Realized P&L
-$348
Unrealized P&L
+$15
Hit rate
64.1%
Resolved
509
Trades
1,635
lifetime
Volume
$8.51K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$107
25 positions
First seen
2026-03-14
last 10-27 14:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 79 days
Categories
Other
56% 52% -$383
Crypto
25% 49% +$34
Politics
12% 37% +$13
Sports
6% 43% -$1
Tech
1% 38% -$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +17 $9 52¢ $9 -$1 10-27 08:10
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +18 $9 48¢ $9 -$1 09-16 03:10
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +11 $3 63¢ $7 +$4 10-20 13:56
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? No +9 $7 74¢ $7 $0 09-01 16:40
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +8 $3 76¢ $6 +$3 09-25 06:55
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +7 $5 88¢ $6 +$1 10-03 12:18
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +15 $7 38¢ $6 -$1 10-26 19:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +6 $5 88¢ $6 +$0 10-07 22:23
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? No +6 $5 87¢ $5 +$0 09-10 22:00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +5 $4 99¢ $5 +$1 09-01 20:23
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +5 $4 98¢ $5 +$0 09-01 13:00
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +6 $4 73¢ $5 +$1 10-13 12:05
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$1 08-28 09:18
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $4 80¢ $4 $0 09-16 03:09
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +5 $3 74¢ $4 +$1 09-06 21:12
us x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 20260918 No +5 $4 72¢ $4 $0 09-20 00:16
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +5 $3 68¢ $4 +$0 10-08 17:55
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $3 70¢ $4 +$1 09-26 20:30
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +5 $3 64¢ $3 +$0 10-15 12:21
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +5 $3 44¢ $2 $0 09-01 20:29
us announces end of iranian blockade by march 31 2027 No +5 $1 40¢ $2 +$1 09-29 14:51
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $2 28¢ $1 $0 09-26 20:27
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +0 $0 40¢ $0 $0 09-13 05:32
israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 Yes +0 -$1 94¢ $0 +$1 10-15 07:44
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? No +0 -$4 80¢ $0 +$4 09-14 23:00