Dreary-Arena 0x606ffc…571083
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$20.2K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.27K
Hit rate
79.5%
Resolved
314
Trades
6,117
lifetime
Volume
$2.29M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$374
Open exposure
$132.6K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-24
last 10-27 10:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 143 days
Categories
Politics
47% 61% +$2,511
Other
44% 83% +$12,172
Tech
8% 93% +$4,520
Crypto
1% 80% +$321
Sports
0% 100% +$716
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -48,000 -$39,908 96¢ $-46152 -$6,244 06-27 07:09
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +25,000 $22,565 92¢ $23.1K +$560 10-24 01:29
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583 No +18,000 $17,626 100¢ $18.0K +$338 10-27 07:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +13,000 $12,763 99¢ $12.9K +$139 10-26 17:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +5,200 $4,838 94¢ $4.9K +$76 10-27 10:46
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5,008 $4,948 98¢ $4.9K -$53 10-26 12:41
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +5,000 $4,147 86¢ $4.3K +$148 09-23 23:48
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +4,028 $3,464 99¢ $4.0K +$518 10-07 13:38
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +3,682 $3,240 96¢ $3.5K +$295 10-17 17:19
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +3,000 $2,047 84¢ $2.5K +$457 10-01 10:12
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +2,062 $1,376 96¢ $2.0K +$603 10-19 18:21
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,290 82¢ $1.6K +$341 09-23 23:34
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +2,000 $1,140 56¢ $1.1K -$10 10-18 10:29
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +1,500 $567 60¢ $895 +$328 09-25 06:56
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +2,000 $1,360 35¢ $700 -$660 08-31 18:22
will donald trump attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221262 No +769 $724 91¢ $699 -$25 09-23 15:39
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +500 $355 98¢ $490 +$135 09-30 11:34
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +426 $253 96¢ $410 +$157 08-17 13:13
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +756 $537 52¢ $397 -$140 09-17 17:12
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +0 -$75 94¢ $0 +$75 07-08 18:48
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +0 -$500 96¢ $0 +$500 07-28 06:16
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$1,046 98¢ $0 +$1,047 07-28 18:14
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +0 -$107 66¢ $0 +$107 10-21 07:02
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +0 -$42 97¢ $0 +$42 09-27 09:07