Realized P&L
+$1.80K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.43K
Hit rate
99.1%
Resolved
5
Trades
4,289
lifetime
Volume
$1.37M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$320
Open exposure
$53.5K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-24
last 07-21 15:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
49% 75% +$1,796
Other
39% 100% +$2
Tech
11%
Sports
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 235 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +31,000 $30,115 99¢ $30.6K +$482 07-21 22:18
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +17,442 $15,000 92¢ $16.0K +$959 07-01 08:27
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -2,000 $-1,950 97¢ $-1935 +$15 07-02 20:27
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +1,790 $1,695 98¢ $1.7K +$54 06-26 11:23
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +1,023 $902 92¢ $941 +$39 07-21 15:21
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -1,000 $-883 90¢ $-895 $-12 07-01 08:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1,000 $820 54¢ $535 $-285 06-28 21:17
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No -500 $-455 91¢ $-455 $-0 07-08 18:48
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -234 $-222 94¢ $-221 +$0 06-27 07:09
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -232 $-204 88¢ $-203 +$1 07-17 16:04
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? Yes +20 $19 97¢ $19 +$0 07-04 21:39
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -5 $-184 72¢ $-4 +$180 07-10 04:34