Beautiful-Tug — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

124

Trades

150

lifetime

Volume

$1.86K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-10

last 11-04 13:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Other

44% 97% +$7

Politics

35% 100% +$4

Crypto

14% 100% +$1

Tech

7% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+2	$1	77¢	$1	$0	10-27 13:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	2	$113	58	58	+0	Yes	+$0	10-04 21:58
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	2	$105	54	54	+0	No	+$0	09-12 02:42
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	2	$103	52	52	+0	No	+$0	10-08 05:39
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-14 11:58
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$96	57	57	+0	Yes	+$1	10-05 13:28
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	4	$93	48	48	+0	No	+$1	09-01 04:57
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	2	$89	45	45	+0	No	+$2	10-01 06:05
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	2	$79	39	39	+0	No	+$0	09-29 14:57
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	1	$64	64	0	+64	Yes	+$0	11-04 03:58
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$63	64	0	+64	Yes	+$1	11-04 13:03
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$57	29	29	+0	open	—	10-28 06:42
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	1	$54	54	0	+54	No	+$0	09-07 23:26
will gpt 6 be released by october 31 2026	1	$54	54	0	+54	Yes	+$0	09-04 12:16
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	1	$49	50	0	+50	No	+$1	08-09 14:38
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	1	$49	49	0	+49	No	+$0	09-16 00:59
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	1	$49	49	0	+49	No	+$0	09-15 04:53
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$48	49	0	+49	No	+$0	08-15 12:21
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	1	$47	51	0	+51	No	+$4	08-04 22:18
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$36	37	0	+37	Yes	+$1	07-30 04:38
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?	1	$33	33	0	+33	Yes	+$0	06-27 08:39
will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026 from august 28	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	09-01 02:08
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$27	27	0	+27	Yes	+$0	06-29 19:36
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	08-28 05:53
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	1	$24	24	0	+24	Yes	+$0	08-18 20:01
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	09-07 07:47
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-31 04:08
Will France win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	1	$17	18	0	+18	No	+$0	05-16 06:47
Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$17	17	0	+17	Yes	+$0	05-13 15:27
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	06-28 12:38
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	2	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	09-29 06:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 13:03:37	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0xd52e23…
11-04 12:47:55	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xa0438b…
11-04 03:58:37	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	99¢	$64	0x98cd22…
10-28 06:42:05	Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x3f9527…
10-28 05:51:43	Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x6c8561…
10-27 13:06:12	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0xab47f1…
10-13 13:07:28	Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	29	94¢	$28	0xca7088…
10-08 05:39:40	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xaa96a9…
10-06 05:46:55	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x9b9bdc…
10-05 18:55:16	Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x4c21be…
10-05 13:28:02	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	57	85¢	$48	0x67986c…
10-05 02:21:01	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	57	84¢	$48	0xfb8994…
10-04 21:58:10	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	58	99¢	$57	0x32dfa5…
10-02 22:27:23	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0x32e2aa…
10-01 06:05:47	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xca88c7…
09-30 23:49:00	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5706a3…
09-30 16:29:30	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xd6ec5e…
09-29 15:57:53	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x16154d…
09-29 15:49:11	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0x79f5a7…
09-29 14:57:29	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x529c4b…
09-29 06:51:02	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x27bdad…
09-27 07:44:27	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x75940a…
09-25 06:05:05	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$4	0x3da1c7…
09-23 14:36:38	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0beba8…
09-16 00:59:12	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0xa1496a…
09-15 04:53:46	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x120a53…
09-13 22:36:55	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xebc765…
09-12 02:42:52	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	SELL	54	97¢	$53	0xe744a9…
09-11 21:04:46	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$53	0xeaf11c…
09-07 23:26:54	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x36c490…
09-07 07:47:24	Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0xa03548…
09-07 04:00:13	Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x4ef909…
09-04 12:16:07	will gpt 6 be released by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x279e32…
09-01 04:57:27	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x91fd78…
09-01 02:08:58	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026 from august 28	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd8adb6…
08-28 05:53:12	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xdda83e…
08-27 14:39:13	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0x8cabdb…
08-27 05:15:22	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x1a4e9e…
08-25 14:11:28	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0xe790cd…
08-24 16:15:55	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xa32e0b…
08-18 23:48:19	will spy dip to 670 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7a269c…
08-18 20:01:54	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x98863e…
08-17 20:41:58	will spy dip to 670 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2b8b70…
08-15 12:21:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	49	99¢	$48	0xa1a402…
08-15 01:57:07	will nvda dip to 152 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xaf12c5…
08-14 11:58:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xc6a403…
08-11 07:42:07	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0xee27ff…
08-11 07:26:52	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	142	0¢	$0	0x0d1842…
08-11 07:24:31	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	134	0¢	$0	0x534c78…
08-11 07:11:37	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0xceb206…
08-10 17:45:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x089327…
08-09 14:38:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xda1d79…
08-06 01:25:38	will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x261a60…
08-04 22:18:54	Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	No	BUY	51	93¢	$47	0x2e3719…
08-04 03:39:56	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x39d8d9…
07-30 04:38:39	GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0x45036e…
07-29 22:33:11	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2a22e9…
07-29 04:57:35	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in July?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x064330…
07-25 17:14:22	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3b1170…
07-23 21:47:43	will nvda dip to 152 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe815ee…
07-23 15:14:55	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd12d62…
07-23 11:32:16	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x045093…
07-20 19:35:36	will ethereum dip to 1300 in july 2026 715	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x39a534…
07-20 16:52:39	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9ae110…
07-02 17:11:44	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x489dd5…
06-29 19:36:34	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xca704e…
06-28 12:38:05	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb4edc2…
06-27 09:09:01	Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdd7fe7…
06-27 08:39:23	Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x4f1ee5…
06-26 12:33:31	will openais valuation hit high 1pt25t by june 30	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa50408…
05-31 04:08:21	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd01d34…
05-28 19:09:52	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xbd1773…
05-26 11:10:09	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x6cbb7e…
05-18 10:55:40	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x0305e5…
05-16 06:47:29	Will France win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0x9d03de…
05-13 15:27:28	Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xcebf26…
05-09 15:05:23	Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x721001…
05-09 02:18:18	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9d9950…
05-08 13:00:12	Will Solana reach $150 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x5e114d…
05-07 21:53:45	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3a1fb3…
05-06 03:47:32	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x08898f…
05-05 19:02:08	Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xcc9ae9…
05-05 16:41:14	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa3d321…
05-05 16:22:02	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x758951…
05-05 08:48:36	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf182fa…
04-29 10:30:04	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x26b12a…
04-28 00:46:18	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4abb8f…
04-24 21:16:08	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x03512a…
04-24 09:16:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x14e030…
04-22 11:02:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x099a94…
04-21 17:17:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x47e9e1…
04-20 23:06:00	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x3fc429…
04-20 02:30:46	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 end of April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd2cb42…
04-19 10:43:54	Will Moonshot have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x53562f…
04-18 18:26:38	Will Z.ai have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xeeb6c7…
04-18 03:38:10	Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x947c24…
04-17 19:49:32	Will XRP reach $2.60 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x2f1355…
04-16 06:01:52	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x735473…
04-15 18:29:22	Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf633e3…
04-14 07:31:27	Will Z.ai have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc29d56…