Humiliating-Productivity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26

Unrealized P&L

+$18

Hit rate

76.4%

Resolved

300

Trades

501

lifetime

Volume

$1.59K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$47

5 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 05-06 03:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Other

89% 82% -$23

Politics

6% 79% +$0

Sports

3% 33% -$1

Crypto

2% 60% -$2

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-06).

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	+21	$9	91¢	$19	+$10	04-30 14:25
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	No	+12	$6	88¢	$10	+$4	04-30 15:47
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	No	+7	$5	95¢	$7	+$2	04-30 15:28
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	No	+6	$5	94¢	$6	+$1	05-04 12:38
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?	No	+6	$4	84¢	$5	+$1	04-30 14:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 280 299	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	03-27 15:41
highest temperature in chicago on march 27 2026 48 49f	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	03-27 20:44
highest temperature in nyc on march 28 2026 38 39f	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	03-28 04:53
highest temperature in seoul on march 28 2026 17c	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	03-28 04:53
highest temperature in dallas on march 27 2026 76 77f	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	03-27 17:52
highest temperature in toronto on march 28 2026 neg 1corbelow	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	03-28 16:01
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?	4	$14	18	18	+0	No	-$5	05-05 21:10
highest temperature in dallas on march 27 2026 84 85f	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	03-27 11:04
highest temperature in toronto on march 26 2026 16c	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	03-26 23:44
highest temperature in wellington on march 28 2026 17c	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	03-27 13:13
highest temperature in chicago on march 28 2026 43forbelow	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	03-28 15:52
highest temperature in beijing on march 28 2026 22c	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	03-28 07:52
will mrbeasts next video get between 77 and 78 million views on day 6	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	03-27 14:51
highest temperature in chicago on march 27 2026 36 37f	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	03-27 16:52
highest temperature in shanghai on march 28 2026 17c	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	03-28 01:31
highest temperature in chicago on march 27 2026 44 45f	2	$14	7	7	+0	Yes	+$0	03-28 00:03
highest temperature in madrid on march 27 2026 22corhigher	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	03-27 15:22
highest temperature in paris on march 27 2026 14c	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	03-27 15:08
highest temperature in chicago on march 27 2026 33forbelow	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	03-27 11:04
highest temperature in tokyo on march 28 2026 20c	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	03-28 08:19
highest temperature in ankara on march 26 2026 13c	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	03-26 20:30
highest temperature in london on march 28 2026 9c	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	03-28 11:52
highest temperature in dallas on march 27 2026 80 81f	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	$0	03-27 14:51
highest temperature in atlanta on march 28 2026 74forhigher	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	03-28 22:48
spx up or down on march 27 2026	2	$14	7	7	+0	Down	+$0	03-27 19:01
highest temperature in chicago on march 27 2026 38 39f	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	03-27 17:52
will msft close between 360 and 370 week march 27 2026	3	$14	7	7	+0	No	$0	03-27 19:58
highest temperature in madrid on march 27 2026 17c	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	03-27 14:51
highest temperature in munich on march 27 2026 7c	2	$14	7	7	+0	Yes	+$0	03-27 17:26
highest temperature in beijing on march 28 2026 23c	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	03-28 07:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 03:38:16	Will Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x6c906f…
05-05 21:10:08	Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	SELL	9	17¢	$2	0xb8ffc4…
05-05 04:52:58	Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x16f66e…
05-04 17:01:54	Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	SELL	9	33¢	$3	0x186337…
05-04 12:38:56	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x9122c8…
05-02 17:31:32	Will Sam Raskin win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xf13498…
05-01 14:36:32	Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x7dc962…
05-01 14:10:48	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xcbbc2d…
05-01 10:50:54	Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xcd376f…
05-01 10:40:48	Will Pump.fun reach $0.0050 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x9fcd78…
05-01 10:18:18	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xc271ca…
05-01 10:18:12	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x5f89ef…
04-30 18:56:54	Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x0129dc…
04-30 16:39:00	Will Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xc9255d…
04-30 16:35:30	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xf1304f…
04-30 15:47:18	Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	BUY	7	63¢	$5	0x828a62…
04-30 15:47:04	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xc943b4…
04-30 15:47:00	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	No	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0x6e13f9…
04-30 15:28:52	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xb51c51…
04-30 15:23:28	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0x52cb67…
04-30 15:21:02	Will Hyperliquid reach $70 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xc6d66e…
04-30 14:55:06	Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x7d112d…
04-30 14:27:18	Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x3d6eaa…
04-30 14:25:34	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	21	45¢	$9	0x4f5c16…
04-01 16:32:53	russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 27 387	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xc4cfd1…
04-01 16:32:45	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x71bede…
04-01 16:31:37	Will CD win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xd2d662…
04-01 16:31:25	will iran strike syria in march	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x189a03…
04-01 16:31:19	will iran strike yemen in march	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xdfdbe0…
03-29 10:47:22	highest temperature in miami on march 29 2026 84 85f	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x81ef7f…
03-29 10:47:12	highest temperature in chicago on march 29 2026 56 57f	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xa3d5b0…
03-29 10:46:36	highest temperature in atlanta on march 29 2026 70 71f	No	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0xf13ea6…
03-29 10:13:36	will iran strike syria in march	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x89a381…
03-29 10:13:06	highest temperature in ankara on march 29 2026 12c	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb00da7…
03-29 09:35:48	will iran strike yemen in march	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x0b6fd2…
03-29 09:17:20	highest temperature in atlanta on march 29 2026 60 61f	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x0dff0a…
03-29 09:15:44	highest temperature in london on march 29 2026 9c	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2dbcd9…
03-29 09:14:32	highest temperature in tel aviv on march 29 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc7873d…
03-29 09:10:54	highest temperature in seattle on march 29 2026 56forhigher	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x265304…
03-29 08:50:20	highest temperature in madrid on march 29 2026 11corbelow	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xf45efd…
03-29 08:43:00	fif arm bel1 2026 03 29 spread away 2pt5	Armenia	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xd5f205…
03-29 08:34:12	highest temperature in taipei on march 29 2026 23c	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x75de14…
03-29 08:33:40	highest temperature in singapore on march 29 2026 33c	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x553853…
03-29 08:02:24	highest temperature in atlanta on march 29 2026 70 71f	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xec26fb…
03-29 07:59:16	highest temperature in london on march 29 2026 6corbelow	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x5ee1a9…
03-29 07:49:50	highest temperature in paris on march 29 2026 6corbelow	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x5251db…
03-29 07:48:16	highest temperature in tokyo on march 29 2026 21c	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3e2422…
03-29 07:44:58	highest temperature in taipei on march 29 2026 23c	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x4c4ce9…
03-29 07:44:46	highest temperature in singapore on march 29 2026 33c	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x580efd…
03-29 07:41:06	highest temperature in beijing on march 29 2026 24c	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x191703…
03-29 07:29:54	highest temperature in beijing on march 29 2026 25corhigher	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x1af190…
03-29 07:26:48	highest temperature in beijing on march 29 2026 24c	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf11172…
03-29 07:13:58	highest temperature in tokyo on march 29 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xad40af…
03-29 06:51:06	j2100 mon tsc 2026 03 29 mon	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x88474d…
03-29 06:47:16	highest temperature in ankara on march 29 2026 12c	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xeee059…
03-29 06:45:32	highest temperature in beijing on march 29 2026 25corhigher	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x04b9b9…
03-29 06:29:48	highest temperature in munich on march 29 2026 2corbelow	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8df385…
03-29 06:08:18	highest temperature in hong kong on march 29 2026 28c	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x577a06…
03-29 05:54:44	highest temperature in wellington on march 29 2026 20c	No	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x76058a…
03-29 05:35:12	highest temperature in hong kong on march 29 2026 28c	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xb31d47…
03-29 05:09:34	highest temperature in tokyo on march 29 2026 22corhigher	No	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x8ef548…
03-29 03:46:54	highest temperature in chicago on march 29 2026 53forbelow	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb4338f…
03-29 03:40:08	will hoppers 4th weekend box office be between 10m and 11m	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x6f4701…
03-29 03:34:32	highest temperature in tokyo on march 29 2026 18c	No	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x69b343…
03-29 03:25:52	highest temperature in munich on march 29 2026 2corbelow	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x36afe0…
03-29 03:00:00	highest temperature in seattle on march 29 2026 56forhigher	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xf648ac…
03-29 02:59:46	highest temperature in shanghai on march 29 2026 18c	No	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0x66cdca…
03-29 02:40:36	highest temperature in tokyo on march 29 2026 22corhigher	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xde956b…
03-29 02:19:08	highest temperature in wellington on march 29 2026 20c	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x11d789…
03-29 01:43:18	highest temperature in chicago on march 29 2026 53forbelow	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xaa2ce7…
03-29 01:27:04	highest temperature in dallas on march 28 2026 60 61f	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x158566…
03-29 01:11:32	highest temperature in seoul on march 29 2026 11c	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9f7aef…
03-29 00:59:36	highest temperature in chicago on march 29 2026 72forhigher	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7a2dc5…
03-29 00:59:06	highest temperature in seoul on march 29 2026 10c	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1a514b…
03-29 00:04:54	will trump post nasty on truth social this week	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb35110…
03-29 00:02:14	j2100 mon tsc 2026 03 29 tsc	No	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0x09e994…
03-28 23:55:40	highest temperature in london on march 29 2026 6corbelow	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc9540e…
03-28 23:55:32	will trump say chuck norris this week march 29	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x6bf293…
03-28 23:49:00	highest temperature in chicago on march 28 2026 54 55f	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf3a587…
03-28 23:46:08	will the bank of israel decrease the bank of israel interest rate after the march decision	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x9558cb…
03-28 23:34:38	nba det min 2026 03 28 spread home 1pt5	Pistons	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x1d4bd6…
03-28 23:31:10	nba det min 2026 03 28 spread home 1pt5	Pistons	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xb2d8b6…
03-28 23:05:00	highest temperature in seattle on march 28 2026 58 59f	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x2f139b…
03-28 23:03:22	highest temperature in atlanta on march 28 2026 72 73f	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xdd53d2…
03-28 22:55:32	highest temperature in seattle on march 28 2026 58 59f	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x81a6a7…
03-28 22:48:50	highest temperature in atlanta on march 28 2026 74forhigher	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x8b5433…
03-28 22:42:52	highest temperature in paris on march 29 2026 6corbelow	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x6a6ccb…
03-28 22:42:10	highest temperature in chicago on march 28 2026 50 51f	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x63a513…
03-28 22:21:26	highest temperature in tokyo on march 29 2026 18c	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xffef84…
03-28 22:20:50	highest temperature in toronto on march 28 2026 3c	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd8b6ea…
03-28 22:06:36	highest temperature in toronto on march 28 2026 3c	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf0f697…
03-28 21:59:54	highest temperature in chicago on march 28 2026 50 51f	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x7a765f…
03-28 21:57:42	highest temperature in chicago on march 28 2026 52 53f	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xd28508…
03-28 21:54:50	highest temperature in london on march 29 2026 13c	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x4ca398…
03-28 21:28:56	will rob ashton win the canadian ndp leadership election	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6d597a…
03-28 21:22:30	highest temperature in ankara on march 29 2026 8c	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa7e277…
03-28 21:18:20	highest temperature in dallas on march 28 2026 62 63f	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xa05c85…
03-28 21:12:14	highest temperature in chicago on march 28 2026 52 53f	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x977a98…
03-28 21:12:04	highest temperature in dallas on march 28 2026 60 61f	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe33aa9…
03-28 21:12:04	highest temperature in dallas on march 28 2026 64 65f	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x11f265…