Realized P&L
-$13.8K
Unrealized P&L
-$259
Hit rate
68.3%
Resolved
357
Trades
5,348
lifetime
Volume
$270.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$51
Open exposure
$3.87K
18 positions
First seen
2026-02-02
last 10-28 18:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 152 days
Categories
Politics
53% 62% -$6,466
Other
45% 60% -$6,807
Sports
1% 27% -$648
Tech
1% 80% +$130
Crypto
0% 100% +$23
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 127 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -3,320 -$2,908 82¢ $-2739 +$170 07-20 15:19
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +461 $324 92¢ $421 +$97 10-25 09:51
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +227 $166 68¢ $153 -$12 10-22 19:05
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +339 $135 43¢ $146 +$10 10-27 19:35
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +796 $215 16¢ $131 -$84 07-26 08:34
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +444 $158 14¢ $60 -$99 09-21 20:05
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +1,141 $77 5¢ $55 -$22 09-17 10:18
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932 Yes +286 $88 18¢ $53 -$35 10-11 22:29
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +642 $164 6¢ $35 -$129 06-16 01:12
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +37 $27 68¢ $25 -$2 10-25 22:58
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +140 $51 8¢ $12 -$39 07-16 02:56
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +341 $75 3¢ $11 -$64 10-22 11:12
China x Japan military clash before 2027? Yes +220 $20 4¢ $9 -$11 08-14 08:38
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? Yes +189 $40 4¢ $9 -$31 10-23 18:55
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -263 -$8 3¢ $-8 +$0 10-09 08:10
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -29 -$11 15¢ $-4 +$7 05-23 08:23
nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026 Yes +77 $14 1¢ $1 -$14 08-07 00:49
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +2 $1 18¢ $0 -$1 07-11 01:46