Slight-Ferry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$194

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

54.2%

Resolved

1,180

Trades

1,736

lifetime

Volume

$27.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-27

last 05-30 11:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 71 days

Categories

Other

67% 33% +$443

Sports

17% 37% -$499

Politics

15% 35% +$386

Crypto

1% 12% -$61

Tech

0% 10% -$66

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$10

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-30).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	Yes		-68	-$11	6¢	$-4	+$6	05-29 15:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	4	$678	644	644	+0	Yes	+$608	05-12 16:47
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	5	$430	540	540	+0	No	+$317	05-29 15:46
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$343	353	353	+0	No	+$334	05-01 12:16
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-05-02?	2	$322	278	278	+0	Yes	+$233	05-02 17:00
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?	2	$287	667	667	+0	No	+$140	05-10 20:38
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-05-09?	2	$284	238	238	+0	Yes	+$192	05-09 23:22
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?	2	$266	190	190	+0	No	+$114	05-10 15:06
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02?	2	$254	208	208	+0	Yes	+$162	05-02 17:01
Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$221	222	222	+0	No	+$211	05-01 12:16
Will Portsmouth FC vs. Birmingham City FC end in a draw?	2	$219	172	172	+0	Yes	+$126	05-02 17:01
Will Göztepe SK win on 2026-05-02?	2	$218	227	227	+0	No	+$127	05-02 18:02
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$216	1,124	1,124	+0	No	+$16	05-29 15:03
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-05-02?	2	$208	161	161	+0	Yes	+$114	05-02 17:01
Will CD Tolima vs. AD Cali end in a draw?	2	$198	152	152	+0	Yes	+$104	05-03 23:02
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5	8	$196	2,057	40	+2,017	Under	-$121	05-25 01:20
Will Austin FC win on 2026-05-03?	2	$176	128	128	+0	Yes	+$81	05-03 23:36
Watford FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$172	125	125	+0	No	+$77	05-02 17:01
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-02?	2	$172	125	125	+0	Yes	+$77	05-02 17:01
Bristol City FC vs. Stoke City FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$164	116	116	+0	No	+$68	05-02 17:02
Will SC Recife win on 2026-05-03?	2	$159	111	111	+0	Yes	+$63	05-03 23:02
Will CF América vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?	2	$158	161	161	+0	Yes	+$65	05-04 00:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	6	$157	187	137	+50	Yes	+$14	05-22 12:37
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Leicester City FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$156	109	109	+0	No	+$61	05-02 17:02
FC Schalke 04 vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf: Both Teams to Score	2	$153	104	104	+0	No	+$55	05-02 20:43
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24?	3	$148	110	110	+0	No	+$72	05-24 22:03
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)	2	$137	107	107	+0	Real Madrid CF	+$77	05-03 21:14
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-05-03?	2	$133	103	103	+0	Yes	+$73	05-03 17:41
Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Aleksandar Kovacevic	2	$132	125	125	+0	Aleksandar Kovacevic	+$117	05-20 15:49
Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies	2	$131	103	103	+0	Atlanta Braves	+$31	05-03 20:56
Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score	2	$127	106	106	+0	No	+$30	05-04 19:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 11:19:13	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x4c4104…
05-30 11:19:11	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0x30c68f…
05-29 15:48:31	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	16	36¢	$6	0x9222d4…
05-29 15:48:29	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	17	25¢	$4	0x410eb7…
05-29 15:48:29	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	16	42¢	$7	0x22507f…
05-29 15:48:28	Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?	No	SELL	17	24¢	$4	0xd877fa…
05-29 15:48:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	17	89¢	$15	0x41c2df…
05-29 15:48:26	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	18	41¢	$7	0x76973e…
05-29 15:47:39	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	19	8¢	$2	0xcc226a…
05-29 15:47:39	Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	No	SELL	19	11¢	$2	0x02d69d…
05-29 15:47:37	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	19	5¢	$1	0xae570d…
05-29 15:47:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	19	61¢	$12	0x05c8a4…
05-29 15:47:35	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds	St. Louis Cardinals	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0xd81f13…
05-29 15:47:35	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0xd43af3…
05-29 15:47:35	KBO: LG Twins vs. Samsung Lions	Samsung Lions	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x935797…
05-29 15:47:33	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x1a92bb…
05-29 15:47:32	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x7aaee7…
05-29 15:47:16	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	20	52¢	$11	0x2fac04…
05-29 15:46:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0xad4257…
05-29 15:46:41	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xcfc827…
05-29 15:46:41	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x649b6f…
05-29 15:46:39	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xffdb9c…
05-29 15:46:39	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xd393fe…
05-29 15:46:37	Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	No	SELL	21	7¢	$1	0x8b6d98…
05-29 15:46:37	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	SELL	21	38¢	$8	0x148309…
05-29 15:46:36	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	21	55¢	$12	0xd79fa4…
05-29 15:46:36	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0x23fe2d…
05-29 15:46:34	Will Palo Alto Networks Q3 Next-Generation Security ARR be above $8.0B?	No	SELL	22	9¢	$2	0xde1de3…
05-29 15:46:32	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	SELL	22	39¢	$8	0xa03716…
05-29 15:46:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x858c9e…
05-29 15:46:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	24	6¢	$2	0x6cead7…
05-29 15:46:30	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	No	SELL	22	35¢	$8	0x105495…
05-29 15:46:29	Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?	Yes	SELL	24	1¢	$0	0x4fd57b…
05-29 15:46:27	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	33	1¢	$0	0xd5b873…
05-29 15:46:27	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	4¢	$2	0x73c100…
05-29 15:46:25	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May?	Yes	SELL	37	16¢	$6	0x7717cb…
05-29 15:46:23	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0xdb8457…
05-29 15:46:23	Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?	No	SELL	86	6¢	$5	0x24ee9b…
05-29 15:46:23	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	6¢	$5	0x02bb55…
05-29 15:46:22	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	SELL	71	2¢	$1	0x98f4be…
05-29 15:46:22	Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	111	2¢	$3	0x4fbae1…
05-29 15:46:20	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	143	3¢	$5	0xc12d19…
05-29 15:46:20	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	125	2¢	$2	0xba8846…
05-29 15:46:18	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	207	3¢	$6	0xa1521a…
05-29 15:46:18	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	149	5¢	$8	0x48011e…
05-29 15:46:16	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	217	2¢	$4	0xdd2376…
05-29 15:46:16	Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	415	5¢	$23	0x746ef0…
05-29 15:46:15	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	1,756	4¢	$62	0xbe58b9…
05-29 15:46:15	Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	1,158	1¢	$14	0x7f2ce0…
05-29 15:07:22	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	17	10¢	$2	0x296a3d…
05-29 15:05:02	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	SELL	42	24¢	$10	0x202e44…
05-29 15:04:32	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	No	SELL	22	82¢	$18	0xa378e0…
05-29 15:04:30	Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	23	32¢	$7	0xd4ecee…
05-29 15:04:30	Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	24	34¢	$8	0x7624b8…
05-29 15:04:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	24	51¢	$12	0x869600…
05-29 15:04:29	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	SELL	24	5¢	$1	0x802b25…
05-29 15:04:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0x9e2320…
05-29 15:04:27	Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)	St. Louis Cardinals	SELL	24	40¢	$10	0x7af71e…
05-29 15:04:27	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	No	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x32bb08…
05-29 15:04:25	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 in May?	No	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0xd97bfd…
05-29 15:04:25	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	No	SELL	25	52¢	$13	0x0c2fa9…
05-29 15:04:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	22¢	$6	0x678963…
05-29 15:04:22	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	SELL	25	34¢	$8	0x843ff9…
05-29 15:04:22	Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	26	13¢	$3	0x62c22d…
05-29 15:04:20	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	26	21¢	$6	0x7f93f5…
05-29 15:04:20	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	SELL	26	11¢	$3	0x61d5de…
05-29 15:04:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	41¢	$11	0x02c923…
05-29 15:04:18	Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	No	SELL	27	25¢	$7	0x5e95b9…
05-29 15:04:18	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	No	SELL	27	33¢	$9	0x364af0…
05-29 15:04:18	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	SELL	29	25¢	$7	0x2eac2e…
05-29 15:04:16	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?	No	SELL	28	96¢	$27	0x774ea7…
05-29 15:04:15	Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	No	SELL	29	24¢	$7	0x9fc96e…
05-29 15:04:13	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	30	21¢	$6	0xc4f6e1…
05-29 15:04:13	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	SELL	29	45¢	$13	0x2e50b4…
05-29 15:04:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	29	76¢	$22	0x17d3cf…
05-29 15:04:11	Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	Yes	SELL	31	5¢	$2	0xed6a02…
05-29 15:04:11	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	SELL	30	30¢	$9	0x2fb71d…
05-29 15:04:09	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	No	SELL	31	11¢	$3	0x9ddd59…
05-29 15:04:09	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	31	41¢	$13	0x33323a…
05-29 15:04:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	32	73¢	$24	0x692f0d…
05-29 15:04:08	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	SELL	19	15¢	$3	0x30ccbe…
05-29 15:04:08	Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	No	SELL	33	5¢	$2	0x1c516d…
05-29 15:04:06	Will Gujarat Titans win the 2026 Indian Premier League?	Yes	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0xfc23a5…
05-29 15:04:06	Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	34	28¢	$10	0xe80698…
05-29 15:04:06	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	33	28¢	$9	0x891ec6…
05-29 15:04:04	Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	36	19¢	$7	0x8977b6…
05-29 15:04:04	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	34	58¢	$20	0x1a2768…
05-29 15:04:02	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	SELL	36	10¢	$4	0xd5b263…
05-29 15:04:02	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	36	9¢	$3	0x1622e3…
05-29 15:04:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	28¢	$7	0xb054b6…
05-29 15:04:01	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	38	21¢	$8	0x56b399…
05-29 15:03:59	Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	20¢	$8	0xeaf6b5…
05-29 15:03:59	Will Gujarat Titans win the 2026 Indian Premier League?	Yes	SELL	12	21¢	$3	0x94a283…
05-29 15:03:59	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?	Yes	SELL	38	5¢	$2	0x1dc42b…
05-29 15:03:57	Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?	No	SELL	40	14¢	$6	0x8994fc…
05-29 15:03:57	Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	29¢	$12	0x2b6282…
05-29 15:03:55	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	41	32¢	$13	0x4f66a2…
05-29 15:03:54	Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	43	21¢	$9	0x4d1206…
05-29 15:03:54	Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?	Yes	SELL	43	7¢	$3	0x1a4991…
05-29 15:03:52	Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	45	7¢	$3	0xfdac3e…