Experienced-Omega — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$242

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.3%

Resolved

Trades

649

lifetime

Volume

$26.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-28

last 08-08 15:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Sports

36% 54% $-13

Other

31% 100% +$63

Politics

30% 100% +$192

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	28	$1.1K	972	721	+251	open	—	07-09 10:16
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	7	$815	889	889	+0	open	—	06-15 05:08
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	6	$575	534	534	+0	open	—	07-01 01:02
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	3	$542	3,097	3,097	+0	open	—	07-26 12:26
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	7	$500	258	258	+0	open	—	06-19 09:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	5	$475	1,429	1,429	+0	open	—	07-12 07:38
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	5	$474	667	667	+0	open	—	07-02 16:24
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	12	$457	1,894	1,061	+833	open	—	06-20 10:27
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	5	$444	3,000	1,600	+1,400	open	—	07-15 13:11
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	14	$392	282	281	+1	open	—	07-31 19:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	3	$390	291	291	+0	Yes	+$192	05-09 05:16
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$300	153	153	+0	open	—	04-01 03:29
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	9	$273	211	211	+0	open	—	06-29 04:35
iran closes its airspace by june 8	3	$266	166	166	+0	open	—	06-08 04:44
bun uni wol 2026 04 18 wol	4	$238	493	0	+493	open	—	04-18 13:57
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	3	$220	169	169	+0	open	—	04-01 15:34
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	2	$219	123	123	+0	open	—	07-13 14:19
Cavaliers vs. Raptors	7	$216	403	296	+108	open	—	05-02 02:22
will trump say crooked during speech to the nation 20260713200621438	3	$213	444	62	+382	open	—	07-17 01:28
starmer out by july 31 2026	3	$207	111	111	+0	open	—	06-21 10:47
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	3	$202	102	102	+0	open	—	06-10 04:38
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	2	$202	476	476	+0	open	—	06-17 19:44
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	3	$202	103	103	+0	open	—	06-27 07:45
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 17 20260713194332727	2	$201	106	106	+0	open	—	07-17 00:06
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	2	$199	3,290	3,290	+0	open	—	07-24 04:35
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 3pt5	2	$198	179	179	+0	open	—	07-18 20:58
world cup finals coin toss result 20260716230203068	7	$198	196	196	+0	open	—	07-19 10:57
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	4	$198	543	0	+543	open	—	04-30 00:00
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya	5	$198	348	0	+348	open	—	06-01 10:59
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)	4	$198	367	0	+367	open	—	04-24 14:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 15:16:27	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	206	30¢	$62	0x7fdf12…
08-06 15:54:00	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x0d9058…
08-06 07:15:56	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	477	3¢	$15	0xd24de3…
08-05 08:46:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	63	52¢	$32	0x2ef6e5…
08-04 17:55:02	CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?	Yes	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0x828cd8…
08-04 15:46:06	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	No	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xc026a5…
08-04 15:28:14	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	No	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x3e81be…
08-04 14:48:21	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	No	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x19e689…
08-04 14:17:08	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	29	51¢	$15	0x8d448d…
08-04 14:16:44	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	143	35¢	$50	0x58bfe1…
08-03 15:26:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	351	14¢	$49	0x73e756…
08-03 15:25:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	714	14¢	$100	0x7e9d8e…
08-02 21:47:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	2,456	3¢	$84	0x8870ce…
07-31 19:45:35	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x2dd42d…
07-31 19:31:57	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xaebbb8…
07-31 19:31:57	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x292173…
07-31 19:31:57	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x01fd69…
07-31 19:31:56	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd9e75c…
07-31 19:31:56	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xa424fd…
07-31 19:31:56	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x9cd493…
07-31 19:31:56	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x925f75…
07-31 19:31:56	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x727c86…
07-31 19:31:56	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3d652c…
07-31 19:31:56	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2eca2f…
07-31 19:31:56	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x1cfded…
07-31 19:31:24	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	266	99¢	$263	0x253876…
07-31 19:21:26	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	31	44¢	$14	0x193cef…
07-31 19:16:30	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	251	40¢	$100	0xac47da…
07-31 04:31:20	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	53	97¢	$51	0x78dd5c…
07-30 06:48:50	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x87fb3d…
07-30 02:05:51	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	144	13¢	$19	0xdbe797…
07-29 18:58:39	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0x00d56f…
07-27 20:14:52	will trump say joe or biden 12 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420352	No	BUY	892	11¢	$100	0xb5ef1d…
07-27 20:03:49	will trump say joe or biden 12 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420352	No	BUY	208	10¢	$21	0x8ca6a8…
07-27 17:10:21	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	No	SELL	71	7¢	$5	0x13ead5…
07-27 10:27:04	will trump say golf or golfer during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556644	No	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x4bec1e…
07-27 05:43:49	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	No	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x1961f6…
07-26 14:35:13	f1 hungarian grand prix driver podium verstappen 2026 07 26	Yes	BUY	42	93¢	$39	0x2544fb…
07-26 12:26:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	774	41¢	$317	0xba0e92…
07-25 06:54:58	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	2,322	5¢	$125	0x545712…
07-25 04:27:46	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$4	0xf6d99b…
07-25 04:27:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	167	29¢	$48	0x292c8d…
07-25 02:04:24	will trump say fake news during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255815	No	BUY	464	22¢	$100	0xddf19d…
07-25 00:14:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	3,097	3¢	$100	0x134368…
07-24 22:51:16	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 24 20260723195748423	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x2af7ea…
07-24 19:49:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0x6dc209…
07-24 18:43:10	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x9ed78c…
07-24 17:11:09	btc updown 5m 1784913000	Up	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x5af111…
07-24 04:35:52	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	3,290	3¢	$99	0x8a6bc4…
07-23 13:30:19	us saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026 20260722230956508	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x774100…
07-22 20:41:30	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	No	SELL	84	37¢	$31	0x1274fb…
07-22 09:34:42	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xbf4515…
07-22 07:36:30	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	55	46¢	$25	0x10f939…
07-22 07:36:21	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xdf8c40…
07-21 14:39:33	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	477	21¢	$100	0xb518fa…
07-20 12:42:34	atp galan bailly 2026 07 20	Daniel Galan	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xe7591c…
07-20 12:34:06	wta podrez lee 2026 07 20	Veronika Podrez	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x9a7bba…
07-20 12:33:16	wta podrez lee 2026 07 20	Carol Young Suh Lee	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x8563dc…
07-20 12:33:15	wta podrez lee 2026 07 20	Carol Young Suh Lee	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0xeceaee…
07-19 10:57:01	world cup finals coin toss result 20260716230203068	Argentina	SELL	49	50¢	$25	0xc06337…
07-19 07:48:13	world cup finals coin toss result 20260716230203068	Argentina	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xb7f874…
07-19 07:48:13	world cup finals coin toss result 20260716230203068	Argentina	SELL	98	50¢	$49	0x1fba26…
07-19 06:38:48	world cup finals coin toss result 20260716230203068	Argentina	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xc3747d…
07-19 05:39:18	world cup finals coin toss result 20260716230203068	Argentina	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xfc48ad…
07-19 05:39:18	world cup finals coin toss result 20260716230203068	Argentina	SELL	49	50¢	$25	0xaea5a8…
07-19 01:11:52	world cup finals coin toss result 20260716230203068	Argentina	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xa6a203…
07-18 20:58:54	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	179	55¢	$98	0x23bb1e…
07-18 20:41:15	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x73227e…
07-18 17:56:01	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by december 31 2026 20260716215104508	No	SELL	45	30¢	$13	0xa48c6f…
07-18 16:40:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 18 20260716224448964	No	BUY	3,395	3¢	$100	0xcf8cbe…
07-18 15:22:25	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by december 31 2026 20260716215104508	No	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x612bec…
07-18 12:56:00	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	87	60¢	$52	0xd4528b…
07-18 08:15:07	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x29869d…
07-18 08:14:49	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	16	34¢	$5	0xd209e8…
07-17 09:07:28	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	Yes	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xe6f307…
07-17 01:28:03	will trump say crooked during speech to the nation 20260713200621438	Yes	SELL	62	21¢	$13	0xb238e5…
07-17 00:06:22	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 17 20260713194332727	No	SELL	106	95¢	$101	0x359fd7…
07-17 00:03:25	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 17 20260713194332727	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x41155a…
07-16 18:33:40	will trump say crooked during speech to the nation 20260713200621438	Yes	BUY	219	46¢	$100	0x5fba91…
07-16 17:52:16	will trump say iran or iranian 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621420	Yes	BUY	583	13¢	$76	0xaf042b…
07-16 17:09:35	will trump say crooked during speech to the nation 20260713200621438	Yes	BUY	225	44¢	$100	0xc6e8a3…
07-16 17:09:20	will trump say russia during speech to the nation 20260713200621434	Yes	BUY	102	45¢	$46	0x4d7cae…
07-15 13:11:50	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,400	9¢	$126	0xae955c…
07-15 12:28:23	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	9¢	$18	0x7c88e7…
07-15 10:38:14	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0xf25123…
07-15 06:49:04	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0xeccfee…
07-15 06:30:44	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0x30deac…
07-14 20:38:41	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	Yes	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x82523b…
07-14 18:37:25	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	No	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x6567bc…
07-13 15:18:43	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	SELL	132	61¢	$80	0xad81ec…
07-13 15:17:02	will russia enter stinky by july 31	Yes	SELL	184	18¢	$33	0xe86d3a…
07-13 14:19:52	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	123	96¢	$119	0xeaa1a3…
07-13 14:17:07	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x80fdca…
07-12 14:38:35	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x3adaa8…
07-12 08:30:23	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x1f5897…
07-12 07:40:59	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	Yes	SELL	43	68¢	$29	0xeb3810…
07-12 07:39:52	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	SELL	18	16¢	$3	0xd8b6cb…
07-12 07:38:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	179	36¢	$64	0xa30c3e…
07-12 04:45:13	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	Yes	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x6d6fdb…
07-12 00:06:01	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team total home 1pt5	Under	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xc3d669…