Realized P&L
+$7
Unrealized P&L
-$286
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
98
lifetime
Volume
$15.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$153
Open exposure
$1.70K
7 positions
First seen
2026-02-09
last 07-16 10:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
47% 100% +$7
Crypto
27%
Other
25%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +847 $500 52¢ $436 $-64 07-16 04:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +492 $400 70¢ $347 $-53 07-16 02:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +272 $250 99¢ $270 +$20 07-11 13:51
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -271 $-250 94¢ $-255 $-5 06-13 02:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +550 $258 36¢ $201 $-58 06-15 09:06
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +550 $270 28¢ $151 $-118 06-18 04:46
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? Yes +152 $50 28¢ $42 $-8 06-03 10:17