Slight-Ferry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

23.8%

Resolved

Trades

931

lifetime

Volume

$14.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 05-30 11:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

51% 22% $-299

Sports

28% 17% $-82

Politics

20% 17% +$397

Crypto

1% 0% $-5

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 103 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	5	$430	540	540	+0	open	—	05-29 15:46
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$343	353	353	+0	open	—	05-01 12:16
Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$221	222	222	+0	open	—	05-01 12:16
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5	8	$196	2,057	40	+2,017	open	—	05-25 01:20
Watford FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$172	125	125	+0	open	—	05-02 17:01
Bristol City FC vs. Stoke City FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$164	116	116	+0	open	—	05-02 17:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	6	$157	187	137	+50	open	—	05-22 12:37
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Leicester City FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$156	109	109	+0	open	—	05-02 17:02
FC Schalke 04 vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf: Both Teams to Score	2	$153	104	104	+0	open	—	05-02 20:43
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)	2	$137	107	107	+0	open	—	05-03 21:14
Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Aleksandar Kovacevic	2	$132	125	125	+0	open	—	05-20 15:49
Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies	2	$131	103	103	+0	open	—	05-03 20:56
Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score	2	$127	106	106	+0	No	+$30	05-04 19:53
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	2	$122	381	381	+0	open	—	05-20 10:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	5	$121	151	151	+0	open	—	05-25 21:26
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Leandro Riedi	3	$120	137	65	+72	open	—	05-20 19:34
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	4	$117	800	800	+0	No	$-23	05-07 20:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	4	$105	175	175	+0	open	—	05-25 17:31
Spurs vs. Thunder	2	$95	71	71	+0	open	—	05-19 05:39
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5	3	$93	70	70	-0	open	—	05-21 03:26
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Alex Molcan vs Felix Gill	2	$86	77	77	+0	open	—	05-20 19:34
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	2	$83	889	889	+0	open	—	05-14 19:27
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$82	152	152	+0	open	—	05-21 21:22
CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad: Both Teams to Score	1	$77	170	0	+170	No	$-77	05-05 21:34
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$77	800	800	+0	open	—	05-23 21:31
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Jack Pinnington Jones	2	$74	54	54	+0	open	—	05-04 14:03
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	4	$72	65	51	+13	open	—	05-21 03:26
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	4	$72	64	64	+0	open	—	05-25 21:27
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)	3	$69	50	50	+0	open	—	05-24 20:04
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	2	$67	1,468	0	+1,468	No	$-67	05-08 10:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 11:19:13	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x4c4104…
05-30 11:19:11	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0x30c68f…
05-29 15:48:29	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	17	25¢	$4	0x410eb7…
05-29 15:48:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	17	89¢	$15	0x41c2df…
05-29 15:47:37	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	19	5¢	$1	0xae570d…
05-29 15:47:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	19	61¢	$12	0x05c8a4…
05-29 15:47:35	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds	St. Louis Cardinals	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0xd81f13…
05-29 15:47:35	KBO: LG Twins vs. Samsung Lions	Samsung Lions	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x935797…
05-29 15:47:16	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	20	52¢	$11	0x2fac04…
05-29 15:46:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0xad4257…
05-29 15:46:41	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x649b6f…
05-29 15:46:39	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xffdb9c…
05-29 15:46:39	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xd393fe…
05-29 15:46:37	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	SELL	21	38¢	$8	0x148309…
05-29 15:46:36	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0x23fe2d…
05-29 15:46:34	Will Palo Alto Networks Q3 Next-Generation Security ARR be above $8.0B?	No	SELL	22	9¢	$2	0xde1de3…
05-29 15:46:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x858c9e…
05-29 15:46:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	24	6¢	$2	0x6cead7…
05-29 15:46:29	Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?	Yes	SELL	24	1¢	$0	0x4fd57b…
05-29 15:46:27	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	33	1¢	$0	0xd5b873…
05-29 15:46:27	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	4¢	$2	0x73c100…
05-29 15:46:25	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May?	Yes	SELL	37	16¢	$6	0x7717cb…
05-29 15:46:23	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0xdb8457…
05-29 15:46:23	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	6¢	$5	0x02bb55…
05-29 15:46:22	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	SELL	71	2¢	$1	0x98f4be…
05-29 15:46:20	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	143	3¢	$5	0xc12d19…
05-29 15:46:20	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	125	2¢	$2	0xba8846…
05-29 15:46:16	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	217	2¢	$4	0xdd2376…
05-29 15:07:22	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	17	10¢	$2	0x296a3d…
05-29 15:04:32	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	No	SELL	22	82¢	$18	0xa378e0…
05-29 15:04:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	24	51¢	$12	0x869600…
05-29 15:04:29	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	SELL	24	5¢	$1	0x802b25…
05-29 15:04:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0x9e2320…
05-29 15:04:27	Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)	St. Louis Cardinals	SELL	24	40¢	$10	0x7af71e…
05-29 15:04:25	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 in May?	No	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0xd97bfd…
05-29 15:04:25	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	No	SELL	25	52¢	$13	0x0c2fa9…
05-29 15:04:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	22¢	$6	0x678963…
05-29 15:04:22	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	SELL	25	34¢	$8	0x843ff9…
05-29 15:04:20	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	SELL	26	11¢	$3	0x61d5de…
05-29 15:04:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	41¢	$11	0x02c923…
05-29 15:04:18	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	SELL	29	25¢	$7	0x2eac2e…
05-29 15:04:16	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?	No	SELL	28	96¢	$27	0x774ea7…
05-29 15:04:13	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	SELL	29	45¢	$13	0x2e50b4…
05-29 15:04:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	29	76¢	$22	0x17d3cf…
05-29 15:04:11	Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	Yes	SELL	31	5¢	$2	0xed6a02…
05-29 15:04:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	32	73¢	$24	0x692f0d…
05-29 15:04:08	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	SELL	19	15¢	$3	0x30ccbe…
05-29 15:04:04	Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	36	19¢	$7	0x8977b6…
05-29 15:04:02	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	SELL	36	10¢	$4	0xd5b263…
05-29 15:04:02	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	36	9¢	$3	0x1622e3…
05-29 15:04:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	28¢	$7	0xb054b6…
05-29 15:04:01	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	38	21¢	$8	0x56b399…
05-29 15:03:59	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?	Yes	SELL	38	5¢	$2	0x1dc42b…
05-29 15:03:57	Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	29¢	$12	0x2b6282…
05-29 15:03:54	Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?	Yes	SELL	43	7¢	$3	0x1a4991…
05-29 15:03:52	Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	45	7¢	$3	0xfdac3e…
05-29 15:03:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	46	14¢	$6	0xfe935c…
05-29 15:03:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$7	0x2f17fa…
05-29 15:03:47	Will Loretta Lynch be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	56	11¢	$6	0x57b7b7…
05-29 15:03:45	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0xd3d21d…
05-29 15:03:41	Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	Yes	SELL	68	16¢	$11	0x6f48b0…
05-29 15:03:40	Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	7¢	$5	0xf79e82…
05-29 15:03:38	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	71	16¢	$11	0x4a981f…
05-29 15:03:34	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	74	11¢	$8	0x850613…
05-29 15:03:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	96	41¢	$39	0xc7e762…
05-29 15:03:27	Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	125	6¢	$8	0x020ba7…
05-29 15:03:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	152	28¢	$43	0xec312c…
05-28 15:16:50	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	29	15¢	$4	0x71ea78…
05-28 11:32:51	Will Vance say "Nuclear" during Air Force Academy Address?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x4382fa…
05-28 05:15:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	18¢	$4	0x66cd41…
05-27 18:31:47	Little Rock: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic	Bernard Tomic	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x11d561…
05-27 02:00:48	Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xcb5d4f…
05-27 01:51:38	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x76b45f…
05-27 01:46:28	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x3ac5c8…
05-27 01:46:18	Spread: Spurs (-3.5)	Spurs	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x25e432…
05-27 01:40:45	Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics	Seattle Mariners	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x8451ba…
05-27 00:39:53	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5	Over	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x2dc818…
05-27 00:22:06	Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	BUY	32	24¢	$8	0xbb5452…
05-27 00:22:06	Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	BUY	44	24¢	$11	0xa8d193…
05-27 00:22:06	Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0x9299a1…
05-26 23:45:28	Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox	Atlanta Braves	BUY	21	22¢	$5	0xff9d60…
05-26 23:42:31	Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0xd8ff4c…
05-26 23:40:16	Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9a79c9…
05-26 23:32:13	Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox	Atlanta Braves	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x0cd658…
05-26 23:03:14	Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x17842d…
05-26 23:01:08	Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	14	12¢	$2	0x6f6697…
05-26 22:43:22	Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	16	27¢	$4	0xbe5981…
05-26 22:06:16	Spread: Spurs (-3.5)	Spurs	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x4165f9…
05-26 21:36:22	Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians	Washington Nationals	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xc23400…
05-26 21:31:00	Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9e5b89…
05-26 12:41:25	Centurion: Karan Singh vs Guillaume Dalmasso	Karan Singh	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xb79ae3…
05-26 12:23:00	Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty	Phoenix Mercury	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x3b5008…
05-26 12:20:56	Centurion: Karan Singh vs Guillaume Dalmasso	Guillaume Dalmasso	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xc1bdce…
05-26 08:57:19	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0x45c1b4…
05-26 05:20:40	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xe7be93…
05-26 03:46:17	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	17	28¢	$5	0xf56322…
05-26 03:10:55	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0x08c62d…
05-26 03:00:54	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x9dd7e8…
05-26 02:36:56	Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-13.5)	Connecticut Sun	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x230c3a…
05-26 02:36:54	Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-13.5)	Connecticut Sun	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xaac379…