Realized P&L (90d)
+$1.26K
Unrealized P&L
+$145
Hit rate
96.4%
Resolved (90d)
103
Trades (90d)
3,070
11,905 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$719.5K
$2.58M lifetime
Avg / trade
$217
Open exposure
$8.26K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 11-06 01:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 159 days
Categories
Other
83% 74% +$2,610
Crypto
9% 80% +$310
Politics
6% 61% -$35
Sports
1% 67% +$63
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 151 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November? No +2,000 $1,878 98¢ $2.0K +$89 11-06 01:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November? No +1,390 $1,259 99¢ $1.4K +$112 11-05 22:13
Will Ali G be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +1,002 $985 98¢ $986 +$1 10-23 17:01
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? No +962 $934 97¢ $931 -$3 11-02 00:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November? No +622 $580 98¢ $606 +$26 11-06 00:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 November 2-8? No +500 $498 99¢ $497 -$1 11-05 15:22
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +500 $488 99¢ $493 +$5 11-02 20:07
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +500 $491 98¢ $491 +$0 10-30 08:46
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027? No +500 $492 98¢ $488 -$4 11-05 20:09
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +150 $112 70¢ $106 -$6 11-03 04:19
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +92 $90 99¢ $91 +$0 11-05 11:43
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No +50 $47 95¢ $47 +$0 11-05 19:41
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +35 $34 99¢ $35 +$1 11-05 14:24
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +25 $21 91¢ $23 +$2 11-05 23:04
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +22 $22 97¢ $21 $0 10-13 15:45
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? Yes +200 $29 11¢ $21 -$8 11-03 17:07
Will the Brooklyn Nets finish with the worst record in the NBA in 2026-27? Yes — +141 $19 12¢ $17 -$2 11-03 15:21
Will AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? Yes +110 $15 12¢ $14 -$1 10-25 11:16
Will Darryn Peterson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? Yes +372 $22 3¢ $12 -$10 10-30 20:52
Will Jayson Tatum win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? Yes +200 -$5 4¢ $8 +$13 11-02 12:15
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points per game in 2026-27? No +26 $16 26¢ $7 -$9 10-26 17:07
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? Yes +300 $6 2¢ $6 $0 11-03 07:09
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 November 2-8? Yes +100 $59 6¢ $6 -$53 11-05 07:31
Will Keaton Wagler win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? Yes +1,544 $6 0¢ $5 -$1 11-02 06:37
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? Yes +250 $11 2¢ $5 -$6 10-29 03:41
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +300 $6 1¢ $4 -$2 10-03 17:16
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -10 -$2 18¢ $-2 +$1 08-27 12:08
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +50 $10 3¢ $1 -$9 06-18 16:34
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1 -$1 100¢ $1 +$2 10-12 03:37
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? Yes +0 -$8 34¢ $0 +$8 10-30 19:42