Right-Undershirt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.7%

Resolved

Trades

3,782

lifetime

Volume

$207.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$55

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-02

last 08-14 08:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

54% 33% $-28

Other

44% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 327 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	158	$37.7K	74,639	21,104	+53,535	open	—	04-01 04:35
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	140	$16.7K	10,033	10,033	+0	open	—	03-01 07:27
will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	22	$11.0K	6,728	4,478	+2,249	open	—	04-16 01:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	248	$6.9K	6,441	5,933	+509	open	—	06-28 05:34
will iran strike israel on march 6	17	$6.8K	2,664	4,159	-1,495	open	—	03-11 02:36
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	103	$6.5K	6,364	5,952	+412	open	—	02-28 06:53
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	251	$6.5K	8,890	8,890	+0	open	—	06-22 04:06
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	65	$5.1K	12,679	181	+12,498	open	—	03-12 01:16
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	95	$5.0K	7,431	3,141	+4,290	open	—	04-08 00:58
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	36	$4.8K	2,934	3,009	-75	open	—	05-12 00:18
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	33	$4.7K	4,366	4,338	+28	open	—	04-08 20:45
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	13	$4.0K	2,532	2,532	+0	open	—	04-21 21:39
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	42	$3.9K	2,345	2,577	-232	open	—	03-12 01:05
will axiom be accused of insider trading	31	$3.8K	3,314	2,350	+964	open	—	02-26 13:31
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	17	$3.8K	3,808	3,787	+21	open	—	04-12 02:42
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	22	$3.5K	4,900	1,438	+3,463	open	—	02-02 02:26
will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	14	$3.4K	2,140	2,130	+10	open	—	04-21 23:36
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	37	$3.4K	3,439	0	+3,439	open	—	07-20 01:34
will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	14	$3.2K	3,510	0	+3,510	open	—	07-07 23:00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	539	$3.1K	302	3,408	-3,106	open	—	07-20 15:19
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	10	$2.4K	1,814	635	+1,178	open	—	02-03 06:39
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	17	$2.4K	2,296	2,296	+0	open	—	06-18 06:14
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	124	$2.3K	2,443	2,410	+33	open	—	06-17 02:30
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	39	$2.3K	2,418	0	+2,418	open	—	03-04 10:44
will iran strike israel on march 10	32	$2.2K	1,376	830	+547	open	—	03-14 02:50
will nick shirley attend the 2026 state of the union address	13	$2.2K	1,589	1,589	+0	open	—	02-25 12:38
another us government shutdown by february 14	17	$2.1K	3,721	1,407	+2,315	open	—	02-14 11:19
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	85	$1.9K	3,179	1,716	+1,463	open	—	04-07 13:14
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	12	$1.7K	1,881	11	+1,871	open	—	07-31 04:15
will trump post ufc on truth social this week 20260622154014267	29	$1.6K	1,799	27	+1,771	open	—	06-28 12:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 08:38:42	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	220	9¢	$20	0x0b6ffb…
08-08 19:22:16	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	28	68¢	$19	0x3fd8d6…
08-08 19:20:34	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	21	69¢	$14	0x9b8c8d…
08-08 19:16:55	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	48	70¢	$34	0x0b1c42…
08-07 20:50:16	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	Yes	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0x93cea3…
08-07 00:49:42	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	14	12¢	$2	0x552252…
08-03 07:08:27	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	311	100¢	$310	0xae8d0a…
08-03 07:01:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	31	59¢	$18	0x90128a…
08-03 06:45:11	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	42	76¢	$32	0xfd7873…
08-02 22:32:21	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x47ffad…
08-02 22:00:23	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xe005e0…
08-02 21:46:18	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	65	60¢	$39	0x0bd17a…
08-02 21:45:09	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	44	60¢	$26	0x8f1601…
08-02 21:44:47	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	109	60¢	$65	0x060d06…
08-02 03:08:29	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	SELL	26	27¢	$7	0xb307f6…
08-01 19:43:14	will donald trump publicly insult marjorie taylor greene by july 31 2026 20260626210612718	Yes	BUY	70	99¢	$70	0x5d72f1…
08-01 19:09:11	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x1e8773…
08-01 17:16:02	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	35	58¢	$20	0xd0efc9…
08-01 16:37:39	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	BUY	360	35¢	$126	0x68a8a4…
08-01 15:58:21	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	453	77¢	$347	0x9af33a…
08-01 14:37:00	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	549	65¢	$359	0x106f59…
08-01 14:33:00	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	904	64¢	$579	0xe7ec39…
08-01 10:38:15	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xc40ea4…
08-01 10:38:15	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0x8d56bc…
08-01 10:16:39	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	173	78¢	$135	0xd21848…
08-01 10:14:59	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	80	78¢	$63	0xcd74ae…
08-01 10:11:36	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	61	74¢	$45	0xd319ca…
08-01 10:11:06	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	61	75¢	$46	0x16e688…
07-31 17:34:39	Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd7839d…
07-31 04:15:41	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	60	70¢	$42	0x713418…
07-31 04:15:00	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	60	69¢	$42	0x83f752…
07-30 21:49:14	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	48	71¢	$34	0xc46fa6…
07-30 21:49:14	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	12	71¢	$9	0x8fd314…
07-30 21:47:14	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	245	71¢	$174	0x9cb035…
07-30 21:34:44	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	367	73¢	$268	0xb1e11c…
07-30 21:01:33	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	175	75¢	$131	0x25b749…
07-30 11:20:23	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x8223ab…
07-30 10:30:44	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	62	20¢	$12	0x977e4c…
07-30 04:27:24	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	59	83¢	$49	0xf98126…
07-30 04:02:02	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	114	92¢	$105	0xd6179c…
07-30 04:00:18	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	1,242	92¢	$1,140	0x1b6003…
07-30 03:10:33	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	267	96¢	$256	0x787a8d…
07-30 03:02:56	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	4	93¢	$3	0x4536dc…
07-30 02:30:08	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	31	93¢	$29	0x6c4027…
07-30 00:57:15	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0x94bf4c…
07-30 00:55:35	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x206eea…
07-29 17:38:50	will there be at least 10000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by august 31 2026 20260727151618909	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x1351c6…
07-29 17:37:09	will there be at least 10000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by august 31 2026 20260727151618909	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x5beec7…
07-28 00:56:09	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	122	96¢	$118	0x6f6130…
07-28 00:24:39	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	87	94¢	$82	0xe1d24f…
07-28 00:24:37	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x5d956e…
07-28 00:08:48	Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x3b2a41…
07-27 23:33:27	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	No	BUY	174	99¢	$172	0xa35cbe…
07-27 23:33:07	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	No	BUY	174	98¢	$171	0x62fb77…
07-27 18:19:28	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x55debb…
07-27 18:19:22	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x518e70…
07-27 18:19:04	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$11	0x73efb0…
07-26 08:34:28	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	796	27¢	$215	0x69db92…
07-24 08:32:01	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	No	SELL	62	94¢	$58	0x0a0bd7…
07-24 08:31:39	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x3252d7…
07-24 08:30:01	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	No	BUY	683	95¢	$646	0xbd27a3…
07-24 08:28:51	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	No	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x699914…
07-24 08:25:36	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	No	BUY	47	95¢	$44	0x4d45f2…
07-24 08:21:21	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	No	BUY	63	97¢	$61	0x513cc5…
07-23 19:02:06	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	132	86¢	$114	0xd02b4a…
07-23 19:00:25	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	132	87¢	$115	0x776524…
07-23 17:49:24	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x09ae1d…
07-21 08:01:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	31	21¢	$7	0x562232…
07-20 15:19:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	48	72¢	$35	0x938700…
07-20 15:17:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	48	72¢	$34	0x117566…
07-20 15:15:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xe1e1c8…
07-20 15:14:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xd383ed…
07-20 15:13:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x2bba6b…
07-20 15:01:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x582b1b…
07-20 14:41:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x14edf7…
07-20 14:34:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xca73e4…
07-20 14:30:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x2c16cf…
07-20 14:30:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x6e31c0…
07-20 14:28:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x46a983…
07-20 14:28:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x199e78…
07-20 14:28:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xc00226…
07-20 14:28:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	72¢	$3	0x10aa81…
07-20 14:27:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xae8760…
07-20 14:27:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$0	0x5b14eb…
07-20 14:27:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x590b28…
07-20 14:27:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xac2e08…
07-20 14:27:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x77f361…
07-20 14:27:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x5f73fe…
07-20 14:27:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x57974e…
07-20 14:27:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x4a302f…
07-20 14:26:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x8ec2ad…
07-20 14:26:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x593ac4…
07-20 14:26:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xbcc447…
07-20 14:26:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x52ab00…
07-20 14:26:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xb0c0cb…
07-20 14:26:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x68ea2f…
07-20 14:26:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xb691e7…
07-20 14:26:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x7fa7d0…
07-20 13:11:19	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	341	66¢	$225	0x528c95…
07-20 13:01:22	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	182	73¢	$133	0xa8694c…