Realized P&L
+$49
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
179
lifetime
Volume
$1.23K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$31
10 positions
First seen
2026-02-23
last 06-15 05:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
39% 100% +$49
Crypto
36%
Other
22%
Tech
2%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +12 $10 88¢ $10 +$0 06-01 05:55
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -35 $-10 26¢ $-9 +$1 06-15 05:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $5 99¢ $7 +$2 06-01 05:55
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Yes -23 $-1 $-2 $-0 06-15 05:46
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? Yes -10 $-1 $-1 $-0 06-15 05:46
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? Yes +111 $1 $1 $-0 06-15 05:49
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -5 $-1 14¢ $-1 $-0 06-15 05:46
Netanyahu out by June 30? Yes -20 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-15 05:46
Iran leadership change by June 30? Yes -12 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-15 05:46
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes -8 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-15 05:45