Rectangular-Finish — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

-$24

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$13.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$147

Open exposure

$961

5 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 06-18 04:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

48% 100% +$7

Crypto

30% — —

Other

21% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	+550	$270	52¢	$289	+$19	06-18 04:46
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	-271	$-250	94¢	$-254	$-4	06-13 02:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+550	$258	40¢	$217	$-41	06-15 09:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	+183	$150	100¢	$182	+$32	06-12 08:46
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?	Yes	+152	$50	12¢	$19	$-31	06-03 10:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	1	$1.5K	1,508	0	+1,508	open	—	04-07 06:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$1.1K	662	1,462	-800	open	—	06-12 03:25
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	1	$1.0K	1,009	0	+1,009	open	—	03-17 11:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	9	$688	998	725	+273	open	—	05-21 15:48
ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	1	$668	668	0	+668	open	—	03-27 09:59
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	2	$502	258	258	+0	open	—	06-12 03:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	2	$496	260	260	+0	open	—	04-10 10:20
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	4	$440	618	618	+0	open	—	03-30 17:28
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	2	$350	675	0	+675	open	—	04-06 15:09
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	1	$300	682	0	+682	open	—	06-12 09:32
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$300	154	154	+0	open	—	04-05 17:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$275	296	0	+296	open	—	05-22 15:49
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	3	$275	500	0	+500	open	—	05-20 21:49
Will Hyperliquid reach $58 by December 31, 2026?	6	$270	296	414	-118	open	—	03-16 15:06
Fed rate hike in 2026?	1	$270	550	0	+550	open	—	06-18 04:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	1	$258	550	0	+550	open	—	06-15 09:06
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	1	$255	258	0	+258	open	—	04-09 07:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$251	260	0	+260	open	—	05-08 05:30
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	1	$250	0	271	-271	open	—	06-13 02:34
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$250	255	0	+255	open	—	05-10 03:25
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	1	$250	383	0	+383	open	—	05-17 10:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	1	$250	258	0	+258	open	—	06-03 10:17
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	1	$250	259	0	+259	open	—	05-22 10:38
will the us invade iran by march 31	5	$219	120	120	+0	open	—	03-30 17:06
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$214	120	120	+0	open	—	03-30 17:06
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$201	109	109	+0	open	—	03-30 17:07
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$161	0	268	-268	open	—	05-29 12:38
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$155	189	0	+189	open	—	06-15 06:41
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	1	$155	175	0	+175	open	—	05-15 13:40
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	1	$155	170	0	+170	open	—	06-15 06:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 04:46:08	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	550	49¢	$270	0x499373…
06-17 04:38:25	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	99	76¢	$75	0x643139…
06-17 04:38:02	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	84	89¢	$75	0x67c189…
06-16 11:22:22	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	BUY	64	79¢	$50	0xd6a391…
06-15 09:06:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	550	47¢	$258	0x885152…
06-15 06:41:46	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	189	82¢	$155	0x2eec26…
06-15 06:41:10	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	170	91¢	$155	0x6a6c29…
06-15 03:15:34	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0xdd7707…
06-13 02:34:51	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	271	92¢	$250	0xfa31e5…
06-12 16:43:36	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x478fc2…
06-12 16:42:55	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	66	90¢	$60	0xe0763f…
06-12 09:32:31	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	682	44¢	$300	0x11a98f…
06-12 08:46:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	183	82¢	$150	0xfd7ce7…
06-12 08:39:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	173	87¢	$150	0x71d17e…
06-12 03:26:46	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	258	98¢	$252	0x7672ac…
06-12 03:25:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	800	33¢	$262	0x4b0422…
06-12 03:24:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	662	65¢	$432	0x3f384e…
06-12 03:23:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	662	68¢	$450	0xa3758e…
06-03 10:17:44	Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?	Yes	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0xd1a6a3…
06-03 10:17:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	258	97¢	$250	0xf5fc8e…
06-03 10:16:57	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	258	97¢	$250	0x19d366…
05-29 12:38:07	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	268	60¢	$161	0x51bf44…
05-23 03:39:28	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	250	1¢	$2	0x9f53e7…
05-22 15:49:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	296	93¢	$275	0x1a0e32…
05-22 10:38:17	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	259	97¢	$250	0x8ba985…
05-21 15:48:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	256	78¢	$200	0x36d99e…
05-20 21:49:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x7160c4…
05-20 21:44:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xbce62c…
05-20 21:38:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	483	55¢	$266	0x782786…
05-17 10:07:58	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	383	65¢	$250	0x469b2a…
05-17 03:56:56	Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May?	Yes	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x389dce…
05-15 16:14:28	Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May?	Yes	BUY	106	46¢	$49	0xe8f540…
05-15 14:08:54	Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x1df020…
05-15 13:40:19	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	Yes	BUY	175	89¢	$155	0x3761fd…
05-14 07:02:11	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	250	10¢	$25	0xd03de7…
05-12 03:16:59	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	173	72¢	$125	0xb4dd55…
05-10 03:25:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	255	98¢	$250	0xbf112b…
05-08 05:30:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	260	96¢	$251	0x0aa1d1…
05-08 05:15:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0xe5e7f5…
05-08 05:15:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xd67cd7…
05-08 05:15:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xbfc909…
05-07 14:17:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x7f7698…
05-07 10:31:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	725	35¢	$254	0x350552…
04-29 16:33:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xa48dc4…
04-29 16:32:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x114498…
04-29 16:31:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	27¢	$0	0xe7f051…
04-29 16:29:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	27¢	$27	0xe7132c…
04-29 16:29:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	27¢	$25	0x2ca437…
04-23 04:53:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	31¢	$155	0xe90e50…
04-16 06:11:56	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xbe29f7…
04-15 04:05:06	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	155	97¢	$150	0xfbb617…
04-10 10:20:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	260	93¢	$241	0x442e8d…
04-09 07:54:03	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	258	99¢	$255	0xe4fd14…
04-09 07:53:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	260	98¢	$255	0xde0c49…
04-07 06:19:43	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	1,508	99¢	$1,500	0x8e9581…
04-06 15:09:07	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	BUY	229	44¢	$100	0x4ddd44…
04-05 17:25:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	154	98¢	$150	0xebe3ec…
04-02 04:38:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	154	98¢	$150	0xa2bb44…
04-01 13:36:21	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	BUY	446	56¢	$250	0x218dec…
03-30 17:28:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	300	27¢	$81	0x187877…
03-30 17:07:01	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	109	93¢	$101	0x9a9079…
03-30 17:06:21	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	120	95¢	$114	0x9a6822…
03-30 17:06:09	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	SELL	120	96¢	$116	0x5af54f…
03-28 15:40:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	300	38¢	$114	0x94cfc1…
03-27 09:59:03	ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	668	100¢	$668	0xf039be…
03-27 09:37:47	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xfe58c8…
03-27 09:37:07	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x2ce586…
03-27 09:34:37	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0xd98380…
03-27 09:32:09	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	BUY	41	86¢	$35	0x94256c…
03-27 09:31:05	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	BUY	62	86¢	$53	0xf83c5e…
03-26 13:16:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x73c7aa…
03-26 05:41:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	318	44¢	$140	0xe172d0…
03-26 05:41:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	263	32¢	$84	0xd1f22c…
03-19 10:02:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	318	33¢	$105	0x67bf3b…
03-19 10:02:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	263	19¢	$50	0xc7b25c…
03-17 11:59:17	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	1,009	100¢	$1,006	0x722e83…
03-17 06:39:25	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	63	89¢	$56	0xedf79c…
03-16 15:06:41	Will Hyperliquid reach $58 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	396	38¢	$150	0xfa7371…
03-16 13:29:55	Will Hyperliquid reach $58 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xab17da…
03-16 12:21:43	Will Hyperliquid reach $58 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xbb0ca5…
03-12 20:52:07	Will Hyperliquid reach $58 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0x2da837…
03-01 04:28:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	96	62¢	$60	0xbc9e9c…
02-28 11:32:09	btc updown 5m 1772278200	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x63857e…
02-24 00:16:58	Will Hyperliquid reach $58 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	264	38¢	$100	0xf4145f…
02-20 13:08:04	cs2 mouz navi 2026 02 20	Natus Vincere	SELL	15	58¢	$9	0xbcdfb3…
02-20 11:37:56	cs2 mouz navi 2026 02 20	Natus Vincere	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0x65408b…
02-12 12:40:29	btc updown 5m 1770899700	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2dd480…
02-12 12:35:53	btc updown 5m 1770899700	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x1559b8…
02-10 07:32:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	96	57¢	$55	0x07a5ab…
02-09 11:50:47	Will Hyperliquid reach $58 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	38¢	$12	0xd274d2…
02-09 11:43:17	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x9841b4…