Realized P&L
+$2
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
345
lifetime
Volume
$716
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$20
13 positions
First seen
2026-03-08
last 07-05 14:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
41% 100% +$2
Other
26%
Crypto
19%
Sports
11%
Tech
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes -72 $-4 $-4 +$0 07-04 21:57
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -87 $-3 $-3 $-0 07-04 21:57
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes -53 $-3 $-3 $-0 07-04 21:57
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Yes -66 $-4 $-3 +$1 06-06 16:03
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes -49 $-2 $-2 +$0 07-04 21:57
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -64 $-1 $-1 $-0 07-03 18:50
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes -5 $-1 15¢ $-1 +$0 07-04 21:57
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -5 $-1 15¢ $-1 $-0 07-04 21:57
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -6 $-1 12¢ $-1 +$0 07-04 21:57
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -9 $-1 $-1 $-0 07-04 21:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +5 $1 10¢ $0 $-0 06-11 19:04
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -7 $-0 $-0 $-0 07-04 21:57
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 $-0 07-04 21:57