Excellent-Investigation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

-$1.95K

Hit rate

75.3%

Resolved

110

Trades

209

lifetime

Volume

$5.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

$424

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 09-07 11:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Other

56% 69% +$3

Crypto

42% 75% +$13

Sports

2% 25% -$27

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+4,864	$966	4¢	$187	-$779	09-07 11:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+4,395	$857	3¢	$127	-$730	07-15 13:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,130	$335	6¢	$64	-$271	08-24 07:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+393	$212	12¢	$45	-$167	05-31 07:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	7	$966	4,864	0	+4,864	open	—	09-07 11:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$857	4,395	0	+4,395	open	—	07-15 13:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$335	1,130	0	+1,130	open	—	08-24 07:45
highest temperature in ankara on march 19 2026 12corhigher	3	$229	119	119	+0	No	-$2	03-19 10:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$212	393	0	+393	open	—	05-31 07:32
highest temperature in lucknow on march 19 2026 35c	2	$96	52	52	+0	Yes	-$5	03-19 10:21
Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5	2	$87	58	58	+0	Over	+$29	06-03 20:34
will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	2	$85	49	49	+0	No	+$11	07-28 07:39
Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 5.5	2	$85	49	49	+0	Under	+$14	06-03 18:56
highest temperature in seattle on march 18 2026 56 57f	2	$68	35	35	+0	Yes	+$1	03-19 08:48
Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5	2	$68	45	45	+0	Over	+$23	06-02 21:00
fif cam bhu 2026 06 04 total 4pt5	2	$66	37	37	+0	Under	+$8	06-04 13:56
highest temperature in miami on march 18 2026 68 69f	2	$65	34	34	+0	Yes	+$2	03-18 23:18
highest temperature in madrid on march 18 2026 18c	2	$63	32	32	+0	Yes	+$1	03-18 19:00
highest temperature in munich on march 18 2026 12c	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$1	03-18 17:02
highest temperature in warsaw on march 18 2026 15c	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	03-18 15:40
highest temperature in ankara on march 18 2026 15c	2	$58	30	30	+0	Yes	+$1	03-18 14:36
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 18 2026 30c	2	$56	29	29	+0	Yes	+$1	03-18 13:25
highest temperature in lucknow on march 18 2026 35c	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$1	03-18 12:09
highest temperature in hong kong on march 18 2026 27c	2	$53	27	27	+0	Yes	+$1	03-18 10:48
Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 4.5	2	$52	36	36	+0	Under	+$20	06-01 20:04
highest temperature in atlanta on march 17 2026 48 49f	2	$50	26	26	+0	Yes	+$0	03-17 22:49
highest temperature in miami on march 17 2026 70 71f	2	$49	25	25	+0	Yes	+$1	03-17 21:07
highest temperature in miami on march 17 2026 74 75f	2	$48	25	25	+0	No	$0	03-17 13:28
highest temperature in singapore on march 17 2026 32c	2	$48	24	24	+0	Yes	+$1	03-17 09:48
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk	2	$46	24	24	+0	Marta Kostyuk	+$1	06-02 12:28
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 16 2026 32c	2	$44	23	23	+0	Yes	+$1	03-16 21:22
Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 3.5	2	$43	40	40	+0	Over	+$3	06-02 19:09
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirstea	2	$42	23	23	+0	Mirra Andreeva	+$3	06-02 10:47
highest temperature in toronto on march 16 2026 13c	2	$42	22	22	+0	Yes	+$1	03-16 18:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-07 11:04:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	964	10¢	$94	0x4b8036…
09-07 07:40:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	837	9¢	$75	0xe50a33…
08-31 11:03:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	719	9¢	$65	0xa9342d…
08-31 11:01:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xec051d…
08-24 07:45:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	592	13¢	$77	0x7921f9…
08-11 07:32:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	551	26¢	$143	0x9c65b5…
07-28 07:40:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	695	27¢	$185	0x359232…
07-28 07:39:00	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	49	98¢	$48	0xf92f58…
07-20 17:46:19	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	49	76¢	$37	0xb4f192…
07-17 09:08:45	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	25	77¢	$20	0x50a84a…
07-15 13:01:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,819	17¢	$479	0x8b7c19…
07-14 20:52:49	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xf0d857…
07-12 19:01:13	will ethereum reach 1900 in july 2026	No	BUY	27	33¢	$9	0x3101dd…
07-12 18:19:16	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0xa69a37…
07-10 21:30:52	will spain reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149737	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x269d17…
07-10 07:49:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	538	48¢	$258	0x746903…
07-05 14:11:23	wta sabalen osaka 2026 07 05	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x26778f…
07-05 14:09:58	will 8 matches go to extra time during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205949027	No	SELL	19	18¢	$3	0xd70df2…
07-05 12:00:53	will 8 matches go to extra time during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205949027	No	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x1e4f99…
07-05 11:35:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,087	37¢	$402	0xbbec67…
07-03 20:09:19	will spain reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149737	Yes	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x080c8d…
07-03 19:52:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,575	24¢	$378	0x30556a…
06-28 17:32:31	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x92342b…
06-28 17:27:23	Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x8c98ac…
06-04 18:32:55	fif and lie 2026 06 04 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	46	66¢	$30	0xf89319…
06-04 18:25:15	fif and lie 2026 06 04 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	36	53¢	$19	0x9fc276…
06-04 17:40:18	Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x84b2d5…
06-04 14:08:40	wta kostyuk andreev 2026 06 04 set totals 2pt5	Over 2.5	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xcddfff…
06-04 13:56:55	fif cam bhu 2026 06 04 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x6fe414…
06-04 13:28:39	fif cam bhu 2026 06 04 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	37	79¢	$29	0x230a86…
06-04 11:12:01	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	179	6¢	$10	0x33157a…
06-04 11:11:37	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	58	17¢	$10	0x4db597…
06-04 11:07:21	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	58	17¢	$10	0x5b11f7…
06-03 20:56:27	Poland vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xd20808…
06-03 20:37:22	Poland vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	31	27¢	$8	0xd9f87b…
06-03 20:34:12	Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x2790bc…
06-03 20:24:39	Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	58	50¢	$29	0x83dcb8…
06-03 19:29:16	DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	74	53¢	$39	0x37b169…
06-03 18:56:12	Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0xa820fd…
06-03 18:26:51	Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	49	72¢	$36	0x5bfcd4…
06-03 14:42:24	Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider	Diana Shnaider	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xf1c33f…
06-03 13:15:50	Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider	Diana Shnaider	BUY	16	34¢	$5	0xeca459…
06-02 21:00:59	Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x0d2dd6…
06-02 19:22:05	Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	45	49¢	$22	0x6e6846…
06-02 19:09:57	Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	40	57¢	$23	0x6da1a2…
06-02 19:05:45	Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x65b04f…
06-02 18:30:31	Georgia vs. Romania: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	29	48¢	$14	0xa630b2…
06-02 14:19:43	Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs Zverev	Zverev	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xeb57d1…
06-02 13:15:57	Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs Zverev	Zverev	BUY	24	54¢	$13	0xc13186…
06-02 12:28:30	Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk	Marta Kostyuk	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x42421b…
06-02 12:18:14	Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk	Marta Kostyuk	BUY	24	95¢	$22	0x37f953…
06-02 10:47:00	Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirstea	Mirra Andreeva	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x9c54a3…
06-02 09:36:32	Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirstea	Mirra Andreeva	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x4173f8…
06-01 20:36:06	Canada vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	35	46¢	$16	0x71c8b0…
06-01 20:04:39	Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xfa9bc3…
06-01 19:07:47	Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	36	45¢	$16	0xcd95e9…
06-01 18:56:49	Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xc78789…
06-01 18:42:40	Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x7a30d5…
06-01 18:31:31	Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x748e4b…
06-01 18:30:37	Slovakia vs. Malta: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xdaab81…
06-01 17:34:53	Slovakia vs. Malta: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xaa7cd4…
06-01 12:59:14	Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaider	Madison Keys	BUY	31	39¢	$12	0x8d5e47…
06-01 11:57:52	Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Fukushima United FC: O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xc81cc9…
06-01 11:27:11	Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Fukushima United FC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x506445…
06-01 11:16:41	Potapova vs. Kalinskaya: Match O/U 21.5	Over	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x16a391…
06-01 09:38:56	Set Handicap: Cobolli (-2.5) vs Svajda (+2.5)	Cobolli	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xbad01a…
06-01 09:23:27	Potapova vs. Kalinskaya: Match O/U 21.5	Over	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x5c5bdd…
06-01 08:19:26	T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Hong Kong, China vs Bahrain	Hong Kong, China	SELL	30	61¢	$18	0x46edab…
06-01 07:55:59	T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Hong Kong, China vs Bahrain	Hong Kong, China	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0xc69f77…
05-31 22:38:26	Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals	Chicago Cubs	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x8469b3…
05-31 22:35:48	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x3deb4d…
05-31 22:27:14	Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xf4f7c8…
05-31 21:13:49	CD Leganés vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xfc07ac…
05-31 21:13:25	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	Finland	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x5369a5…
05-31 20:50:43	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Casper Ruud	BUY	24	26¢	$6	0xdb178b…
05-31 20:25:54	United States vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xc74a60…
05-31 19:26:22	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Casper Ruud	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0x9850b5…
05-31 19:03:30	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Casper Ruud	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x55164b…
05-31 18:43:28	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	SELL	49	21¢	$10	0x4f25b6…
05-31 18:14:58	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x49d33d…
05-31 17:51:36	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0xb94dc3…
05-31 17:46:53	Spread: Germany (-2.5)	Finland	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x727351…
05-31 17:46:20	Germany vs. Finland: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x2348fe…
05-31 17:05:05	Cabo Verde vs. Serbia: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xd0c2d4…
05-31 16:35:20	Cabo Verde vs. Serbia: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xfad5c0…
05-31 16:34:19	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-05-31?	No	SELL	23	2¢	$0	0x8b4554…
05-31 16:32:04	Will Poland win on 2026-05-31?	No	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0x041eed…
05-31 15:55:37	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-05-31?	No	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x15cec1…
05-31 15:54:23	Czechia vs. Kosovo: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x7c8007…
05-31 15:31:49	Czechia vs. Kosovo: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x4347b2…
05-31 15:19:56	Will Poland win on 2026-05-31?	No	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x920831…
05-31 14:57:39	CD Leganés vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x5aaaa8…
05-31 14:46:55	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	Finland	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xe8d8f9…
05-31 14:31:51	Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Rafael Jodar	SELL	24	84¢	$20	0x0c1db4…
05-31 14:25:10	United States vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x1f7a26…
05-31 13:23:25	Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencic	Elina Svitolina	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x24c8b4…
05-31 12:48:01	Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xa979c1…
05-31 12:39:47	Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x35c04d…
05-31 12:27:15	Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Rafael Jodar	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xa95b8e…
05-31 12:09:52	Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencic	Elina Svitolina	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x82aaf1…