Vast-Breakthrough — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

520

lifetime

Volume

$1.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 08-16 23:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

48% — —

Politics

24% 100% +$2

Other

15% — —

Crypto

11% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	6	$24	92	88	+4	open	—	06-14 23:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	11	$19	86	67	+19	open	—	05-24 14:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	10	$19	43	43	+0	open	—	05-24 14:39
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	3	$18	43	43	+0	open	—	05-26 09:17
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	11	$17	30	25	+5	open	—	05-24 21:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	5	$17	55	55	+0	open	—	05-25 20:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	3	$13	191	191	+0	open	—	05-21 02:23
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	3	$13	104	91	+13	open	—	06-10 17:11
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	1	$12	0	31	-31	open	—	06-14 10:15
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	8	$12	33	33	+0	open	—	05-12 19:42
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	7	$12	56	56	+0	open	—	05-12 19:11
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$11	53	53	+0	open	—	05-24 14:39
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	2	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	04-19 08:22
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	4	$11	18	18	+0	open	—	06-13 20:14
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	2	$11	19	19	+0	open	—	06-14 21:48
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	7	$11	140	140	-0	open	—	05-24 14:39
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	3	$10	79	32	+48	open	—	08-16 18:54
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	3	$10	44	49	-5	open	—	05-24 14:50
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	3	$10	45	45	+0	open	—	05-12 19:00
mlb col lad 2026 07 07	2	$10	27	0	+27	open	—	07-05 14:27
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$9	17	17	+0	open	—	05-24 16:43
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	5	$9	86	86	+0	open	—	05-25 20:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$9	22	17	+5	open	—	05-24 16:29
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	9	$8	28	28	+0	open	—	05-10 21:44
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	2	$8	81	81	+0	open	—	05-24 14:39
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	3	$8	72	72	+0	open	—	05-24 15:43
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	2	$8	27	27	+0	open	—	06-24 13:22
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	2	$8	26	26	+0	open	—	07-04 21:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	4	$8	17	12	+5	open	—	06-11 19:04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	7	$8	10	10	+0	open	—	06-11 19:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-16 23:03:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	70	6¢	$4	0x496164…
08-16 18:54:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x190938…
08-16 18:54:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	29	12¢	$4	0xd3d14d…
08-16 18:54:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	23	15¢	$3	0xfdb939…
08-16 18:54:18	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	8¢	$4	0x1de794…
08-10 17:26:33	mlb kc lad 2026 08 11	Kansas City Royals	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xfc0f1d…
08-10 17:26:31	mlb kc lad 2026 08 10	Kansas City Royals	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xae536a…
08-10 17:26:31	mlb col ari 2026 08 10	Colorado Rockies	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x815c8c…
08-10 17:26:28	mlb tb oak 2026 08 11	Athletics	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xd4ecd7…
08-10 17:26:28	mlb col ari 2026 08 11	Colorado Rockies	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xc9675e…
08-10 17:26:27	mlb phi stl 2026 08 11	St. Louis Cardinals	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x52452d…
08-10 17:26:25	mlb tb oak 2026 08 10	Athletics	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x4fb6d8…
08-10 17:26:24	mlb tex laa 2026 08 11	Los Angeles Angels	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xea9b43…
08-10 17:26:22	mlb sea nyy 2026 08 11	Seattle Mariners	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xb77a4e…
08-10 17:26:22	mlb bos tor 2026 08 10	Toronto Blue Jays	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x4e0c50…
08-10 17:26:21	mlb hou sf 2026 08 10	San Francisco Giants	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x3bead8…
08-10 17:26:19	mlb nym atl 2026 08 10	New York Mets	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xf23fbc…
08-10 17:26:18	mlb chc wsh 2026 08 11	Washington Nationals	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xd32236…
08-10 17:26:16	mlb cle det 2026 08 11	Cleveland Guardians	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x4d0c4c…
08-10 17:26:15	mlb nym atl 2026 08 11	New York Mets	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xbb63d9…
08-10 17:26:15	mlb mil sd 2026 08 11	San Diego Padres	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x371bb4…
08-09 10:05:19	mlb tex laa 2026 08 11	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x716205…
08-09 06:13:31	mlb col ari 2026 08 11	Colorado Rockies	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x43433e…
08-09 06:01:21	mlb mil sd 2026 08 11	San Diego Padres	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x0ca17d…
08-09 04:48:03	mlb kc lad 2026 08 11	Kansas City Royals	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xef37e6…
08-09 04:21:33	mlb tb oak 2026 08 11	Athletics	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xd09e82…
08-09 02:59:45	mlb chc wsh 2026 08 11	Washington Nationals	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc97709…
08-09 02:54:00	mlb cle det 2026 08 11	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x508d8a…
08-09 02:48:19	mlb phi stl 2026 08 11	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x275ef4…
08-09 02:36:33	mlb sea nyy 2026 08 11	Seattle Mariners	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x5860bd…
08-09 01:09:01	mlb nym atl 2026 08 11	New York Mets	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x2fc198…
08-08 10:08:31	mlb kc lad 2026 08 10	Kansas City Royals	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x06faed…
08-08 06:54:24	mlb hou sf 2026 08 10	San Francisco Giants	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xba7d17…
08-08 05:46:18	mlb tb oak 2026 08 10	Athletics	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc0c979…
08-08 04:54:48	mlb col ari 2026 08 10	Colorado Rockies	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xdf7194…
08-08 02:47:46	mlb nym atl 2026 08 10	New York Mets	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xf68baa…
08-08 02:26:27	mlb bos tor 2026 08 10	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x1f5e9c…
08-06 19:48:09	mlb col stl 2026 08 08	Colorado Rockies	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x5b4d7e…
08-06 19:48:08	mlb lad ari 2026 08 08	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xf5ef5e…
08-06 06:07:20	mlb cin wsh 2026 08 08	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x04bcd5…
08-06 05:51:14	mlb tor phi 2026 08 08	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x7ff897…
08-06 05:50:59	mlb oak bos 2026 08 08	Athletics	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x02c19f…
08-06 03:02:57	mlb bal tex 2026 08 08	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x33da21…
08-06 03:02:50	mlb laa mia 2026 08 08	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x74c00e…
08-05 05:40:41	mlb lad ari 2026 08 07	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x31def1…
08-05 05:31:47	mlb oak bos 2026 08 07	Athletics	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x41da66…
08-05 05:23:45	mlb laa mia 2026 08 07	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x7372c9…
08-05 04:46:03	mlb bal tex 2026 08 07	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xa6d18f…
08-05 03:44:57	mlb chc kc 2026 08 07	Kansas City Royals	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xe6fd06…
08-05 01:39:03	mlb nym pit 2026 08 07	New York Mets	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xc75368…
08-05 01:30:32	mlb tor phi 2026 08 07	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xe7ca9f…
08-04 03:53:12	mlb cws bos 2026 08 06	Chicago White Sox	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc34806…
08-04 03:43:33	mlb laa bal 2026 08 06	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x8bfdda…
08-04 02:37:56	mlb oak cin 2026 08 06	Athletics	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x09e758…
08-04 02:37:48	mlb pit mil 2026 08 06	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xdcb326…
08-04 01:44:09	mlb wsh phi 2026 08 06	Washington Nationals	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x4084cb…
08-03 15:10:09	mlb stl nyy 2026 08 05	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xb915fe…
08-03 15:01:20	mlb laa bal 2026 08 05	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x7b78a5…
08-03 14:59:48	mlb wsh phi 2026 08 05	Washington Nationals	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xf012f4…
08-03 14:46:05	mlb oak cin 2026 08 05	Athletics	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x3203b2…
08-03 10:50:38	mlb cws bos 2026 08 05	Chicago White Sox	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x4833ca…
08-03 10:10:23	mlb tb col 2026 08 05	Colorado Rockies	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xc3a29c…
08-03 04:14:15	mlb sf tex 2026 08 05	San Francisco Giants	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x16bd79…
08-02 21:39:45	mlb nym cle 2026 08 04	New York Mets	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x32d33a…
08-02 21:32:09	mlb cws bos 2026 08 04	Chicago White Sox	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x8b3d0a…
08-02 20:51:17	mlb oak cin 2026 08 04	Athletics	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xfed1a5…
08-02 15:55:30	mlb laa bal 2026 08 04	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x156986…
08-02 15:51:48	mlb lad chc 2026 08 04	Chicago Cubs	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xa7b00d…
08-02 05:18:41	mlb sf tex 2026 08 04	San Francisco Giants	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x04c819…
08-02 00:39:02	mlb min kc 2026 08 04	Kansas City Royals	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x655e35…
08-02 00:33:30	mlb stl nyy 2026 08 04	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x5e4156…
08-02 00:25:57	mlb pit mil 2026 08 04	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xfbd7ae…
08-02 00:17:33	mlb wsh phi 2026 08 04	Washington Nationals	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xcd407f…
08-02 00:17:24	mlb mia atl 2026 08 04	Miami Marlins	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x510c58…
08-01 02:35:17	mlb tb col 2026 08 03	Colorado Rockies	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x431474…
08-01 02:00:29	mlb wsh phi 2026 08 03	Washington Nationals	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x1ce1f0…
08-01 01:53:57	mlb pit mil 2026 08 03	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xef2a51…
08-01 01:53:53	mlb stl nyy 2026 08 03	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x291d9e…
07-30 04:09:00	mlb phi bal 2026 08 01	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x04a19e…
07-30 03:21:56	mlb bos lad 2026 08 01	Boston Red Sox	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x4c3783…
07-30 03:10:44	mlb sf sd 2026 08 01	San Francisco Giants	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x24dccf…
07-30 01:43:08	mlb wsh atl 2026 08 01	Washington Nationals	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x530198…
07-30 01:10:38	mlb ari cle 2026 08 01	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xe2632e…
07-29 22:21:05	mlb min sea 2026 08 01	Minnesota Twins	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xeb7271…
07-29 22:20:56	mlb mia nym 2026 08 01	Miami Marlins	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x3fa94c…
07-29 22:19:35	mlb cws tb 2026 08 01	Chicago White Sox	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x87fbdb…
07-29 21:58:38	mlb stl tor 2026 08 01	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xd166fe…
07-28 21:48:52	mlb det oak 2026 07 31	Athletics	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x82484e…
07-28 21:38:56	mlb mil laa 2026 07 31	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x440250…
07-28 21:37:32	mlb phi bal 2026 07 31	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xf59d30…
07-28 21:32:08	mlb sf sd 2026 07 31	San Diego Padres	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc0c9dc…
07-28 21:28:56	mlb mia nym 2026 07 31	New York Mets	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xa22943…
07-28 21:28:52	mlb cws tb 2026 07 31	Chicago White Sox	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xfc8b5b…
07-28 21:27:07	mlb bos lad 2026 07 31	Boston Red Sox	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x309c88…
07-28 10:12:19	mlb kc min 2026 07 30	Kansas City Royals	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc71617…
07-28 02:35:54	mlb mia nym 2026 07 30	Miami Marlins	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x45928c…
07-28 02:31:52	mlb bos oak 2026 07 30	Athletics	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xb449a2…
07-28 01:08:13	mlb wsh atl 2026 07 30	Washington Nationals	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xea1df1…
07-27 23:57:57	mlb sea lad 2026 07 30	Seattle Mariners	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x68c1d5…
07-27 09:17:40	mlb tex tb 2026 07 29	Texas Rangers	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x957e5b…