Practical-Cowbell — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$39

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.3%

Resolved

Trades

5,613

lifetime

Volume

$51.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 06-09 18:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

79% 29% $-18

Other

16% 67% $-21

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 416 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	4	$2.1K	4,066	4,066	+0	open	—	03-03 19:06
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	104	$1.5K	1,954	1,961	-6	open	—	04-08 01:26
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	106	$1.3K	2,796	2,481	+315	open	—	04-22 05:46
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	90	$1.3K	1,742	1,742	+0	open	—	04-23 07:32
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	117	$1.2K	3,254	3,245	+9	open	—	04-30 20:05
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	101	$1.1K	1,118	1,077	+41	open	—	04-22 08:53
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	38	$1.1K	1,327	1,327	+0	open	—	03-08 21:11
iran confirmed not to participate in 2026 fifa world cup by march 31	25	$1.1K	931	890	+41	open	—	03-19 20:14
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	74	$964	1,644	1,644	+0	open	—	04-10 06:09
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	127	$943	1,158	1,147	+11	open	—	03-31 02:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	76	$878	2,027	1,856	+171	open	—	04-25 15:42
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	11	$859	753	753	+0	open	—	02-28 06:46
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	103	$826	1,263	978	+285	open	—	04-07 23:27
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	59	$794	720	720	+0	open	—	04-30 03:56
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	76	$790	589	497	+92	open	—	04-21 18:05
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	38	$723	824	824	+0	open	—	04-21 13:40
houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	2	$722	626	626	+0	open	—	03-28 08:17
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	76	$694	1,152	1,072	+80	open	—	04-07 23:15
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	72	$646	512	477	+35	open	—	04-16 19:46
will iran strike israel on march 10	66	$623	631	619	+12	open	—	03-16 19:24
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	91	$621	1,352	1,328	+23	open	—	03-24 16:16
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	100	$507	1,585	1,585	+0	open	—	03-29 06:08
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	42	$481	351	334	+17	open	—	04-16 02:43
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	62	$460	672	591	+81	open	—	04-07 23:23
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	44	$445	372	372	+0	open	—	04-19 12:47
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	26	$434	652	624	+28	open	—	04-23 09:30
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	68	$425	406	389	+17	open	—	04-22 11:13
cbb vcu ncar 2026 03 19	29	$410	1,632	1,576	+56	open	—	03-20 00:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	33	$406	437	437	+0	open	—	05-02 21:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	25	$404	1,117	1,117	+0	open	—	04-24 11:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 23:43:25	btc updown 5m 1781048400	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x77d3a9…
06-09 21:37:40	btc updown 5m 1781040900	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xe0c0d4…
06-09 18:00:42	btc updown 5m 1781028000	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xee5043…
06-08 15:15:25	btc updown 5m 1780931700	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc83582…
06-08 15:06:33	btc updown 5m 1780931100	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x8031d3…
06-08 15:01:37	btc updown 5m 1780930800	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x7e50c8…
06-08 14:55:10	btc updown 5m 1780930500	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xaaa2b8…
06-07 17:52:43	btc updown 5m 1780854600	Up	BUY	43	3¢	$1	0xae9174…
06-07 17:52:24	btc updown 5m 1780854600	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x562980…
06-07 17:52:22	btc updown 5m 1780854600	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x078128…
06-07 17:52:16	btc updown 5m 1780854600	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x1380c4…
06-07 17:52:07	btc updown 5m 1780854600	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xb020b6…
06-07 17:38:54	btc updown 5m 1780853700	Down	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x0f3f9b…
06-07 17:38:46	btc updown 5m 1780853700	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xf4e28e…
06-07 17:38:46	btc updown 5m 1780853700	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x814454…
06-07 17:38:28	btc updown 5m 1780853700	Down	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x8ffccf…
06-07 17:38:28	btc updown 5m 1780853700	Down	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x43b26e…
06-07 14:46:18	btc updown 5m 1780843500	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x0f0e5e…
06-07 14:46:12	btc updown 5m 1780843500	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xf70413…
06-01 17:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x25141f…
06-01 17:53:14	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8a123a…
06-01 17:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xe15849…
06-01 17:52:51	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xb02c7a…
06-01 17:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x1bcd7e…
06-01 17:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x4a5216…
06-01 17:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x8d938b…
06-01 17:47:52	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x88e016…
06-01 17:47:46	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xdeb3e0…
06-01 17:47:24	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x852520…
06-01 13:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xa8481e…
06-01 13:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x182a6d…
06-01 13:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x9ea193…
06-01 13:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x4fe3de…
06-01 13:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd1ee44…
06-01 13:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xc772e7…
06-01 13:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x006cb5…
06-01 13:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb4bc60…
06-01 10:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x19fc8f…
06-01 08:41:53	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xa29165…
06-01 08:38:27	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x1d671c…
06-01 08:37:50	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xc4f35e…
06-01 06:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x6a0d49…
06-01 06:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x84a5b5…
06-01 06:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x4543ad…
06-01 06:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xeb41d0…
06-01 06:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x25461d…
05-31 21:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xeecb69…
05-31 21:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xbeee1a…
05-31 21:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa0b116…
05-31 21:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xce4ce6…
05-31 21:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7382a1…
05-31 21:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xa35acf…
05-31 19:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x5cbcbb…
05-31 18:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x4939d1…
05-30 16:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x2138e1…
05-25 13:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf451b9…
05-25 06:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x5f8b2b…
05-25 06:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x8c68d8…
05-25 06:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xeb60bf…
05-25 05:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x865168…
05-25 05:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xf7907f…
05-24 21:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x62fc9b…
05-23 19:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x18e309…
05-22 15:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x27d463…
05-22 13:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xff15ff…
05-21 15:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xd04a6e…
05-21 13:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0xba8f35…
05-18 14:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x45209f…
05-18 14:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x3aab0b…
05-18 14:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x6fe12b…
05-18 13:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x82ba78…
05-18 13:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb64c29…
05-18 08:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x615420…
05-18 08:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x4bd9dd…
05-18 08:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x516a71…
05-18 06:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0xade020…
05-17 21:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa1e07b…
05-17 18:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	345	1¢	$3	0x662feb…
05-17 10:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xbbe7da…
05-17 10:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xb2ae83…
05-17 09:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xb466f6…
05-17 05:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x8c2d34…
05-16 21:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x275777…
05-16 06:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x2c635f…
05-16 06:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x09ad4c…
05-02 21:06:58	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	68	0¢	$0	0x32a139…
05-02 21:06:58	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x31cedf…
05-02 21:05:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	231	2¢	$5	0x918f17…
05-02 21:05:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	29¢	$3	0x5b9816…
05-02 21:05:58	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	16	13¢	$2	0x349a93…
05-02 21:05:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	20¢	$6	0x49af2b…
05-02 21:05:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	182	4¢	$7	0xfc0e3c…
05-02 21:05:52	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	13	73¢	$9	0xc5c287…
05-02 21:05:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	240	4¢	$10	0x68be4e…
05-02 21:05:52	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	22¢	$10	0x3156d1…
05-02 21:05:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	33¢	$22	0xe3af5e…
05-02 21:05:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	227	9¢	$20	0xb75f2d…
05-02 21:05:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	20¢	$16	0x222fce…
05-02 21:05:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	410	12¢	$49	0xa94790…
05-02 21:05:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	163	18¢	$29	0x8cc826…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	392	$1.24M	94,580	06-01 02:10
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	382	$55.7M	87,872	06-01 06:05
Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b	355	$13.8M	26,142	05-31 16:49
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	346	$163.3K	35,157	05-07 03:14
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	314	$1.27M	91,940	06-01 00:54
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	314	$178.8K	18,459	05-30 21:23
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	303	$2.44M	42,926	06-01 00:34
(anonymous) 0x5449…992b	294	$89.4K	23,966	06-01 06:05