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bot 13W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
+$24
Unrealized P&L
+$12
Hit rate
72.3%
Resolved (30d)
58
Trades (30d)
165
1,708 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$596
$8.75K lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$160
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-14
last 11-07 21:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 87 days
Categories
Other
56% 54% -$374
Crypto
24% 49% +$34
Politics
12% 39% +$15
Sports
6% 43% -$1
Tech
1% 38% -$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +22 $12 72¢ $16 +$4 11-03 01:10
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +18 $9 57¢ $10 +$1 09-16 03:10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +10 $8 90¢ $9 +$1 10-29 14:50
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +15 $7 56¢ $9 +$1 10-26 19:49
Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +13 $8 60¢ $8 $0 09-16 03:11
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027? No +9 $7 80¢ $7 $0 10-22 23:26
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? No +9 $7 77¢ $7 +$0 09-01 16:40
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027? No +8 $6 82¢ $7 +$1 10-16 01:05
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +7 $5 92¢ $6 +$1 10-03 12:18
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +8 $3 74¢ $6 +$3 09-25 06:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +6 $5 92¢ $6 +$1 10-07 22:23
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? No +6 $5 93¢ $6 +$1 09-10 22:00
Will Yaxel Lendeborg win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +8 $7 72¢ $6 -$1 11-01 02:55
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$0 11-07 21:53
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +6 $4 82¢ $5 +$1 10-13 12:05
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 08-29 18:30
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$1 08-28 09:18
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$0 10-31 19:18
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +5 $4 84¢ $4 +$0 11-06 12:10
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +5 $3 76¢ $4 +$1 09-06 21:12
Will Ashton Jeanty have 774.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +6 $3 60¢ $4 +$1 11-01 19:46
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (LOW) in December? No +7 $5 54¢ $4 -$1 09-02 05:48
Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31? Yes +17 $4 21¢ $4 -$1 09-29 02:49
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +5 $3 64¢ $3 +$0 10-08 17:55
Will "A Derailment" be nominated for Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? No +9 $3 32¢ $3 +$0 10-28 21:31
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +5 $3 44¢ $2 $0 09-01 20:29
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +5 $3 34¢ $2 -$1 10-15 12:21
Will Digger win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes — +10 $2 12¢ $1 -$1 09-08 04:12
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +5 $1 22¢ $1 $0 11-07 07:19
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +6 $1 22¢ $1 $0 11-07 07:21