Right-Undershirt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.7%

Resolved

Trades

3,723

lifetime

Volume

$202.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$54

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-02

last 07-24 08:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

54% 33% $-28

Other

45% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 327 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	158	$37.7K	74,639	21,104	+53,535	open	—	04-01 04:35
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	140	$16.7K	10,033	10,033	+0	open	—	03-01 07:27
will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	22	$11.0K	6,728	4,478	+2,249	open	—	04-16 01:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	248	$6.9K	6,441	5,933	+509	open	—	06-28 05:34
will iran strike israel on march 6	17	$6.8K	2,664	4,159	-1,495	open	—	03-11 02:36
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	103	$6.5K	6,364	5,952	+412	open	—	02-28 06:53
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	251	$6.5K	8,890	8,890	+0	open	—	06-22 04:06
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	65	$5.1K	12,679	181	+12,498	open	—	03-12 01:16
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	95	$5.0K	7,431	3,141	+4,290	open	—	04-08 00:58
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	36	$4.8K	2,934	3,009	-75	open	—	05-12 00:18
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	33	$4.7K	4,366	4,338	+28	open	—	04-08 20:45
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	13	$4.0K	2,532	2,532	+0	open	—	04-21 21:39
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	42	$3.9K	2,345	2,577	-232	open	—	03-12 01:05
will axiom be accused of insider trading	31	$3.8K	3,314	2,350	+964	open	—	02-26 13:31
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	17	$3.8K	3,808	3,787	+21	open	—	04-12 02:42
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	22	$3.5K	4,900	1,438	+3,463	open	—	02-02 02:26
will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	14	$3.4K	2,140	2,130	+10	open	—	04-21 23:36
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	37	$3.4K	3,439	0	+3,439	open	—	07-20 01:34
will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	14	$3.2K	3,510	0	+3,510	open	—	07-07 23:00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	539	$3.1K	302	3,408	-3,106	open	—	07-20 15:19
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	10	$2.4K	1,814	635	+1,178	open	—	02-03 06:39
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	17	$2.4K	2,296	2,296	+0	open	—	06-18 06:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	124	$2.3K	2,443	2,410	+33	open	—	06-17 02:30
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	39	$2.3K	2,418	0	+2,418	open	—	03-04 10:44
will iran strike israel on march 10	32	$2.2K	1,376	830	+547	open	—	03-14 02:50
will nick shirley attend the 2026 state of the union address	13	$2.2K	1,589	1,589	+0	open	—	02-25 12:38
another us government shutdown by february 14	17	$2.1K	3,721	1,407	+2,315	open	—	02-14 11:19
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	85	$1.9K	3,179	1,716	+1,463	open	—	04-07 13:14
will trump post ufc on truth social this week 20260622154014267	29	$1.6K	1,799	27	+1,771	open	—	06-28 12:50
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	44	$1.6K	2,098	1,688	+410	open	—	05-25 13:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 08:32:01	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	No	SELL	62	94¢	$58	0x0a0bd7…
07-24 08:31:39	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x3252d7…
07-24 08:30:01	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	No	BUY	683	95¢	$646	0xbd27a3…
07-24 08:28:51	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	No	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x699914…
07-24 08:25:36	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	No	BUY	47	95¢	$44	0x4d45f2…
07-24 08:21:21	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	No	BUY	63	97¢	$61	0x513cc5…
07-23 19:02:06	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	132	86¢	$114	0xd02b4a…
07-23 19:00:25	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	132	87¢	$115	0x776524…
07-23 17:49:24	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x09ae1d…
07-21 08:01:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	31	21¢	$7	0x562232…
07-20 15:19:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	48	72¢	$35	0x938700…
07-20 15:17:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	48	72¢	$34	0x117566…
07-20 15:15:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xe1e1c8…
07-20 15:14:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xd383ed…
07-20 15:13:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x2bba6b…
07-20 15:01:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x582b1b…
07-20 14:41:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x14edf7…
07-20 14:34:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xca73e4…
07-20 14:30:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x2c16cf…
07-20 14:30:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x6e31c0…
07-20 14:28:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x46a983…
07-20 14:28:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x199e78…
07-20 14:28:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xc00226…
07-20 14:28:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	72¢	$3	0x10aa81…
07-20 14:27:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xae8760…
07-20 14:27:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$0	0x5b14eb…
07-20 14:27:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x590b28…
07-20 14:27:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xac2e08…
07-20 14:27:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x77f361…
07-20 14:27:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x5f73fe…
07-20 14:27:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x57974e…
07-20 14:27:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x4a302f…
07-20 14:26:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x8ec2ad…
07-20 14:26:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x593ac4…
07-20 14:26:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xbcc447…
07-20 14:26:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x52ab00…
07-20 14:26:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xb0c0cb…
07-20 14:26:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x68ea2f…
07-20 14:26:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xb691e7…
07-20 14:26:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x7fa7d0…
07-20 13:11:19	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	341	66¢	$225	0x528c95…
07-20 13:01:22	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	182	73¢	$133	0xa8694c…
07-20 13:00:03	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0xe7a2d4…
07-20 12:59:52	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	117	66¢	$77	0xdd0272…
07-20 07:34:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	106	71¢	$75	0x0ac052…
07-20 01:34:15	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xd80650…
07-20 01:33:49	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	32	99¢	$31	0x7ada35…
07-20 01:33:13	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xd7ef07…
07-20 01:33:06	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x3c9cd4…
07-20 01:33:03	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	21	99¢	$20	0x76ac29…
07-20 01:33:01	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$25	0x34a008…
07-20 01:33:00	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x924184…
07-20 01:33:00	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	441	99¢	$437	0x2c502e…
07-20 01:09:36	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x88e10d…
07-20 01:06:36	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xd43312…
07-20 01:06:36	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xa9e7b4…
07-20 01:03:55	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf50ad1…
07-20 01:02:16	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x6227c8…
07-20 00:01:55	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	221	98¢	$217	0x33d79e…
07-19 23:30:15	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	188	98¢	$184	0xbd9a0e…
07-19 23:30:15	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$12	0x09e9fe…
07-19 23:18:15	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xe35bcf…
07-19 23:18:15	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xc26022…
07-19 23:18:15	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	168	99¢	$165	0xb54c3f…
07-19 23:18:15	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x76d50c…
07-19 23:18:15	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x041c89…
07-19 23:18:13	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$494	0x7c5e54…
07-19 23:17:15	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x518b91…
07-19 23:17:15	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	88	99¢	$87	0x142318…
07-19 23:17:15	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	39	99¢	$38	0x090736…
07-19 23:17:13	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0x86d720…
07-19 23:16:54	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	39	99¢	$38	0xe80ec8…
07-19 23:16:54	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x848d69…
07-19 23:16:54	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x3a5e08…
07-19 23:16:34	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	29	99¢	$28	0x9d5536…
07-19 23:16:15	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	151	99¢	$150	0xaeebda…
07-19 23:16:13	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xc6db0f…
07-19 23:15:54	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	266	99¢	$264	0xcde0ed…
07-19 23:15:54	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	256	99¢	$254	0x9d4a56…
07-19 23:15:54	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$22	0x050a5d…
07-19 23:14:34	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	539	98¢	$528	0xd22010…
07-19 23:14:34	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x28dbf6…
07-18 07:39:19	iran military action against a gulf state on july 18 20260708212322943	Yes	BUY	98	99¢	$97	0x933087…
07-18 07:23:49	iran military action against a gulf state on july 18 20260708212322943	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x78bd60…
07-18 00:03:46	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	SELL	13	61¢	$8	0x98b084…
07-18 00:02:09	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	BUY	7	62¢	$5	0xbbb359…
07-18 00:01:21	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xa22b32…
07-17 23:56:46	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	SELL	16	62¢	$10	0x95087d…
07-17 23:45:19	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	BUY	16	84¢	$13	0xc344f9…
07-17 20:39:01	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x58513c…
07-16 07:13:04	Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0x3631da…
07-16 07:12:01	Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	16	98¢	$15	0x86ff74…
07-16 07:11:41	Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	16	98¢	$15	0x86279c…
07-16 06:31:41	Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$5	0xfbeeac…
07-16 03:38:40	Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	36	95¢	$35	0x0a3a07…
07-16 03:36:43	Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0x738871…
07-16 03:36:38	Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0x0d1d45…
07-16 03:28:58	Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0x44e172…
07-16 03:03:38	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	577	17¢	$98	0x7b4543…
07-16 02:56:17	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	88	32¢	$28	0xc22057…