Scary-Semester — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.25K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

5.7%

Resolved

Trades

272

lifetime

Volume

$164.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$603

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 07-14 19:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Politics

35% 75% +$8

Other

34% 45% +$454

Sports

30% 20% -$1,713

Crypto

0% 100% +$1

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	8	$9.2K	4,594	4,594	+0	No	-$5	05-02 09:24
will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	10	$6.4K	3,210	3,210	+0	No	-$4	03-28 15:10
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$5.0K	2,531	2,531	+0	No	-$3	04-13 03:00
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$4.3K	2,164	2,164	+0	No	-$2	05-08 10:04
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	4	$3.6K	1,808	1,808	+0	No	-$2	05-10 07:01
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?	4	$3.3K	1,648	1,648	+0	open	—	05-22 08:17
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	6	$3.2K	1,622	1,622	+0	open	—	07-02 07:24
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$3.0K	1,510	1,510	+0	No	-$2	05-25 05:33
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	2	$3.0K	1,512	1,512	+0	No	-$2	03-25 21:56
will sahith theegala win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$3.0K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	-$1	03-22 09:16
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	2	$3.0K	1,496	1,496	+0	No	-$1	03-21 19:10
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$2.9K	1,462	1,462	+0	No	-$1	06-09 02:33
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2.9K	1,459	1,459	+0	No	-$3	03-25 17:52
will charl schwartzel win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$2.8K	1,414	1,414	+0	No	-$1	03-21 14:00
will mistral have the best ai model for coding on march 31	2	$2.8K	1,411	1,411	+0	No	-$1	03-20 14:33
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$2.7K	1,378	1,378	+0	open	—	06-17 07:26
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?	4	$2.5K	1,255	1,255	+0	open	—	06-24 07:48
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2.4K	1,179	1,179	+0	No	-$1	03-18 18:54
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$2.3K	1,153	1,153	+0	open	—	07-14 19:23
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$2.2K	1,128	1,128	+0	No	-$1	03-16 05:17
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	8	$2.2K	1,600	1,600	+0	No	+$0	03-16 09:11
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$2.2K	1,094	1,094	+0	No	-$1	05-07 09:36
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	2	$2.2K	1,091	1,091	+0	No	-$1	05-08 07:13
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?	2	$2.2K	1,089	1,089	+0	open	—	05-09 01:48
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	2	$2.2K	1,088	1,088	+0	No	-$1	05-09 04:46
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$2.2K	1,084	1,084	+0	open	—	05-09 10:34
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$2.1K	1,078	1,078	+0	open	—	05-09 07:24
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?	4	$2.1K	1,073	1,073	+0	open	—	06-23 08:13
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2.1K	1,055	1,055	+0	No	-$1	04-18 03:05
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$2.1K	1,051	1,051	+0	No	-$1	05-07 06:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 19:23:26	Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	126	100¢	$126	0x946b34…
07-14 16:33:44	Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x389989…
07-10 16:30:26	Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	198	99¢	$197	0xe88c4e…
07-10 10:54:22	Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	198	100¢	$197	0xa839d0…
07-09 08:21:10	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	131	99¢	$130	0xd9558e…
07-09 04:42:19	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	131	99¢	$130	0x484dbf…
07-08 08:24:13	Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	211	100¢	$210	0x204eae…
07-08 06:33:11	Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	211	100¢	$211	0x482380…
07-07 07:30:37	Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	177	100¢	$177	0x06d26e…
07-07 04:07:34	Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	177	100¢	$177	0xc9fac3…
07-03 14:34:44	Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	204	99¢	$202	0x3c981a…
07-03 11:31:34	Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	204	99¢	$202	0x11bbe5…
07-02 07:24:10	Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	177	99¢	$175	0xe01b29…
07-02 05:20:05	Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	177	99¢	$175	0xfca9a6…
06-30 10:45:46	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	296	99¢	$294	0x37a46a…
06-30 07:56:32	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	296	99¢	$294	0x0fd25d…
06-30 06:50:08	Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	401	99¢	$398	0xf6236d…
06-30 02:34:55	Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	401	99¢	$398	0x4f5d80…
06-29 09:42:02	Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	421	99¢	$418	0x3a8a34…
06-29 07:38:55	Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	421	99¢	$418	0x8f708c…
06-29 07:36:13	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	319	99¢	$317	0x3c49de…
06-29 05:35:34	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	319	99¢	$317	0x6b787e…
06-29 05:30:07	Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	300	99¢	$298	0x8937dc…
06-29 01:21:01	Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$298	0xe702c6…
06-24 07:48:08	Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	257	100¢	$256	0xbdd3ee…
06-24 03:35:08	Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	257	100¢	$256	0x1236f8…
06-23 08:13:10	Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	276	100¢	$275	0x156c3f…
06-23 07:07:56	Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	276	100¢	$275	0x54fed9…
06-23 02:52:52	Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	251	100¢	$249	0x3a677d…
06-23 01:24:01	Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	251	100¢	$250	0xe6d5e5…
06-22 07:19:49	Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	420	99¢	$416	0x4f56c8…
06-22 06:14:20	Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	420	99¢	$417	0x587f5a…
06-22 05:57:25	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	469	99¢	$465	0x15921f…
06-22 03:35:29	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	469	99¢	$466	0xa2961c…
06-22 02:13:55	Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	434	99¢	$430	0xf8f213…
06-22 01:25:25	Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	434	99¢	$431	0x79c1e2…
06-20 08:31:16	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	405	99¢	$402	0x0bc865…
06-20 07:16:25	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	405	99¢	$402	0xc3a824…
06-18 05:53:59	Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	505	99¢	$502	0xa3236c…
06-18 01:16:47	Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	505	99¢	$502	0xe2a6dc…
06-17 07:26:41	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	545	99¢	$540	0xb593b8…
06-17 05:11:17	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	545	99¢	$541	0xd2e00e…
06-17 03:29:48	Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	546	99¢	$542	0x8eb742…
06-17 01:19:46	Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	546	99¢	$542	0xd493ba…
06-15 09:53:18	Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	637	100¢	$634	0xe3cc45…
06-15 07:09:51	Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	637	100¢	$635	0x6838d8…
06-15 06:56:21	Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	641	100¢	$639	0x8be416…
06-15 04:03:33	Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	641	100¢	$640	0x8041b7…
06-15 03:58:22	Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	660	99¢	$655	0xa90dc9…
06-15 01:24:58	Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	660	99¢	$655	0x2a5cf8…
06-13 18:50:43	Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	603	99¢	$599	0xfd898e…
06-13 09:15:15	Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	603	99¢	$599	0x078798…
06-13 02:02:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	310	100¢	$309	0x706c4a…
06-12 17:38:46	Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	797	99¢	$793	0x67ea4e…
06-12 09:08:22	Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	797	100¢	$793	0x24c3dd…
06-10 03:42:58	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	920	99¢	$912	0x8d261d…
06-10 02:50:34	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	920	99¢	$913	0x7bcef2…
06-09 05:06:21	Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	631	100¢	$629	0x304d56…
06-09 03:54:18	Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	631	100¢	$630	0xc95d7f…
06-09 02:33:25	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	497	100¢	$495	0x7ff41e…
06-09 01:17:18	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	497	100¢	$496	0x732710…
06-08 09:21:49	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	719	100¢	$716	0x9be754…
06-08 08:06:45	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	719	100¢	$717	0x66ce8e…
06-08 08:05:00	Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	712	100¢	$708	0x1eaaaf…
06-08 06:26:22	Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	712	100¢	$709	0xdcd80a…
06-08 03:07:19	Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	902	100¢	$900	0x4aca59…
06-08 01:28:30	Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	902	100¢	$901	0x0aab05…
06-07 10:40:13	Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	998	99¢	$992	0xe4d558…
06-07 07:03:36	Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	998	100¢	$993	0x67c026…
06-06 08:54:01	Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	780	99¢	$774	0x955478…
06-06 06:41:55	Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	780	99¢	$775	0xd29049…
06-04 05:56:55	mlb cle nyy 2026 06 04 spread home 1pt5	New York Yankees	BUY	105	43¢	$45	0x34e9ed…
06-03 09:41:20	Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	842	99¢	$836	0x212e38…
06-03 06:49:08	Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	842	99¢	$837	0x596a96…
06-02 14:12:03	Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	934	99¢	$927	0x303990…
06-02 08:52:54	Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	934	99¢	$928	0xcb76f6…
06-02 08:52:02	Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	954	99¢	$947	0x893b30…
06-02 05:31:16	Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	954	99¢	$948	0xb263ca…
06-02 04:06:10	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	966	100¢	$963	0xdff3e1…
06-02 03:50:39	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	117	46¢	$54	0x74eb12…
06-02 02:03:50	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	966	100¢	$964	0x9124d7…
06-01 07:28:25	Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	820	100¢	$817	0x4ecf7c…
06-01 05:40:34	Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	820	100¢	$818	0x148bdb…
06-01 02:54:43	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	833	99¢	$827	0xa5eeb4…
06-01 01:56:35	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	833	99¢	$827	0xca7cde…
05-31 03:26:31	Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	704	99¢	$699	0xb9748b…
05-31 02:08:42	Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	704	99¢	$699	0x3dedd7…
05-28 02:57:53	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	632	99¢	$628	0x7decd6…
05-28 01:38:33	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	632	99¢	$628	0x70f8ba…
05-27 07:54:56	Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	726	99¢	$721	0x7dee68…
05-27 07:32:09	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x81f170…
05-27 05:39:24	Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	726	99¢	$721	0x736c6e…
05-27 02:07:42	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	654	99¢	$650	0x79c33f…
05-27 01:15:02	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	654	99¢	$650	0x8fe9b7…
05-26 10:12:33	Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	746	99¢	$740	0x82352b…
05-26 08:42:22	Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	746	99¢	$741	0x0398e4…
05-25 07:58:09	Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	727	100¢	$724	0x49737a…
05-25 06:12:43	Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	727	100¢	$725	0x0d68ac…
05-25 05:33:00	Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	552	100¢	$551	0x0f75b6…
05-25 03:29:20	Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	552	100¢	$551	0xb68043…