Experienced-Omega — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$242

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

66.3%

Resolved

Trades

595

lifetime

Volume

$23.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

$147

1 position

First seen

2026-03-28

last 07-21 14:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Sports

40% 54% $-13

Other

29% 100% +$63

Politics

28% 100% +$192

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes		+1,400	$156	11¢	$147	$-9	07-15 13:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	28	$1.1K	972	721	+251	open	—	07-09 10:16
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	7	$815	889	889	+0	open	—	06-15 05:08
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	6	$575	534	534	+0	open	—	07-01 01:02
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	7	$500	258	258	+0	open	—	06-19 09:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	5	$475	1,429	1,429	+0	open	—	07-12 07:38
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	5	$474	667	667	+0	open	—	07-02 16:24
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	12	$457	1,894	1,061	+833	open	—	06-20 10:27
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	5	$444	3,000	1,600	+1,400	open	—	07-15 13:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	3	$390	291	291	+0	Yes	+$192	05-09 05:16
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$300	153	153	+0	open	—	04-01 03:29
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	9	$273	211	211	+0	open	—	06-29 04:35
iran closes its airspace by june 8	3	$266	166	166	+0	open	—	06-08 04:44
bun uni wol 2026 04 18 wol	4	$238	493	0	+493	open	—	04-18 13:57
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	3	$220	169	169	+0	open	—	04-01 15:34
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	2	$219	123	123	+0	open	—	07-13 14:19
Cavaliers vs. Raptors	7	$216	403	296	+108	open	—	05-02 02:22
will trump say crooked during speech to the nation 20260713200621438	3	$213	444	62	+382	open	—	07-17 01:28
starmer out by july 31 2026	3	$207	111	111	+0	open	—	06-21 10:47
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	3	$202	102	102	+0	open	—	06-10 04:38
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	2	$202	476	476	+0	open	—	06-17 19:44
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	3	$202	103	103	+0	open	—	06-27 07:45
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 17 20260713194332727	2	$201	106	106	+0	open	—	07-17 00:06
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 3pt5	2	$198	179	179	+0	open	—	07-18 20:58
world cup finals coin toss result 20260716230203068	7	$198	196	196	+0	open	—	07-19 10:57
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	4	$198	543	0	+543	open	—	04-30 00:00
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya	5	$198	348	0	+348	open	—	06-01 10:59
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)	4	$198	367	0	+367	open	—	04-24 14:10
mlb nym cin 2026 06 17 spread away 1pt5	6	$197	206	206	+0	open	—	06-17 18:33
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	4	$196	151	151	+0	open	—	07-04 01:18
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	4	$196	478	239	+239	open	—	06-18 19:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 14:39:33	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	477	21¢	$100	0xb518fa…
07-20 12:42:34	atp galan bailly 2026 07 20	Daniel Galan	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xe7591c…
07-20 12:34:06	wta podrez lee 2026 07 20	Veronika Podrez	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x9a7bba…
07-20 12:33:16	wta podrez lee 2026 07 20	Carol Young Suh Lee	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x8563dc…
07-20 12:33:15	wta podrez lee 2026 07 20	Carol Young Suh Lee	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0xeceaee…
07-19 10:57:01	world cup finals coin toss result 20260716230203068	Argentina	SELL	49	50¢	$25	0xc06337…
07-19 07:48:13	world cup finals coin toss result 20260716230203068	Argentina	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xb7f874…
07-19 07:48:13	world cup finals coin toss result 20260716230203068	Argentina	SELL	98	50¢	$49	0x1fba26…
07-19 06:38:48	world cup finals coin toss result 20260716230203068	Argentina	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xc3747d…
07-19 05:39:18	world cup finals coin toss result 20260716230203068	Argentina	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xfc48ad…
07-19 05:39:18	world cup finals coin toss result 20260716230203068	Argentina	SELL	49	50¢	$25	0xaea5a8…
07-19 01:11:52	world cup finals coin toss result 20260716230203068	Argentina	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xa6a203…
07-18 20:58:54	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	179	55¢	$98	0x23bb1e…
07-18 20:41:15	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x73227e…
07-18 17:56:01	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by december 31 2026 20260716215104508	No	SELL	45	30¢	$13	0xa48c6f…
07-18 16:40:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 18 20260716224448964	No	BUY	3,395	3¢	$100	0xcf8cbe…
07-18 15:22:25	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by december 31 2026 20260716215104508	No	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x612bec…
07-18 12:56:00	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	87	60¢	$52	0xd4528b…
07-18 08:15:07	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x29869d…
07-18 08:14:49	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	16	34¢	$5	0xd209e8…
07-17 09:07:28	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	Yes	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xe6f307…
07-17 01:28:03	will trump say crooked during speech to the nation 20260713200621438	Yes	SELL	62	21¢	$13	0xb238e5…
07-17 00:06:22	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 17 20260713194332727	No	SELL	106	95¢	$101	0x359fd7…
07-17 00:03:25	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 17 20260713194332727	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x41155a…
07-16 18:33:40	will trump say crooked during speech to the nation 20260713200621438	Yes	BUY	219	46¢	$100	0x5fba91…
07-16 17:52:16	will trump say iran or iranian 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621420	Yes	BUY	583	13¢	$76	0xaf042b…
07-16 17:09:35	will trump say crooked during speech to the nation 20260713200621438	Yes	BUY	225	44¢	$100	0xc6e8a3…
07-16 17:09:20	will trump say russia during speech to the nation 20260713200621434	Yes	BUY	102	45¢	$46	0x4d7cae…
07-15 13:11:50	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,400	9¢	$126	0xae955c…
07-15 12:28:23	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	9¢	$18	0x7c88e7…
07-15 10:38:14	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0xf25123…
07-15 06:49:04	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0xeccfee…
07-15 06:30:44	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0x30deac…
07-14 20:38:41	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	Yes	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x82523b…
07-14 18:37:25	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	No	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x6567bc…
07-13 15:18:43	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	SELL	132	61¢	$80	0xad81ec…
07-13 15:17:02	will russia enter stinky by july 31	Yes	SELL	184	18¢	$33	0xe86d3a…
07-13 14:19:52	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	123	96¢	$119	0xeaa1a3…
07-13 14:17:07	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x80fdca…
07-12 14:38:35	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x3adaa8…
07-12 08:30:23	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x1f5897…
07-12 07:40:59	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	Yes	SELL	43	68¢	$29	0xeb3810…
07-12 07:39:52	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	SELL	18	16¢	$3	0xd8b6cb…
07-12 07:38:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	179	36¢	$64	0xa30c3e…
07-12 04:45:13	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	Yes	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x6d6fdb…
07-12 00:06:01	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team total home 1pt5	Under	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xc3d669…
07-11 13:00:43	iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	Yes	SELL	415	10¢	$43	0xe09cd5…
07-11 12:38:08	iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	Yes	BUY	831	12¢	$100	0x794c51…
07-10 18:13:53	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	225	44¢	$100	0x7a0625…
07-09 10:16:41	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0xc16eb6…
07-09 00:20:05	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	3,290	3¢	$100	0x1e87ae…
07-09 00:13:17	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	No	SELL	2,453	1¢	$34	0x200bd3…
07-08 19:56:10	will graham platner drop out by july 8	Yes	BUY	67	36¢	$24	0xafac72…
07-08 10:10:11	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	No	BUY	2,453	4¢	$100	0x607fb7…
07-07 15:56:29	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 btts	Yes	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0x6bfd20…
07-07 04:43:07	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	SELL	180	65¢	$117	0xa6c16f…
07-07 00:26:02	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x9265ea…
07-07 00:09:38	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x48bd44…
07-07 00:04:02	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x7cf736…
07-07 00:02:32	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0xdb01be…
07-06 12:22:14	btc updown 5m 1783340400	Up	BUY	761	13¢	$100	0x22e642…
07-06 04:25:25	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	SELL	205	66¢	$135	0xa7de3d…
07-06 01:10:38	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x35465c…
07-06 00:37:37	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xc46501…
07-06 00:35:08	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x242efe…
07-06 00:34:53	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xf4f778…
07-05 08:42:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	69	35¢	$24	0xa10ee1…
07-05 08:40:13	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x9dfd54…
07-05 03:18:35	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xed9861…
07-05 00:47:17	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x9515f5…
07-05 00:43:10	will trumps remarks not air 20260630160620582 476 169	Yes	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0xbf80f7…
07-05 00:37:52	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x0b28e6…
07-05 00:23:25	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x0965c1…
07-04 05:36:28	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	SELL	336	66¢	$222	0x167603…
07-04 02:37:05	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x5b6a40…
07-04 02:25:58	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x6c3ae5…
07-04 02:08:01	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xe02479…
07-04 01:18:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x812f4f…
07-04 00:19:01	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xe8fb1e…
07-04 00:06:11	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x43d03a…
07-03 17:55:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	37	66¢	$25	0x5ac507…
07-03 00:43:38	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x5248b6…
07-03 00:24:07	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xe35a75…
07-03 00:19:56	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x5fd45e…
07-03 00:10:05	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x04dff5…
07-02 16:24:58	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	74	69¢	$51	0x4ead9f…
07-02 05:46:40	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xf8b289…
07-02 05:34:13	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x5fd6c1…
07-02 05:13:26	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x74d9b1…
07-02 04:37:04	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xb3d193…
07-02 04:23:52	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4a2379…
07-01 20:56:02	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x2f6220…
07-01 19:54:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	228	1¢	$2	0xd58df2…
07-01 19:32:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	342	1¢	$3	0x360b92…
07-01 04:51:38	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	74	72¢	$53	0x926c2a…
07-01 03:43:28	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	1,934	2¢	$40	0xb7d3ac…
07-01 01:02:34	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	194	93¢	$180	0xf19cb8…
07-01 00:00:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	2,504	4¢	$100	0xe90343…
06-30 19:56:38	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x72b783…
06-30 16:28:35	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	SELL	56	43¢	$24	0x94a7a3…