Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$112

Unrealized P&L

-$44

Hit rate

66.0%

Resolved

451

Trades

794

lifetime

Volume

$46.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$58

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-27

last 07-12 14:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Crypto

42% 98% +$10

Other

29% 35% -$1

Politics

19% 26% -$134

Sports

7% 42% +$22

Tech

3% 40% -$10

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-12).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will nansen launch a token by december 31 2027	No		+0	$45	81¢	$0	-$44	06-11 05:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	30	$2.6K	2,659	2,659	+0	No	+$29	07-07 08:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	18	$1.6K	1,954	1,954	+0	No	-$3	06-19 10:31
Fed rate hike in 2026?	14	$1.5K	1,504	1,504	+0	Yes	+$0	07-12 00:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	15	$1.5K	1,422	1,422	+0	open	—	07-12 00:03
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	18	$1.3K	1,212	1,212	+0	No	-$66	06-19 05:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	14	$1.1K	883	883	+0	No	+$0	06-26 05:13
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	7	$1.0K	610	610	+0	open	—	07-01 07:15
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	8	$991	974	974	+0	Yes	+$31	06-14 15:41
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	4	$839	809	809	+0	Yes	-$36	05-28 17:42
Hamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paul	8	$820	1,000	1,000	+0	Tommy Paul	+$0	05-22 08:10
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	11	$758	826	826	+0	Yes	-$24	06-14 13:04
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	6	$758	603	603	+0	No	-$12	05-30 22:37
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	7	$596	400	400	+0	Yes	+$0	06-14 20:33
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	8	$563	1,702	1,702	+0	Yes	+$24	06-11 09:37
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	4	$540	533	533	+0	Yes	+$0	07-07 09:12
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	8	$523	494	494	+0	Yes	-$8	07-12 14:53
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	6	$512	513	513	+0	open	—	06-03 02:57
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?	20	$503	516	516	+0	No	+$3	06-17 02:14
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	6	$499	431	431	+0	Yes	+$0	07-03 13:24
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	11	$382	354	354	+0	No	+$0	07-01 18:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	4	$362	400	400	+0	open	—	06-15 00:46
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$350	269	269	+0	Yes	+$0	07-04 08:03
will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	9	$343	367	367	+0	No	-$10	07-07 20:56
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	5	$328	200	200	+0	No	+$0	06-08 20:57
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$326	200	200	+0	No	+$2	06-18 01:42
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$304	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	06-18 06:42
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	12	$300	244	244	+0	No	+$0	07-03 23:30
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$300	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	06-15 06:10
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	4	$299	178	178	+0	Yes	+$0	07-10 11:49
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$287	200	200	+0	No	-$1	06-05 23:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 14:53:31	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	120	53¢	$64	0x13bb1f…
07-12 14:53:14	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	78	53¢	$42	0xfbb0c8…
07-12 14:52:10	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	10	54¢	$6	0x8c2e04…
07-12 14:46:47	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	259	44¢	$115	0xfa6ec5…
07-12 14:46:16	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	238	34¢	$81	0x7d6462…
07-12 14:44:19	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	189	36¢	$68	0xca5141…
07-12 14:41:47	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	107	53¢	$57	0xc43c3e…
07-12 00:16:34	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	85	54¢	$46	0xb00e36…
07-12 00:03:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	207	66¢	$137	0xd69ac9…
07-11 23:59:38	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	125	54¢	$68	0xaabd54…
07-11 23:59:10	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	54¢	$25	0xd710af…
07-11 22:12:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	207	66¢	$137	0x906ac1…
07-11 18:32:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	17	32¢	$6	0x8e2651…
07-11 18:25:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	218	32¢	$70	0x5573d2…
07-11 18:25:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	17	32¢	$6	0x2279fe…
07-11 18:23:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	253	32¢	$81	0xeea2f2…
07-10 11:49:25	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	90	83¢	$75	0x807416…
07-10 07:42:47	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	90	83¢	$75	0xa4f135…
07-10 03:31:19	Will Norway be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	59	18¢	$11	0x11d767…
07-10 03:29:41	Will Norway be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	59	18¢	$11	0x21bb93…
07-09 18:30:28	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	193	39¢	$75	0xbd4663…
07-09 18:26:25	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	12	39¢	$5	0x74f0bb…
07-09 18:23:08	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	205	39¢	$80	0x864edc…
07-09 10:10:17	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	257	54¢	$139	0x18f36d…
07-09 09:58:40	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	No	SELL	135	53¢	$72	0xd2cf16…
07-08 16:21:11	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	No	BUY	135	53¢	$72	0x792266…
07-08 15:33:10	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0xb8ce2b…
07-08 15:33:08	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0xf4f424…
07-08 15:33:08	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0xf42d6c…
07-08 15:33:08	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	BUY	43	64¢	$28	0xcd9f67…
07-08 15:33:08	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	BUY	10	64¢	$7	0x96ae3b…
07-08 15:33:08	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x90a25e…
07-08 15:33:07	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	BUY	120	65¢	$78	0x27d82d…
07-08 11:52:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	209	49¢	$102	0xfa20ba…
07-08 11:52:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	209	49¢	$102	0xce0943…
07-08 02:28:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	243	38¢	$92	0xd1daff…
07-08 02:24:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	243	37¢	$90	0x19bb6f…
07-08 02:23:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	243	37¢	$90	0x83f958…
07-07 23:59:55	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	189	41¢	$77	0xc677dc…
07-07 20:56:37	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x6e9548…
07-07 19:58:53	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	259	65¢	$168	0xd34ded…
07-07 11:45:13	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	SELL	113	37¢	$42	0x56ec42…
07-07 11:29:59	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0xf2a077…
07-07 11:29:56	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	SELL	99	37¢	$37	0x9249d5…
07-07 11:29:26	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	233	37¢	$86	0x4517c2…
07-07 09:12:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	247	85¢	$210	0xbde24f…
07-07 08:59:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0x51e90e…
07-07 03:59:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x680d5e…
07-06 16:51:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	247	85¢	$210	0xff7125…
07-06 15:10:37	will spain reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149737	Yes	SELL	228	49¢	$112	0x36f421…
07-06 14:40:25	will spain reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149737	Yes	BUY	228	49¢	$112	0x57b74b…
07-06 10:42:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	276	69¢	$190	0x41e8e4…
07-06 10:42:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	276	69¢	$190	0x0cf5c7…
07-05 01:54:19	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	58¢	$58	0x498a85…
07-05 01:45:46	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0xc3f183…
07-04 13:37:43	Will T1 win MSI 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	20¢	$6	0x2a294c…
07-04 13:37:43	Will T1 win MSI 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	20¢	$14	0x15607e…
07-04 13:37:40	Will T1 win MSI 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xef71d4…
07-04 13:30:22	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	238	46¢	$109	0xa96683…
07-04 08:03:26	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	152	65¢	$99	0x6ea6d9…
07-04 07:38:52	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	25	65¢	$16	0x3eae5e…
07-04 06:46:40	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	93	65¢	$60	0x826562…
07-04 04:28:10	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	269	65¢	$175	0xd3acb9…
07-03 23:30:55	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	81	62¢	$50	0xecfdb7…
07-03 23:30:55	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xba59b5…
07-03 23:30:55	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	62¢	$6	0xad1cdf…
07-03 23:30:55	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x94b6c5…
07-03 23:30:55	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x7e7e5a…
07-03 23:30:55	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	62¢	$4	0x5c51fd…
07-03 23:30:55	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	13	62¢	$8	0x39f228…
07-03 23:30:55	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x274d68…
07-03 23:30:55	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x01deed…
07-03 22:22:05	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	122	61¢	$74	0x409b48…
07-03 16:52:44	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	122	61¢	$74	0x1c0e4c…
07-03 13:24:44	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	200	71¢	$142	0x4de2db…
07-03 12:32:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0x44b55f…
07-02 17:14:58	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	65¢	$32	0x0ae543…
07-02 17:14:41	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0xf3474f…
07-02 16:40:32	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	88	85¢	$75	0xf830ee…
07-02 15:56:02	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	88	85¢	$75	0x1d8d5c…
07-02 01:37:58	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	154	74¢	$114	0x9fa62a…
07-02 01:02:02	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	154	74¢	$114	0xcb8979…
07-01 21:55:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	100	29¢	$29	0xf3f5ce…
07-01 18:06:53	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x845c1d…
07-01 18:06:34	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$2	0x4dc7a7…
07-01 18:06:32	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	26	54¢	$14	0xdd20b7…
07-01 18:06:31	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0xb07b86…
07-01 18:06:28	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0xa4282f…
07-01 18:06:26	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	172	54¢	$93	0xed8cb1…
07-01 18:06:26	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	56	54¢	$30	0xccb1ef…
07-01 18:06:23	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	56	54¢	$30	0xd0c009…
07-01 18:06:22	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xdf0023…
07-01 18:06:22	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	14	54¢	$8	0xc9275e…
07-01 18:06:14	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	354	54¢	$191	0x839028…
07-01 17:28:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x78cca4…
07-01 07:15:20	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	85¢	$170	0xbddda8…
07-01 07:14:11	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x9a6525…
06-30 15:57:59	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	30	45¢	$14	0xbf96d7…
06-30 15:57:55	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	170	45¢	$77	0x1af692…
06-30 15:57:44	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x05488f…