Failing-Appearance 0x5415e5…fc2159
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Realized P&L
-$239
Unrealized P&L
-$64
Hit rate
77.2%
Resolved
201
Trades
1,449
lifetime
Volume
$17.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$321
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-17
last 08-10 04:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 67 days
Categories
Other
81% 87% -$51
Sports
14% 86% -$136
Politics
3% 75% -$3
Crypto
2% 20% -$49
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No -172 -$147 92¢ $-159 -$12 07-06 18:14
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -51 -$46 94¢ $-48 -$2 07-17 13:55
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -598 -$43 8¢ $-45 -$2 07-17 13:54
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -27 -$21 82¢ $-22 $0 07-17 13:54
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -21 -$19 97¢ $-21 -$2 06-15 09:45
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -26 -$15 64¢ $-17 -$2 07-17 13:54
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -210 -$5 4¢ $-9 -$3 07-17 13:55
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -921 -$18 0¢ $-1 +$17 04-28 13:32
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? Yes +0 $57 13¢ $0 -$57 07-28 09:35