03-30 12:30
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$42	38	38	+0	No	$-6	02-18 12:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	3	$41	25	24	+0	open	—	05-26 08:00
park sung jae in jail by march 31	2	$41	22	22	+0	open	—	02-11 08:48
ethereum above 2500 on january 27	1	$39	39	0	+39	open	—	01-21 03:09
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	4	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	03-28 14:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	3	$33	20	20	+0	open	—	04-17 02:49
will hyperliquid dip to 28 in march	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	03-28 14:35
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$29	16	15	+0	open	—	05-13 02:33
Espresso FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$0	02-11 11:02
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	2	$28	15	14	+0	open	—	03-30 12:29
Espresso FDV above $400M one day after launch?	2	$28	15	15	+0	No	+$1	02-12 11:43
bitcoin above 78k on january 8	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	01-03 08:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	2	$28	15	14	+1	open	—	04-09 11:08
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$28	15	14	+0	open	—	05-07 07:08
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	2	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	03-28 14:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 07:16:40	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xa47e39…
06-08 09:41:10	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	12	92¢	$11	0x48d840…
06-08 09:40:07	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x1fc859…
05-26 08:00:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0x4cd65e…
05-26 08:00:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0xe8e3f9…
05-19 03:14:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0xe8441d…
05-19 03:12:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0x442095…
05-13 02:34:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	25	75¢	$19	0x402ee8…
05-13 02:33:27	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x092190…
05-07 07:08:43	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	16	91¢	$14	0xa6d3ba…
05-07 07:08:14	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	14	95¢	$14	0xb0ffa5…
05-04 04:09:38	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x7da708…
04-28 01:46:34	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x3e0137…
04-28 01:45:38	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	No	SELL	21	10¢	$2	0xb0f403…
04-28 01:45:28	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x8ca4d4…
04-21 03:43:02	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	No	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0xf308e1…
04-21 03:38:36	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	No	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xe6f477…
04-21 03:23:24	USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x7b18bb…
04-17 02:52:52	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0x26ed7e…
04-17 02:49:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x2ea76b…
04-13 09:49:13	Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x0001b6…
04-13 09:47:39	Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x168117…
04-09 21:49:57	USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	23	72¢	$16	0x5627c6…
04-09 11:39:15	USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0xb40a87…
04-09 11:11:33	Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xf789c8…
04-09 11:09:47	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x1f1e3b…
04-09 11:09:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xd1b6da…
04-09 11:08:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0xc0370b…
04-06 01:09:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$14	0x25a849…
04-06 01:09:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xfe9cda…
04-06 01:08:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	No	SELL	15	87¢	$13	0x79ea78…
04-06 01:08:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x66dd63…
04-02 08:24:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0x30269f…
04-02 08:07:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x11e94e…
04-02 08:05:51	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	No	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x677052…
03-30 12:30:30	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x8c9239…
03-30 12:30:14	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0x9b9506…
03-30 12:29:48	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xc186f9…
03-30 12:29:20	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	No	SELL	24	73¢	$18	0x1e3d32…
03-28 14:40:59	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	23	83¢	$19	0xd165d1…
03-28 14:35:47	will hyperliquid dip to 28 in march	No	SELL	16	99¢	$15	0x8d1a85…
03-28 14:35:11	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xdc1539…
03-28 14:34:57	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x17e521…
03-28 14:34:49	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf26409…
03-28 14:34:21	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	SELL	14	100¢	$13	0x51df6f…
03-25 08:02:51	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x02493e…
03-25 08:02:29	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x3d8364…
03-25 08:02:19	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xaa839e…
03-25 07:58:13	will hyperliquid dip to 28 in march	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x80faa9…
03-25 07:56:49	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	No	BUY	25	72¢	$18	0xf9e6c5…
03-21 01:09:43	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0xb1b371…
03-13 14:50:03	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x6f3bb3…
03-13 14:49:39	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x599d56…
03-13 14:49:31	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xae8a10…
03-13 14:49:21	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xec0a5d…
03-13 14:48:53	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x60919b…
03-13 14:48:41	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0x82fcbd…
03-13 14:42:47	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xd8f6b2…
03-10 10:38:41	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x11f555…
03-04 03:00:53	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0x19fdce…
02-28 14:54:27	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	34	96¢	$33	0x2dbc76…
02-28 14:52:31	will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0xfb2a57…
02-25 16:22:12	will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x959704…
02-25 15:39:38	will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x383687…
02-25 15:38:34	will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x4abc2f…
02-25 15:37:50	will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x126a79…
02-25 15:36:56	will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x7da2f6…
02-25 15:36:04	will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xc96b5e…
02-25 15:35:34	will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xce85d2…
02-25 15:35:12	will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xdf0583…
02-25 15:34:54	will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xded5a2…
02-25 15:34:26	will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x7a501a…
02-25 15:33:18	will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x09d663…
02-25 15:33:14	will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7414c3…
02-25 15:32:48	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	No	SELL	38	95¢	$36	0x9aa63a…
02-21 01:23:12	will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xd4c97d…
02-21 01:20:42	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	30	95¢	$29	0xa6382f…
02-21 01:20:30	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xf6a32c…
02-21 01:19:50	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0xef7fad…
02-21 01:19:38	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x73fceb…
02-21 01:19:06	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x9f2847…
02-21 01:18:54	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x52ddb3…
02-21 01:18:36	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x553c6d…
02-21 01:18:26	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x87cd1e…
02-21 01:17:50	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xf22662…
02-21 01:15:06	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd3fe32…
02-21 01:13:42	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xe94c7a…
02-21 01:12:54	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x394e35…
02-21 00:05:48	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0xa340d8…
02-20 23:49:40	will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	No	SELL	14	94¢	$14	0x5baf59…
02-18 12:41:28	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	No	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0xbd6bd9…
02-18 12:40:40	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	38	47¢	$18	0x10bec9…
02-17 14:38:53	will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	No	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x0dcfc3…
02-17 14:35:19	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xdd75af…
02-15 18:19:17	will bruno mars release the romantic before march	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x32975b…
02-15 13:58:35	will bruno mars release the romantic before march	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe84836…
02-15 07:58:29	elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 0 39	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x7bb6b9…
02-15 07:57:09	elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 0 39	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xfb3b6b…
02-14 15:19:33	elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 0 39	No	BUY	31	94¢	$30	0xc506eb…
02-14 15:13:51	elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 65 89	No	SELL	28	97¢	$27	0xf0cab8…