Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
91.2%
Resolved
120
Trades
152
lifetime
Volume
$13.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$89
Open exposure
$503
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-24 09:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 70 days
Categories
Other
52% 77% +$132
Tech
19% 95% +$255
Crypto
15% 91% -$51
Sports
8% 62% -$29
Politics
7% 44% -$312
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +167 $167 100¢ $167 +$0 10-18 14:20
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +114 $90 93¢ $106 +$16 10-24 09:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? No +57 $54 99¢ $56 +$2 10-05 19:31
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +61 $41 88¢ $54 +$13 10-05 19:32
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +59 $41 90¢ $53 +$12 10-05 19:32
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +52 $41 94¢ $49 +$8 10-05 19:33
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +58 $15 15¢ $8 -$7 09-05 11:33
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +100 $15 4¢ $4 -$11 09-05 11:34
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 Yes +68 $15 4¢ $3 -$12 08-07 08:38
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +48 $20 5¢ $2 -$18 10-05 19:27