Realized P&L
-$342
Unrealized P&L
+$94
Hit rate
79.0%
Resolved
129
Trades
188
lifetime
Volume
$59.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$315
Open exposure
$1.96K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-24 09:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 71 days
Categories
Other
44% 80% +$324
Politics
18% 39% -$1,238
Tech
16% 91% +$919
Crypto
12% 90% -$185
Sports
6% 62% +$45
Pop-Culture
4% 83% -$207
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +920 $918 100¢ $919 +$1 10-18 14:08
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +267 $235 91¢ $242 +$7 10-24 09:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? No +209 $199 99¢ $208 +$9 10-05 17:22
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +223 $149 92¢ $204 +$55 10-05 17:23
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +215 $149 88¢ $190 +$41 10-05 17:23
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +189 $149 93¢ $175 +$26 10-05 17:24
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +58 $15 16¢ $9 -$6 09-05 09:18
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +100 $15 4¢ $4 -$11 09-05 09:19
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 Yes +68 $15 4¢ $3 -$12 08-07 07:36
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +61 $20 4¢ $3 -$17 10-05 17:22