(anonymous) 0x588b66…1bb09f Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
-$27
Hit rate
63.3%
Resolved
5
Trades
43
lifetime
Volume
$697
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$64
14 positions
First seen
2026-08-25
last 11-06 05:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
68% 0% -$10
Politics
32% 50% +$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +833 $15 2¢ $15 -$1 11-06 05:04
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? Yes +1,576 $15 1¢ $12 -$3 10-23 15:14
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027? Yes +5,000 $10 0¢ $8 -$2 10-23 15:07
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? Yes +1,446 $6 0¢ $7 +$1 10-23 15:15
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027? Yes +2,500 $5 0¢ $6 +$1 10-23 15:15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +264 $11 2¢ $4 -$7 09-18 18:05
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? Yes +200 $10 2¢ $4 -$6 10-23 14:54
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? Yes +965 $3 0¢ $2 -$1 10-23 15:00
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? Yes +1,116 $8 0¢ $2 -$6 10-23 15:16
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +1,000 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 11-09 16:06
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +250 $1 0¢ $1 $0 11-09 16:05
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +29 $1 3¢ $1 $0 11-09 16:08
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027? Yes +203 $3 0¢ $1 -$2 10-23 15:05
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +500 $1 0¢ $1 $0 11-09 16:05