Realized P&L
-$122
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
48.4%
Resolved
343
Trades
1,029
lifetime
Volume
$2.38K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$10
5 positions
First seen
2026-03-08
last 10-22 19:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 82 days
Categories
Sports
35% 36% -$66
Politics
35% 46% +$20
Other
22% 30% -$51
Crypto
6% 52% -$11
Tech
1% 0% -$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? Yes +33 $3 10¢ $3 +$0 10-21 12:15
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +10 $3 25¢ $3 $0 10-22 19:33
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +15 $3 16¢ $2 -$1 09-25 16:27
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +50 $3 4¢ $2 -$1 09-08 17:18
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +0 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 07-04 21:57