Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$31

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.6%

Resolved

Trades

125

lifetime

Volume

$1.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-03

last 10-14 12:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

59% 50% +$0

Politics

20% 83% +$0

Sports

10% 75% +$30

Pop-Culture

5% — —

Tech

3% 0% $0

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump out as President before 2027?	4	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	10-12 00:32
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	4	$38	21	21	+0	open	—	10-14 12:50
Trump out as President by September 30?	4	$38	19	19	+0	No	$0	09-12 07:23
Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?	4	$38	21	21	+0	open	—	10-14 12:50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	4	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	10-14 12:50
Noche UFC: Tim Elliott vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)	4	$35	28	28	+0	Tim Elliott	-$3	09-12 20:59
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?	4	$31	43	43	+0	open	—	10-08 01:02
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2	3	$28	38	19	+19	cancelled	$0	09-11 22:07
Charlotte vs. Ole Miss	3	$28	19	10	+10	Ole Miss	$0	09-12 21:04
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	09-12 07:02
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	10-14 12:50
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	2	$19	11	11	+0	open	—	10-14 12:50
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?	2	$19	11	11	+0	open	—	09-11 20:13
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	10-05 05:55
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$0	09-11 10:38
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	10-14 12:50
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$0	09-29 18:40
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$0	09-29 18:32
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	10-14 12:50
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$0	09-30 00:56
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	09-30 00:46
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	10-14 11:57
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	10-14 04:47
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	10-01 00:58
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	09-11 20:03
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	2	$19	11	11	+0	open	—	10-14 12:50
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$0	09-11 16:56
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	09-30 18:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	$0	09-11 20:15
us iran hormuz agreement by october 15	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	$0	10-14 12:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 12:50:03	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xed584d…
10-14 12:50:03	us iran hormuz agreement by october 15	No	SELL	10	99¢	$9	0xd8268a…
10-14 12:50:03	Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0xa4a168…
10-14 12:50:03	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x94925c…
10-14 12:50:03	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x6b95ee…
10-14 12:50:03	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x645a10…
10-14 12:50:03	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x5b4b43…
10-14 12:50:03	Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x565339…
10-14 12:50:03	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	93¢	$10	0x2e9cff…
10-14 12:50:02	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$10	0xd98240…
10-14 12:50:02	Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?	No	SELL	10	85¢	$9	0xc0893f…
10-14 12:50:02	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$10	0xa46563…
10-14 12:50:02	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	46¢	$8	0x9f116d…
10-14 12:50:02	Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?	No	SELL	11	90¢	$9	0x732e59…
10-14 12:50:02	Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x69a0a7…
10-14 12:50:02	Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	16	36¢	$6	0x68cb54…
10-14 12:50:02	Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x68ad64…
10-14 12:50:02	Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x4d5a21…
10-14 12:50:02	Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	90¢	$9	0x420d0e…
10-14 12:50:02	Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x0cf687…
10-14 11:57:45	us iran hormuz agreement by october 15	No	BUY	10	99¢	$9	0xfe14fa…
10-14 11:57:39	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x016919…
10-14 04:47:16	Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0xc83267…
10-14 04:47:11	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x94e25a…
10-13 18:42:46	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xb213a5…
10-13 18:42:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	34	13¢	$4	0x9981fd…
10-12 11:13:50	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x05b429…
10-12 11:13:44	Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0xa776b1…
10-12 06:33:33	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa138ce…
10-12 06:33:27	Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x2d0c97…
10-12 00:32:48	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x9ed4db…
10-12 00:32:44	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x8e2dfc…
10-09 13:56:12	Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf4241a…
10-09 13:55:55	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$9	0x42609c…
10-08 01:03:11	Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x89cee2…
10-08 01:02:26	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	21	11¢	$2	0x0c936c…
10-05 05:55:35	Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0x01f1cc…
10-05 05:55:07	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2acb7f…
10-05 05:16:29	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$9	0xff6195…
10-04 22:06:22	Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xe5606a…
10-04 21:52:20	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x6455e2…
10-04 21:51:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xd5b0a4…
10-01 10:16:48	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x92a27a…
10-01 06:13:42	Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x6b4941…
10-01 01:14:59	Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in September 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xf6eddb…
10-01 00:59:11	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0x1acabf…
10-01 00:58:35	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$9	0x43749e…
09-30 18:40:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xcbd9c5…
09-30 18:39:50	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$9	0x0b16cc…
09-30 09:43:54	Iran leadership change by September 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x853a39…
09-30 09:43:30	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xc8ebd9…
09-30 00:57:33	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$9	0x6a2959…
09-30 00:56:38	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x636b2b…
09-30 00:50:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xceb68d…
09-30 00:49:21	Will Trump pardon Andrew Tate before 2027?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x5e7686…
09-30 00:46:32	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8ab2ee…
09-30 00:46:18	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x310b3b…
09-29 19:02:24	Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$9	0xf28991…
09-29 18:41:12	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x29fd25…
09-29 18:40:32	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x755787…
09-29 18:34:53	Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in September 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcbcdaf…
09-29 18:32:14	Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x091d8c…
09-14 11:14:09	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0xd59c58…
09-14 05:34:40	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbb4811…
09-14 00:10:04	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$10	0x7546ad…
09-13 23:26:43	Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x2329fc…
09-13 20:14:45	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x0c9ccc…
09-13 19:45:45	Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x62cfba…
09-13 17:06:31	Ravens vs. Colts	Ravens	BUY	16	59¢	$10	0x581182…
09-13 04:08:45	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0xa050ce…
09-13 00:24:34	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x471f4f…
09-12 23:48:43	Noche UFC: Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales (Flyweight, Main Card)	Joseph Morales	SELL	18	4¢	$1	0x2bd3e7…
09-12 21:04:15	Charlotte vs. Ole Miss	Ole Miss	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x2571d2…
09-12 20:59:04	Noche UFC: Tim Elliott vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)	Tim Elliott	SELL	14	87¢	$12	0x8c0569…
09-12 20:54:51	Noche UFC: Tim Elliott vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)	Tim Elliott	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xc5802c…
09-12 20:54:34	Noche UFC: Tim Elliott vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)	Édgar Cháirez	SELL	14	30¢	$4	0x31150d…
09-12 18:18:22	Will Trump pardon Andrew Tate before 2027?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$9	0x56a30f…
09-12 18:18:18	Wagner vs. James Madison	James Madison	SELL	10	99¢	$9	0x0e7a09…
09-12 14:41:16	Noche UFC: Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales (Flyweight, Main Card)	Joseph Morales	BUY	18	52¢	$10	0xfaa21d…
09-12 14:41:10	Charlotte vs. Ole Miss	Ole Miss	SELL	10	100¢	$9	0xc508d0…
09-12 14:35:01	Charlotte vs. Ole Miss	Ole Miss	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xec4bcc…
09-12 14:34:55	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x4d1c75…
09-12 07:23:25	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0xba1883…
09-12 07:23:19	Trump out as President by September 30?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$9	0x5d2f56…
09-12 07:02:48	Noche UFC: Tim Elliott vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)	Édgar Cháirez	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0x43da67…
09-12 07:02:42	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?	No	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0xdc588b…
09-11 22:07:07	Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2	Mayweather	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x9f9132…
09-11 22:07:01	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	23	44¢	$10	0x15a071…
09-11 20:15:27	Trump out as President by September 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$9	0xb8d4fd…
09-11 20:15:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$9	0xa8ba65…
09-11 20:14:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xd96d91…
09-11 20:14:12	Trump out as President by September 30?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$9	0x3172da…
09-11 20:13:09	Noche UFC: JJ Aldrich vs. Regina Tarin (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)	Regina Tarin	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0x9892be…
09-11 20:13:03	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0xc949d9…
09-11 20:04:49	Noche UFC: Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu (Lightweight, Prelims)	Rongzhu	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xc8e146…
09-11 20:04:43	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	93¢	$10	0xc6d0e3…
09-11 20:03:40	Noche UFC: Muslim Salikhov vs. Ignacio Bahamondes (Welterweight, Prelims)	Ignacio Bahamondes	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0x84dbb5…
09-11 20:03:34	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xca4b80…
09-11 19:54:22	Noche UFC: Drakkar Klose vs. Tommy Gantt (Lightweight, Prelims)	Tommy Gantt	BUY	12	79¢	$10	0xb0af8b…
09-11 19:54:16	Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2	Pacquiao	SELL	19	50¢	$10	0x4f8c0a…