(anonymous) 0x5f4080…f26e9e Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$302
Unrealized P&L
-$13
Hit rate
62.7%
Resolved
1,208
Trades
2,851
lifetime
Volume
$12.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$146
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 21:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 136 days
Categories
Other
33% 72% -$245
Politics
29% 72% -$27
Crypto
28% 51% -$41
Sports
9% 66% +$22
Tech
1% 80% -$11
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-30).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? No -22 -$20 98¢ $-21 -$1 05-19 21:38
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -21 -$19 100¢ $-21 -$2 05-19 21:38
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -19 -$17 99¢ $-19 -$1 05-19 21:38
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -15 -$14 98¢ $-15 -$1 05-19 21:38
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -14 -$12 97¢ $-13 -$1 05-19 21:38
Trump out as President before 2027? No -12 -$11 96¢ $-12 -$1 05-19 21:38
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -8 -$7 98¢ $-8 $0 05-19 21:38
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? No -8 -$7 97¢ $-8 $0 05-19 21:38
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -6 -$6 94¢ $-6 $0 05-19 21:38
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -6 -$5 97¢ $-6 $0 05-19 21:38
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? No -5 -$5 98¢ $-5 $0 05-19 21:38
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -5 -$5 97¢ $-5 -$1 05-19 21:38
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +2 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 06-30 02:36
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-29 11:34
Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? No +2 $1 74¢ $1 +$0 06-23 14:35
will a 1 year enrichment moratorium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201635 No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-29 11:34
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? Yes +2 $1 68¢ $1 +$0 06-23 06:51
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $6 6¢ $1 -$5 05-04 14:18