Dreary-Arena — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.80K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.1%

Resolved

Trades

4,779

lifetime

Volume

$1.56M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$327

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 08-11 11:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

50% 75% +$1,796

Other

40% 100% +$2

Tech

10% — —

Sports

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 235 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	224	$87.6K	67,145	66,944	+201	open	—	06-17 18:16
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	37	$73.7K	41,769	41,769	+0	open	—	05-01 21:09
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	271	$64.9K	61,703	33,384	+28,319	open	—	07-01 19:42
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	19	$51.7K	33,500	18,359	+15,141	open	—	06-22 00:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	78	$40.4K	36,000	9,500	+26,500	open	—	07-25 11:47
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	13	$35.8K	19,000	17,500	+1,500	open	—	05-16 22:41
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	91	$35.0K	14,562	22,794	-8,232	open	—	06-29 09:23
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	22	$31.1K	29,121	2,321	+26,800	open	—	05-02 10:59
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	39	$31.0K	17,442	17,442	+0	open	—	07-28 18:14
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	5	$31.0K	32,079	2,000	+30,079	open	—	07-16 22:43
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	74	$26.3K	14,701	14,701	+0	open	—	07-01 17:00
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	6	$24.4K	24,978	0	+24,978	open	—	08-06 12:45
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	58	$22.3K	20,163	3,163	+17,000	open	—	08-02 20:13
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	69	$20.2K	13,635	13,253	+382	open	—	05-23 11:15
will russia strike on kyiv municipality on january 28 567	19	$19.6K	12,258	8,030	+4,228	open	—	01-31 07:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	75	$19.5K	9,794	14,943	-5,149	open	—	06-17 18:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	46	$18.8K	19,920	1,625	+18,295	open	—	05-30 05:29
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	54	$18.3K	8,831	14,742	-5,911	open	—	05-25 22:15
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	11	$16.7K	9,000	9,000	+0	open	—	05-01 20:54
will russia strike kyiv on february 5 2026	33	$16.1K	16,742	154	+16,588	open	—	02-07 23:03
will russia strike kyiv on february 1 2026	20	$15.0K	11,402	4,059	+7,343	open	—	02-03 19:13
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	5	$14.9K	15,000	0	+15,000	open	—	06-15 04:24
will russia strike kyiv on february 2 2026	24	$14.8K	15,031	576	+14,454	open	—	02-04 00:05
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	68	$14.7K	12,411	8,623	+3,788	open	—	05-29 23:10
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	12	$14.3K	7,288	7,288	+0	open	—	07-01 03:50
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$14.2K	7,330	7,330	+0	open	—	02-18 08:47
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	18	$13.8K	13,996	0	+13,996	open	—	05-02 13:41
will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	20	$13.3K	15,390	379	+15,011	open	—	06-30 18:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	47	$13.3K	12,896	15,692	-2,796	open	—	05-31 18:39
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	87	$13.3K	7,718	8,249	-531	open	—	05-25 23:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 11:31:34	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	18	78¢	$14	0x43da17…
08-11 11:23:31	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	572	78¢	$446	0x5c9f30…
08-11 09:18:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	1,000	94¢	$940	0x9bacc8…
08-11 09:08:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	500	94¢	$470	0xea6a31…
08-11 08:10:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x33c955…
08-11 08:09:34	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xf68340…
08-11 08:08:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	9	94¢	$9	0x976993…
08-11 08:08:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf66d62…
08-11 08:08:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0xa25a77…
08-11 08:08:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x6b4125…
08-11 08:01:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	800	94¢	$752	0xc6e968…
08-11 07:35:22	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	26	94¢	$25	0x9a6d00…
08-11 07:32:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x4c8b3c…
08-11 07:31:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x8332b3…
08-11 07:27:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0xb3e165…
08-11 07:26:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x4c4ad0…
08-11 06:48:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x2fbd37…
08-11 06:48:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0xb66a0d…
08-11 06:41:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x62ab4a…
08-11 06:37:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xb629d4…
08-11 06:34:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x05be55…
08-11 06:32:04	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xec179c…
08-11 06:07:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0xc4d083…
08-10 23:14:39	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	782	81¢	$634	0x21c374…
08-10 21:09:49	Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	98¢	$83	0xfd960d…
08-10 18:46:06	Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x8b4e65…
08-10 18:37:43	Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xe61bff…
08-10 18:16:07	Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xc6dab0…
08-10 15:42:28	Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x04eaa4…
08-10 14:38:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1,000	8¢	$80	0xde72e1…
08-10 13:03:52	Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	97¢	$84	0x118076…
08-10 12:05:34	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	No	SELL	1,735	95¢	$1,648	0xeef949…
08-10 12:03:39	Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xb88ede…
08-10 11:12:19	Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	97¢	$57	0xb45bba…
08-10 11:00:39	Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	379	97¢	$369	0xa26f4f…
08-10 09:20:52	Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	421	97¢	$409	0x02ad32…
08-10 09:20:49	Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x778dff…
08-10 06:29:33	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	No	SELL	821	95¢	$780	0xab0d16…
08-09 22:17:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	1,518	86¢	$1,305	0xaf14fa…
08-09 21:55:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	SELL	295	99¢	$292	0x8a0424…
08-09 21:55:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x2a2195…
08-09 21:34:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	SELL	262	99¢	$259	0xb23cf5…
08-09 03:40:10	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,040	77¢	$801	0x8ec9bb…
08-09 00:55:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	1,000	16¢	$160	0xe2de61…
08-08 21:51:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	No	SELL	2,684	99¢	$2,657	0xe13dc7…
08-08 20:25:54	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	640	77¢	$493	0x9bd0bb…
08-08 19:48:33	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x48a531…
08-08 19:43:40	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0xc08d56…
08-08 17:59:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xc57d9f…
08-08 17:59:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x3c71c0…
08-08 17:59:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xdde868…
08-08 17:58:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xb3d9e1…
08-08 17:54:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	223	84¢	$187	0xf5ffd6…
08-08 17:54:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	309	84¢	$260	0xa8a5e8…
08-08 17:54:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xacb30d…
08-08 17:52:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x2b059d…
08-08 16:48:13	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0xe1e4b9…
08-08 16:22:22	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	260	77¢	$200	0x19f6b9…
08-08 14:46:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1,000	91¢	$910	0x6327e1…
08-08 14:42:16	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0x1f8b4c…
08-08 14:42:15	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	37	77¢	$28	0x641e0d…
08-08 03:38:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	No	BUY	1,907	88¢	$1,678	0x277f42…
08-08 01:50:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xa1646f…
08-08 01:45:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x9caca9…
08-08 01:41:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1,000	87¢	$870	0x95db63…
08-08 01:26:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x93555b…
08-08 01:23:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	No	BUY	649	90¢	$584	0x943803…
08-08 00:15:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	1,000	79¢	$790	0x2b4240…
08-07 23:58:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	No	BUY	33	88¢	$29	0x38aff2…
08-07 23:54:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	No	BUY	59	88¢	$52	0x9527a7…
08-07 13:38:06	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	782	76¢	$595	0xbe54e7…
08-07 02:39:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0xe15657…
08-07 02:36:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	14	88¢	$13	0x23b0bc…
08-07 02:36:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	52	88¢	$45	0x012394…
08-07 02:36:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x362a1e…
08-07 02:36:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	108	88¢	$95	0x326a3b…
08-07 02:36:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	18	88¢	$16	0x5bc71b…
08-07 02:36:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	3	88¢	$2	0x589b20…
08-07 02:36:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	212	88¢	$187	0xbc1e67…
08-07 02:36:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0xb8763c…
08-07 02:36:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	16	88¢	$14	0x104842…
08-07 02:36:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	22	88¢	$19	0xcd7c80…
08-07 02:36:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	4	88¢	$4	0xb484b2…
08-07 02:36:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0xf49590…
08-07 02:36:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0xdca43f…
08-07 02:36:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	1	88¢	$0	0xb07743…
08-07 02:36:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0xa20ae9…
08-07 02:36:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x9b2ce3…
08-07 02:36:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x8b37f8…
08-07 02:36:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x259b82…
08-07 02:36:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	36	88¢	$32	0x228d31…
08-07 02:36:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x21684c…
08-07 02:35:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	27	88¢	$24	0x7d0f15…
08-07 02:34:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x4e50fe…
08-07 02:34:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x130998…
08-07 02:34:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xd2289b…
08-07 02:34:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x66bc0c…
08-07 02:34:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xf138f0…
08-07 02:33:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	23	88¢	$20	0xd6aab5…
08-07 02:33:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xfbfd59…