Low-Thrill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

13.8%

Resolved

Trades

561

lifetime

Volume

$4.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-26

last 06-08 03:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

61% — —

Sports

16% 0% $-0

Other

13% 100% +$0

Politics

11% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No		+7	$5	72¢	$5	+$0	06-04 21:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	22	$150	101	101	+0	open	—	03-19 20:42
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	20	$144	87	100	-14	open	—	03-19 21:14
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	15	$100	53	53	+0	open	—	03-14 00:04
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	15	$96	67	67	+0	open	—	02-19 03:45
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	13	$90	47	47	+0	open	—	03-11 15:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	15	$88	78	78	+0	Yes	$-0	02-19 16:28
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	12	$66	52	52	+0	open	—	02-25 13:46
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	11	$66	34	34	+0	open	—	02-28 20:12
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	8	$59	47	47	+0	open	—	02-16 19:59
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	8	$52	33	33	+0	open	—	03-05 20:45
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	6	$40	24	24	-0	open	—	02-28 15:22
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	5	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	03-13 23:03
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$38	20	20	+0	No	$-0	03-19 12:24
bitcoin up or down march 6 4pm et	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	03-06 22:04
nba was bos 2026 03 14	2	$35	36	0	+36	open	—	03-14 19:16
lal rea ray 2026 02 01 ray	5	$35	23	23	+0	open	—	02-01 13:56
bitcoin up or down march 5 10am et	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	03-05 15:59
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	02-14 03:11
bitcoin up or down march 5 4am et	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	03-05 10:03
bitcoin up or down march 5 12am et	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	03-05 06:00
GTA VI released before June 2026?	4	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	02-27 10:15
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$22	13	13	+0	open	—	03-19 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET	2	$22	13	13	+0	open	—	05-14 18:58
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	2	$21	15	15	+0	open	—	06-09 21:47
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-19 15:15
bitcoin up or down march 6 6pm et	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-07 00:02
bitcoin up or down march 11 7am et	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-11 11:54
bitcoin up or down march 8 3am et	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-08 07:53
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$20	16	16	+0	open	—	03-17 03:15
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	3	$20	18	18	+0	open	—	02-28 05:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 21:47:58	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	73¢	$11	0xde0d3f…
06-08 03:26:30	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x1c6b05…
06-07 20:29:03	mlb nym sd 2026 06 07	San Diego Padres	BUY	26	36¢	$9	0xf13408…
06-07 20:21:54	mlb bal tor 2026 06 07 total 10pt5	Under	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x06d786…
06-07 03:34:37	mlb mil col 2026 06 06 spread away 3pt5	Colorado Rockies	BUY	19	38¢	$7	0x888da4…
06-06 17:22:46	wnba sea min 2026 06 06 total 160pt5	Over	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x676cab…
06-06 02:52:55	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 spread home 3pt5	Knicks	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x8aafed…
06-05 01:57:30	mlb tor atl 2026 06 04 spread away 3pt5	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x7715af…
06-04 21:36:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x99c46c…
06-04 00:41:45	mlb sd phi 2026 06 03 spread home 1pt5	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x7ad6f9…
06-03 01:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$13	0x1e13de…
06-01 21:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcc535b…
06-01 10:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x65e8b7…
05-31 23:27:17	Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xef5a27…
05-31 19:08:49	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x545c53…
05-31 07:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x6e42b0…
05-30 10:01:45	Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x39c19c…
05-29 21:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa80118…
05-29 03:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$14	0x51b44e…
05-28 20:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9c60be…
05-27 16:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	18	92¢	$16	0xcdfca3…
05-22 22:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x7be76a…
05-20 07:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x5252d9…
05-20 05:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x9be92f…
05-20 01:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	16	89¢	$14	0x738a0d…
05-19 20:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x318e27…
05-19 07:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb9fcbf…
05-18 11:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x05e190…
05-18 07:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3a5874…
05-18 01:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x54366a…
05-17 10:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x66e6f1…
05-17 03:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf92ecf…
05-16 09:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x14d856…
05-15 22:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1d31ee…
05-15 14:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	93¢	$6	0xf81846…
05-15 09:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb4722a…
05-15 08:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa28066…
05-15 06:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x99f80c…
05-15 03:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x257427…
05-15 01:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x2111c4…
05-14 18:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	13	74¢	$9	0x16338b…
05-14 18:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	13	98¢	$12	0x267e05…
05-13 18:03:40	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xce7608…
04-26 12:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x384700…
04-26 03:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xdf071e…
04-25 17:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8eae84…
04-25 13:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x769685…
04-25 12:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1863bb…
04-25 05:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xa2bafd…
04-24 23:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9a1aa9…
04-24 11:50:38	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x15c23d…
04-24 09:50:40	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x434b02…
04-24 08:51:42	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xdb739a…
04-24 03:50:26	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6be9b1…
04-23 08:50:44	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x43d08a…
04-23 02:51:44	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x180328…
04-23 00:56:14	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x86a5b8…
04-22 22:52:32	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc75f5…
04-22 20:55:28	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf62421…
04-22 19:55:32	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7dac22…
04-22 18:05:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x990687…
04-22 05:50:34	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xab7c7c…
04-21 21:50:56	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x63b17a…
04-21 17:54:38	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0xda6eea…
04-21 12:50:16	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc4d384…
04-21 06:50:42	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaf436f…
04-21 00:51:12	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0xff8c1c…
04-20 21:50:18	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x99cc5b…
04-20 19:58:04	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	17	97¢	$17	0x1d2fcb…
04-20 16:50:16	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x0a95d7…
04-20 11:54:32	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xedc8f6…
04-20 09:50:30	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1e245a…
04-15 06:57:12	bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9700f1…
04-14 23:57:54	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x981641…
04-14 22:51:16	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$7	0x5824f9…
04-14 18:50:24	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1dc4bb…
04-14 15:53:57	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2a1a3e…
04-14 10:57:01	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xf6ea63…
04-14 05:50:19	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1506fa…
04-14 03:52:11	bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x77f3e1…
04-13 19:50:19	bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb7beb6…
04-13 18:50:23	bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x668a2e…
04-13 15:50:17	bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb2bb3…
04-13 14:50:19	bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc97998…
04-13 11:50:15	bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xa0a05f…
04-13 09:56:17	bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5439f7…
04-13 00:50:25	bitcoin up or down april 12 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf7bb9b…
04-12 20:50:41	bitcoin up or down april 12 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	14	99¢	$13	0x12aeda…
04-12 15:51:23	bitcoin up or down april 12 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xdf3822…
04-12 13:56:23	bitcoin up or down april 12 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x442917…
04-12 05:50:23	bitcoin up or down april 12 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9fa787…
04-12 02:51:05	bitcoin up or down april 11 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xd1d070…
04-02 14:50:23	bitcoin up or down april 2 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0x9c1ff1…
04-02 11:55:31	bitcoin up or down april 2 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x55f1c1…
04-02 07:50:35	bitcoin up or down april 2 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf57818…
04-02 04:50:31	bitcoin up or down april 2 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x1b2354…
04-02 02:50:29	bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x775dd8…
04-02 00:50:41	bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7d9286…
04-01 21:50:39	bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x885914…
04-01 17:50:35	bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcf323c…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x6507…2d2c	256	$9.43K	2,136	06-03 02:02
(anonymous) 0xdc66…0533	252	$667.7K	91,405	06-03 02:00
Costly-Catamaran 0xbb28…aba9	246	$720	290	06-01 20:01
(anonymous) 0x4924…fac2	238	$34.9K	13,820	06-03 01:59
Dutiful-Alley 0x89fb…66ee	228	$1.02K	373	06-03 01:00
(anonymous) 0x5808…e67f	223	$15.5K	3,970	06-03 01:33
Safe-Irony 0xa08b…855b	221	$2.69K	251	06-03 01:12
Sentimental-Editorial 0x77b8…e82a	217	$2.82K	234	04-26 12:00