Realized P&L
+$63
Unrealized P&L
-$38
Hit rate
55.2%
Resolved
1,654
Trades
8,896
lifetime
Volume
$40.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$230
23 positions
First seen
2026-04-11
last 05-16 12:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 97 days
Categories
Other
68% 41% -$90
Politics
14% 54% +$68
Crypto
8% 43% -$2
Tech
6% 43% -$27
Sports
2% 65% +$37
Pop-Culture
2% 40% +$78
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-16).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -44 -$13 93¢ $-41 -$28 05-13 04:09
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes -64 -$9 30¢ $-19 -$10 04-29 03:16
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -20 -$12 96¢ $-19 -$7 04-30 12:20
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes -30 -$10 41¢ $-12 -$2 04-28 21:52
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -15 -$8 82¢ $-12 -$4 05-11 13:59
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes -64 -$12 16¢ $-10 +$2 04-29 11:19
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -11 -$9 93¢ $-10 -$2 04-30 12:35
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B? No -11 -$10 93¢ $-10 $0 04-29 06:12
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? No -10 -$8 96¢ $-10 -$2 05-13 09:23
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No -9 -$7 97¢ $-9 -$2 04-28 22:05
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? No -10 -$10 88¢ $-9 +$1 05-07 00:36
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? No -12 -$7 76¢ $-9 -$2 04-28 22:25
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? No -10 -$6 87¢ $-9 -$3 05-11 11:11
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? Yes -27 -$7 30¢ $-8 -$1 04-28 21:56
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? No -9 -$7 84¢ $-8 -$1 04-29 06:03
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -11 -$11 70¢ $-8 +$4 05-03 19:13
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No -8 -$6 95¢ $-8 -$1 05-02 07:22
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? No -8 -$8 93¢ $-8 +$0 05-08 17:37
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No -6 -$4 90¢ $-5 -$2 05-01 13:01
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? Yes -19 -$8 13¢ $-3 +$6 05-12 18:31
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes -12 -$3 14¢ $-2 +$1 04-28 21:55
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes -22 -$6 6¢ $-1 +$5 05-02 22:39
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No -17 -$11 2¢ $-0 +$10 04-28 21:52