Realized P&L
+$1.80K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.29K
Hit rate
99.1%
Resolved
5
Trades
3,810
lifetime
Volume
$1.16M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$305
Open exposure
$28.6K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-24
last 06-30 18:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
54% 75% +$1,796
Other
41% 100% +$2
Tech
5%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 235 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +10,761 $9,457 100¢ $10.7K +$1,278 06-30 17:41
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +4,501 $4,464 100¢ $4.5K +$32 06-18 03:37
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No +4,315 $4,310 100¢ $4.3K $-0 06-30 17:38
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? No +2,349 $2,347 100¢ $2.3K +$0 06-30 17:56
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +1,823 $1,654 100¢ $1.8K +$165 06-12 01:05
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +1,790 $1,695 96¢ $1.7K +$23 06-26 11:23
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +1,495 $1,076 84¢ $1.2K +$172 06-01 15:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1,000 $820 82¢ $825 +$5 06-28 21:17
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +800 $624 88¢ $700 +$76 05-27 21:52
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -234 $-222 92¢ $-214 +$7 06-27 07:09
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No -189 $-292 100¢ $-188 +$104 06-11 19:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +5,461 $651 $25 $-626 06-23 13:17
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +4,484 $203 $11 $-192 06-30 13:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +0 $-245 66¢ $0 +$245 06-29 00:57