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bot 13W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$10
Unrealized P&L
+$14
Hit rate
72.0%
Resolved (7d)
33
Trades (7d)
57
1,704 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$183
$8.74K lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$139
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-14
last 11-05 20:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 85 days
Categories
Other
56% 53% -$374
Crypto
24% 49% +$34
Politics
12% 39% +$15
Sports
6% 43% -$1
Tech
1% 38% -$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +22 $12 60¢ $13 +$1 11-03 01:10
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +18 $9 58¢ $10 +$1 09-16 03:10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +10 $8 88¢ $8 +$0 10-29 14:50
Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes — +13 $8 60¢ $8 $0 09-16 03:11
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? No +9 $7 76¢ $7 +$0 09-01 16:40
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027? No +9 $7 76¢ $7 -$1 10-22 23:26
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +15 $7 44¢ $7 -$1 10-26 19:49
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027? No +8 $6 82¢ $7 +$1 10-16 01:05
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +7 $5 92¢ $6 +$1 10-03 12:18
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +8 $3 74¢ $6 +$3 09-25 06:55
Will Yaxel Lendeborg win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +8 $7 75¢ $6 -$1 11-01 02:55
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? No +6 $5 94¢ $6 +$1 09-10 22:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +6 $5 90¢ $6 +$1 10-07 22:23
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +6 $4 82¢ $5 +$1 10-13 12:05
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +5 $4 100¢ $5 +$1 09-01 20:23
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 08-29 18:30
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$1 08-28 09:18
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +5 $4 86¢ $4 +$0 10-31 19:18
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +5 $3 75¢ $4 +$1 09-06 21:12
Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31? Yes +17 $4 22¢ $4 $0 09-29 02:49
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +5 $3 64¢ $3 +$0 10-08 17:55
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +5 $3 42¢ $2 -$1 09-01 20:29
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +5 $2 28¢ $1 $0 11-05 06:50
Will Jason or Lucia die in GTA VI? No +5 $2 28¢ $1 $0 11-05 20:09
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +5 $3 27¢ $1 -$1 10-15 12:21
Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +5 $1 13¢ $1 -$1 09-20 18:14
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$3 59¢ $0 +$3 10-31 08:22
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? No +0 -$4 88¢ $0 +$4 09-14 23:00
Will "Runway" from The Devil Wears Prada 2 be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards? No +0 -$2 75¢ $0 +$2 11-05 00:50
Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2026 NFC West? Yes — +0 $3 12¢ $0 -$3 10-16 02:22