Realized P&L
+$10
Unrealized P&L
-$21
Hit rate
23.8%
Resolved
46
Trades
931
lifetime
Volume
$14.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$238
19 positions
First seen
2026-04-27
last 05-30 11:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
51% 22% $-299
Sports
28% 17% $-82
Politics
20% 17% +$397
Crypto
1% 0% $-5
Pop-Culture
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -152 $-43 64¢ $-98 $-55 05-29 15:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -19 $-12 84¢ $-16 $-5 05-29 15:47
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No -17 $-15 94¢ $-16 $-1 05-29 15:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -96 $-39 16¢ $-15 +$24 05-29 15:03
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? Yes -71 $-11 19¢ $-14 $-2 05-29 15:03
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027? Yes -40 $-12 28¢ $-11 +$0 05-29 15:03
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes -68 $-11 16¢ $-11 $-0 05-29 15:03
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox -21 $-8 46¢ $-10 $-2 05-29 15:46
KBO: LG Twins vs. Samsung Lions Samsung Lions -20 $-9 47¢ $-9 $-0 05-29 15:47
Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027? Yes -36 $-7 24¢ $-9 $-2 05-29 15:04
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027? Yes -125 $-8 $-7 +$1 05-29 15:03
Will Loretta Lynch be arrested before 2027? Yes -56 $-6 11¢ $-6 +$0 05-29 15:03
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? Yes -25 $-8 22¢ $-5 +$3 05-29 15:04
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Yes -31 $-2 10¢ $-3 $-1 05-29 15:04
Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027? Yes -45 $-3 $-2 +$1 05-29 15:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -24 $-12 10¢ $-2 +$10 05-29 15:04
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30? Yes -43 $-3 $-2 +$1 05-29 15:03
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026? Yes -71 $-5 $-1 +$4 05-29 15:03
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? No -36 $-3 $-0 +$3 05-29 15:04