(anonymous) 0x69cd07…88d48d Create alert
4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$260
Unrealized P&L
+$2.09K
Hit rate
68.1%
Resolved
20
Trades
1,160
lifetime
Volume
$84.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$73
Open exposure
$45.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-10
last 11-04 22:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
46% 80% +$9
Other
37% 57% -$209
Tech
12% 0% $0
Sports
3% 100% +$1
Crypto
2% 0% -$61
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +3,579 $3,411 98¢ $3.5K +$95 10-27 23:05
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +3,176 $2,749 94¢ $3.0K +$221 10-30 00:17
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +2,967 $2,758 96¢ $2.9K +$98 10-14 12:37
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +2,989 $2,775 94¢ $2.8K +$50 10-19 10:58
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +2,771 $2,207 92¢ $2.6K +$356 09-25 11:03
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +2,578 $2,402 96¢ $2.5K +$86 11-04 02:35
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,518 $2,105 97¢ $2.4K +$341 10-22 22:24
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +2,241 $2,016 96¢ $2.2K +$147 10-27 06:20
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? No +2,740 $2,099 76¢ $2.1K -$17 10-15 18:03
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +2,088 $1,848 92¢ $1.9K +$79 10-09 00:18
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +1,632 $1,497 96¢ $1.6K +$61 10-27 17:12
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +1,997 $1,500 76¢ $1.5K +$28 10-25 18:48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? No +1,903 $1,499 78¢ $1.5K -$5 10-21 00:00
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1,437 $1,371 98¢ $1.4K +$39 10-26 14:29
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +1,454 $1,256 84¢ $1.2K -$28 10-15 20:49
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +1,221 $1,034 100¢ $1.2K +$183 08-21 12:15
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +1,365 $1,215 88¢ $1.2K -$7 10-31 15:42
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +1,339 $1,040 88¢ $1.2K +$132 10-10 17:58
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +1,209 $1,028 95¢ $1.1K +$121 08-21 02:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +1,065 $906 88¢ $932 +$27 10-19 20:38
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +913 $858 86¢ $790 -$68 10-29 17:48
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +902 $752 86¢ $773 +$21 11-04 07:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +853 $776 90¢ $772 -$4 10-19 14:11
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +812 $755 94¢ $761 +$5 10-20 22:42
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +814 $680 92¢ $749 +$69 11-01 00:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +783 $657 88¢ $693 +$35 09-12 16:17
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +920 $718 74¢ $686 -$32 09-01 18:02
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +756 $628 90¢ $684 +$57 09-09 01:31
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? No +738 $698 92¢ $682 -$15 10-19 12:10
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +643 $600 96¢ $618 +$18 10-27 21:56